KOSDAQMedia & Entertainment473980

Knowmerce

₩10,270▼ 0.68%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩111.8B
Turnover
₩200M
Volume
10K
Shares out.
10.9M
PER
8.3×
PBR
1.2×
EPS
₩1,429
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Overseas Tour Restart, China Expansion Amid Target Price Cuts

Nomerce is pursuing an earnings recovery centered on the resumption of overseas concert tours and growth of its China platform, but a second-quarter margin slowdown combined with a target price cut has shifted market attention to third-quarter confirmation.

  1. 1

    Revenue reached KRW 75.7 billion and operating profit KRW 12.3 billion in 2025, a second straight year of growth marking a turnaround from the 2023 operating loss.

  2. 2

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue rose only 0.7% year on year while operating profit fell 15.9%, attributed to the absence of major concerts and one-off litigation costs.

  3. 3

    Backed by its partnership with China's Hunan Broadcasting System, including Mango TV, fromm's paid subscribers in Greater China grew about 168% over the past year.

  4. 4

    On September 4, Shinhan Investment Corp cut its target price from KRW 27,000 to KRW 16,500 while maintaining a buy rating.

  5. 5

    A recurring annual gap between prospectus estimates presented at listing and actual results has left lingering market doubts about forecast reliability.

02

Business structure

Nomerce, founded in March 2019, operates a business built on artist IP, running the fan communication platform 'fromm' and the online arts education service 'Wonderwall' alongside concert and merchandise businesses.

Its business is organized into three segments: concert and tour production, the fromm platform, and merchandise (MD).

The fan community platform market is already dominated by large incumbents such as Hybe's Weverse, Dear U's Bubble, and YouTube memberships, meaning differentiated fan experience is key for a later entrant like fromm. Nomerce focuses on small- and mid-sized artist IP for its entertainment business.

It has also expanded into leveraging the IP of artists who have become independent from major agencies, not just small and mid-sized IP.

In China, the company has struck a strategic partnership with Mango TV, a leading Chinese video platform under state-backed Hunan Broadcasting System with 250 million paid subscribers and roughly KRW 2 trillion in revenue last year, and additional cooperation is planned in sequence, including advertising with Hunan TV, listing on the Xiaowang e-commerce platform, and concert and VR collaboration with the media firm Yunhong.

The company is led by CEO Kim Young-jun, who began his career as a fund manager at Daishin Asset Management and is regarded as a goal-oriented strategist with strong execution ability.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩16B₩4.2B26.3%
2025Q3₩27.6B₩5.4B19.6%
2025Q4₩12.9B-₩1.9B−14.8%
2026Q1₩18.6B₩4B21.5%
2026Q2₩16.1B₩3.5B22.0%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2023₩42.3B-₩200M-₩31B−0.5%−79.8%19.4%
2024₩68.9B₩8.2B₩9.9B11.9%11.5%14.7%
2025₩75.7B₩12.3B₩14.8B16.3%14.3%11.3%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

Nomerce's consolidated revenue rose for three consecutive years, from KRW 42.3 billion in 2023 to KRW 68.9 billion in 2024 and KRW 75.7 billion in 2025.

Operating profit swung from a loss of KRW 0.2 billion in 2023 to profits of KRW 8.2 billion in 2024 and KRW 12.3 billion in 2025, with the operating margin improving from -0.5% to 11.9% and then 16.3%.

Net profit attributable to owners likewise turned from a large loss of KRW 31.0 billion in 2023 to profits of KRW 9.9 billion in 2024 and KRW 14.8 billion in 2025.

Quarterly, the third quarter of 2025 was the strongest on record with revenue of KRW 27.6 billion and operating profit of KRW 5.4 billion, but the fourth quarter saw revenue fall to KRW 12.9 billion and operating profit swing to a loss of KRW 1.9 billion, reflecting the concert off-season.

First-quarter 2026 consolidated revenue came in at KRW 18.6 billion, down from KRW 19.1 billion a year earlier, while the second quarter posted revenue of KRW 16.1 billion, up 0.7% year on year, and operating profit of KRW 3.5 billion, down 15.9%.

The margin slowdown was mainly attributed to the absence of major concerts and one-off legal costs tied to a civil lawsuit reflected in the second quarter. The company stated that despite some one-off costs, first-half results confirmed a stable earnings structure centered on recurring platform-based revenue.

However, the prospectus at listing had projected 2024 revenue of KRW 68.2 billion and operating profit of KRW 11.3 billion, while actual operating profit came in at only KRW 8.2 billion, about 28% below plan; for 2025 the prospectus projected revenue of KRW 104.0 billion and operating profit of KRW 30.0 billion, but actual results of KRW 75.7 billion in revenue and KRW 12.3 billion in operating profit missed by 27.6% and 59.9%, respectively.

05

Industry analysis

Demand for overseas tours by K-pop artists has continued to expand in the post-pandemic period, and the fan platform and IP commerce markets are also on a growth trend.

However, in the fan platform space, Hybe's Weverse and Dear U's Bubble enjoy first-mover advantages, leaving smaller players such as Nomerce to compete through differentiated partnerships and niche IP strategies.

The China market is emerging as a new growth axis, and Nomerce has rolled out a localized service through its partnership with the state-run Hunan Broadcasting System.

Indeed, fromm's paid subscribers in the Greater China region grew roughly 168% year on year, with expanded listings on major local app markets including Xiaomi, Huawei, OPPO and vivo, along with local IP and promotion expansion, driving platform growth.

In the concert segment, the seasonality typical of K-pop touring, with a slow fourth quarter and a peak in the second and third quarters, adds to earnings volatility, an effect that may be felt more acutely by Nomerce given its relatively thinner revenue base compared to major agencies.

In terms of competitive positioning, Nomerce lags behind large players such as Hybe and SM in scale and diversification, but shares elements of its business model with fan platform operators such as Dear U, making it a frequent point of comparison.

06

Outlook

According to Shinhan Investment Corp, the third quarter is concentrated with Americas tour schedules for Woodz and JAY B, and second-half concert revenue, including a domestic concert for fromis_9, is projected at roughly KRW 22.1 billion.

Total concert attendance this year is estimated to surge to 300,000, up from 206,000 last year. There was also mention that discussions are underway for a major new IP to join the platform in the third quarter, with a chance of completion by next year.

The company stated that from the third quarter, growth in its China business, new IP additions, and global tours are being reflected sequentially in results.

Nomerce said it recently secured about KRW 40 billion in growth capital, which it plans to use to accelerate growth of its integrated IP business through new IP acquisition, global tour expansion, and growth of its content and merchandise business.

In China, a combined subscription product with Mango TV, advertising cooperation with Hunan TV, listing on the Xiaowang platform, and concert/VR cooperation with Yunhong are being pursued in sequence.

However, whether individual artist tours materialize, ticket sales performance, and the timing of revenue contribution from the China business remain variables subject to contracts and market conditions.

07

Valuation

PER
8.3×
PBR
1.2×
ROE
15.3%
EPS
₩1,429
BPS
₩9,983
Dividend per share
₩0

Since recording an operating loss and a large net loss in 2023, Nomerce has seen a recovery in profitability through 2024 and 2025, a trajectory that has also shifted how the market approaches its valuation.

The company's ongoing treasury stock buyback and retirement program has continued to reduce shares outstanding, a structure that can have some positive effect on per-share metrics.

Securities firms have generally maintained buy ratings on expectations of earnings growth, but some have recently lowered target prices to reflect a broader compression of sector multiples rather than company-specific issues.

The recurring gap between prospectus estimates presented at listing and actual results has been cited as a factor prompting the market to approach future guidance more cautiously.

Ultimately, valuation sits in a range where the market's assessment could diverge depending on how visibly the resumption of overseas tours and growth of the China platform translate into actual results in the second half.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Early Traction Confirmed in China Platform

Paid subscribers to the Greater China version of fromm, launched through the partnership with Hunan Broadcasting System, grew roughly 168% year on year. Listings on major local app markets including Xiaomi, Huawei, OPPO and vivo have also expanded, improving accessibility.

Additional collaborations, such as a combined subscription product with Mango TV, which has 250 million paid subscribers, are being pursued in sequence. Still, the timing and scale at which this early subscriber growth translates into revenue contribution requires continued confirmation.

Resumption of Overseas Tours in H2

The third quarter is concentrated with Americas tour schedules for Woodz and JAY B, along with a domestic concert for fromis_9, putting second-half concert revenue at an estimated KRW 22.1 billion. Total concert attendance this year is estimated to rise sharply to 300,000, up from 206,000 the previous year.

Given that overseas tours account for a large share of concert revenue, the pace of resumption is cited as a key variable shaping third- and fourth-quarter results.

Growth Capital Secured, Shareholder Returns Continue

The company stated it recently secured about KRW 40 billion in growth capital, which it plans to deploy toward new IP acquisition, global tour expansion and growth of its merchandise business.

At the same time, it has continued reducing shares outstanding through treasury stock purchases and retirements, running a shareholder return policy in parallel. This can be read as a signal of pursuing both business expansion and shareholder value enhancement simultaneously.

09

Bear factors

Second-Quarter Margin Slowdown

Second-quarter 2026 revenue grew only 0.7% year on year while operating profit fell 15.9%. This largely reflected the absence of major concerts along with one-off legal costs tied to a civil lawsuit. Actual results reflecting the resumption of tours from the third quarter onward will need to be confirmed.

Recurring Gap Between Guidance and Actual Results

At listing, the prospectus projected 2024 revenue of KRW 68.2 billion and operating profit of KRW 11.3 billion, but actual results came in at revenue of KRW 68.9 billion and operating profit of only KRW 8.2 billion, about 28% below plan.

For 2025, the prospectus projected revenue of KRW 104.0 billion and operating profit of KRW 30.0 billion, but actual revenue was KRW 75.7 billion and operating profit KRW 12.3 billion, missing by 27.6% and 59.9% respectively. This recurring gap could weigh on market confidence in the company's future business plans.

Target Price Cuts and Multiple Compression

Shinhan Investment Corp stated it was cutting its target price for Nomerce from KRW 27,000 to KRW 16,500, citing a broader market-wide decline in multiples. The cut was attributed not to company-specific earnings issues but to a broader compression of sector multiples.

This suggests that the market's valuation benchmark for fan-platform and entertainment-tech peers generally is declining.

10

Risk factors

Earnings Forecast Reliability

Since listing, a recurring gap between prospectus estimates and actual results each year has raised questions about execution relative to stated business plans. For 2025, revenue missed estimates by 27.59%, operating profit by 59.93%, and net profit by 44.13%.

The possibility that a similar gap could recur in the company's forward revenue projections for new businesses such as China and North America tours cannot be ruled out.

Concert Seasonality and Business Concentration

As shown by the fourth-quarter 2025 operating loss of KRW 1.9 billion, results swing sharply during the concert off-season. Since quarterly results hinge on the performance of a limited number of IPs and artist tours, the postponement or cancellation of a specific tour can amplify earnings volatility.

Given a relatively thinner revenue base compared to major agencies, this seasonality and concentration risk may be felt more acutely.

Overseas Business and Legal Risk

The China business is built on a partnership with a state-run media group, exposing it to changes in the partner's policies or local regulatory conditions. Second-quarter 2026 results already reflected one-off legal costs tied to a civil lawsuit, and further contract- or dispute-related costs cannot be ruled out.

Overseas tours are also exposed to variables including ticket sales, exchange rates, and local venue conditions.

11

What to watch next

  1. Around November 2026 (Q3 earnings disclosure)

    It will be important to check whether revenue from the Woodz and JAY B Americas tours and the fromis_9 domestic concert concentrated in the third quarter actually materializes, and whether it aligns with Shinhan Investment Corp's second-half concert revenue estimate of about KRW 22.1 billion.

  2. During Q4 2026

    It is worth checking whether fromm's Greater China paid subscriber growth (recently up 168%) continues, and whether follow-on collaborations such as the combined subscription product with Mango TV translate into revenue.

  3. Q4 2026 to early 2027

    It is worth monitoring whether the major new IP under discussion in the third quarter, as mentioned by Shinhan Investment Corp, actually joins the platform, and whether specific disclosures emerge on the deployment of the roughly KRW 40 billion in growth capital, such as new IP contracts or tour expansion.

  4. At each future board resolution disclosure

    Since share count reduction via treasury stock purchases and retirements has continued, any additional retirement decisions or trust contract disclosures should be checked to confirm whether the shareholder return policy continues.

12

Overall view

Nomerce has emerged from a large 2023 loss to show a clear recovery in revenue and operating profit through 2024 and 2025, and is now pursuing a second-half earnings rebound centered on two growth pillars: fromm's expansion into Greater China and the resumption of overseas concert tours.

However, second-quarter 2026 operating profit declined due to the absence of major concerts and one-off legal costs, and Shinhan Investment Corp lowered its target price citing a broader compression of sector multiples.

The recurring gap between prospectus estimates presented at listing and actual results each year is a factor that calls for a cautious approach to future guidance.

On the other hand, the 168% growth in fromm's Greater China paid subscribers, the securing of roughly KRW 40 billion in growth capital, and continued shareholder returns through treasury stock retirement are cited as signals of the company's expansion efforts.

Ultimately, whether actual tour revenue and China business contribution reported from the third quarter onward can support the company's growth narrative will be a key variable for future assessment.

Investors should weigh quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility driven by seasonality alongside the forecast reliability issue.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. kr.investing.com
  2. hanaw.com
  3. m.thinkpool.com
  4. hanaw.com
  5. m.thinkpool.com
  6. digitaltoday.co.kr
  7. markets.hankyung.com
  8. comp.fnguide.com
  9. businesspost.co.kr
  10. economytribune.co.kr
  11. newsis.com
  12. x.com
  13. businesspost.co.kr
  14. newspim.com
  15. v.daum.net
  16. marketin.edaily.co.kr
  17. m.news.nate.com
  18. v.daum.net

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.