KOSPISteel & Metals460860

Dongkuk Steel Mill

₩9,880 0.00%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩490.1B
Turnover
₩3.9B
Volume
400,000 shares
Shares out.
49.6M
PER
36.1×
PBR
0.3×
EPS
₩291
Dividend Yield
3.81%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩400 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Rebar and Plate Recovery Faces a Litmus Test

After bottoming out with a loss in the fourth quarter of 2025, Dongkuk Steel has posted two consecutive quarters of profit improvement in 2026, though a sluggish construction market and raw material volatility remain key variables.

  1. 1

    Operating profit and owners' net income expanded sequentially in both the first and second quarters of 2026, recovering from the fourth-quarter 2025 loss.

  2. 2

    Rebar and section steel account for roughly 70% of revenue while heavy plate makes up close to the high-20% range, keeping sensitivity to the construction cycle elevated.

  3. 3

    Anti-dumping duties on Chinese and Japanese hot-rolled and plate products have reduced low-priced imports, supporting a recovery in domestic sales margins.

  4. 4

    Demand from semiconductor and AI data center infrastructure, along with shipbuilding-related plate demand, has partly offset construction weakness.

  5. 5

    The 2025 debt ratio rose to 119.4% from 87.7% a year earlier, and operating cash flow has contracted for three consecutive years.

02

Business structure

Dongkuk Steel is a steel manufacturer built on two main pillars: rebar and section steel (long products) and heavy plate for shipbuilding and industrial use.

In the first quarter of 2026, rebar and section steel accounted for about 69.8% of revenue, while by the second quarter heavy plate represented roughly 27% of sales with long products making up most of the remainder.

Long products are split between construction rebar and section steel used in industrial and infrastructure structures, with recent growth coming from section steel demand tied to semiconductor and AI data center construction.

Heavy plate supply is centered on shipbuilders, and the company has diversified into pipe and construction plate, titanium-clad plate, and specialty plate for aerospace and precision metal applications.

In response to weak construction demand and trade barriers in major markets, the company set up a dedicated export organization under its sales division to develop overseas product specifications and secure new customers. Through its online steel distribution platform "SteelShop,

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩893.7B₩29.9B3.3%
2025Q3₩769.2B₩24.5B3.2%
2025Q4₩815B₩700M0.1%
2026Q1₩857.2B₩21.4B2.5%
2026Q2₩995.5B₩45.6B4.6%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2023₩2.6T₩235.5B₩142.2B8.9%8.3%105.2%
2024₩3.5T₩102.5B₩34.8B2.9%2.0%87.7%
2025₩3.2T₩59.4B₩8.2B1.9%0.4%119.4%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

On a consolidated basis, annual revenue rose from KRW 2.6321 trillion in 2023 to KRW 3.5275 trillion in 2024, then declined again to KRW 3.2034 trillion in 2025.

Operating profit fell for three straight years, from KRW 235.5 billion to KRW 102.5 billion to KRW 59.4 billion, while the operating margin dropped sharply from 8.9% to 2.9% to 1.9%.

Owners' net income contracted even more steeply, from KRW 142.2 billion in 2023 to KRW 34.8 billion in 2024 and just KRW 8.2 billion in 2025, indicating that profitability eroded faster than top-line size over the three years.

On a quarterly basis, after posting operating profit of KRW 24.5 billion and owners' net income of KRW 10.1 billion in the third quarter of 2025, the company saw operating profit collapse to KRW 0.7 billion and owners' net income swing to a loss of KRW 13.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025 on revenue of KRW 815.0 billion.

The company then returned to profit in the first quarter of 2026 with operating profit of KRW 21.4 billion and owners' net income of KRW 6.2 billion, and both metrics expanded further in the second quarter of 2026, with revenue of KRW 995.5 billion, operating profit of KRW 45.6 billion, and owners' net income of KRW 11.6 billion.

This recovery reflects the combination of a seasonal peak period, improved profitability in long products driven by rising infrastructure demand from semiconductors and AI data centers, and firm shipbuilding-related plate demand.

The sharp deterioration in the fourth quarter of 2025, however, stemmed from a combination of lower sales volumes, falling product prices, and rising cost pressure from electricity and scrap metal, resembling a structural squeeze at the cycle's trough rather than an isolated one-off event.

On the cash generation side, operating cash flow declined for three consecutive years, from KRW 348.4 billion in 2023 to KRW 213.6 billion in 2024 and KRW 114.6 billion in 2025, while the debt ratio rose from 87.7% in 2024 to 119.4% in 2025, suggesting that balance sheet metrics have grown somewhat heavier relative to the pace of earnings recovery.

05

Industry analysis

Korea's steel industry contracted for three consecutive years from 2023 to 2025, but observers say 2026 has brought a phase of market normalization as government anti-dumping duties coincided with China's production cuts and export licensing.

Korean authorities imposed anti-dumping duties of 27.91-38.02% on Chinese plate, 28.16-33.10% on Chinese hot-rolled coil, and 31.58-33.43% on Japanese hot-rolled coil, and domestic prices for hot-rolled coil, rebar, and plate all rose from the start of the year as a result.

Nonetheless, domestic rebar consumption has structurally declined from 11.2 million tons in 2021 to roughly 7 million tons recently, driven by a drop in average annual apartment pre-sale units from 350,000 in 2019-2022 to about 220,000 since 2023.

Amid this demand contraction, the government's steel industry upgrade plan designated rebar as a priority area for capacity adjustment, and signs of capacity reduction at some competitors have raised discussion of easing domestic oversupply pressure over the medium term.

Domestic rebar utilization remained low at around 66% on a rolling basis as of July 2026, with Dongkuk Steel and several other makers cutting output compared with the prior month.

The plate segment benefited from a shipbuilding order boom, maintaining higher utilization than long products, and domestic plate prices in the first quarter of 2026 rose above the prior-year average.

Combined first-quarter 2026 revenue for the four major steelmakers (POSCO, Hyundai Steel, Dongkuk Steel, SeAH Steel) grew slightly year over year, but their combined operating profit actually declined, illustrating that revenue recovery and profitability recovery do not always move in the same direction in this industry.

Longer-term cost burdens from high U.S. tariffs and the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) also remain challenges for the sector as a whole.

06

Outlook

The company said it continued to strengthen competitiveness in high-value-added products in the first half of 2026, including developing new export section-steel specifications and improving specialty plate manufacturing processes, and this product diversification is expected to continue in the second half.

Securities analysts have pointed to an aggressive sales strategy tied to import restrictions on Chinese plate, along with an expected improvement in the domestic rebar market later in the year, as variables for improving long-product profitability.

In an April 27, 2026 report, Hana Securities said the rebar market recovery was underway and that plate prices had turned upward in line with import restrictions on Chinese plate and a broader rise in flat product prices, maintaining a BUY rating and a target price of KRW 14,000.

However, the same analysis noted that rising import costs for slab and other raw materials, driven by a weaker won, could limit the pace of margin improvement in the plate segment.

Discussions around capacity adjustments in rebar under the government's steel industry upgrade plan, along with production cuts and capacity adjustments at competitors, are cited as factors that could ease medium-term domestic oversupply pressure.

The company expects demand from large-scale industrial infrastructure such as semiconductors and AI data centers, as well as shipbuilding-related plate demand, to continue in the second half, and it is maintaining channel diversification through its online distribution platform and dedicated export organization.

That said, industry observers also caution that if the construction market recovery is delayed or raw material price volatility increases, the pace of quarterly earnings improvement may not be uniform.

07

Valuation

PER
36.1×
PBR
0.3×
ROE
0.8%
EPS
₩291
BPS
₩38,159
Dividend per share
₩400

Dongkuk Steel's earnings trajectory shifted after bottoming with a loss in the fourth quarter of 2025, expanding profit for two consecutive quarters in 2026, but on an annual basis it is still too early to say the company has broken out of the three-year decline in earnings size that began in 2023.

Several brokerage reports commonly note that the stock's price-to-book ratio has traded below net asset value for an extended period, a pattern not unusual relative to other steel names in the sector.

The price-to-earnings ratio based on the most recent four quarters (third quarter of 2025 through second quarter of 2026) reflects a period before earnings have normalized, making direct comparison with valuation levels from earlier periods of larger profit difficult.

On dividends, while the company has maintained a minimum-dividend policy, Hana Securities noted in a January report that dividend increases could be possible if 2026 operating performance improves as expected.

Overall, valuation metrics sit in a range that could still shift significantly depending on the durability and pace of the earnings recovery.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Signs of Passing an Earnings Trough

After owners' net income deteriorated to a loss of KRW 13.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, it improved for two straight quarters to KRW 6.2 billion in the first quarter of 2026 and KRW 11.6 billion in the second quarter.

Operating profit also expanded sequentially from KRW 0.7 billion to KRW 21.4 billion to KRW 45.6 billion, making the direction of recovery clearer.

While this reflects a combination of seasonal peak demand and rising infrastructure needs, two consecutive quarters of improvement offers some basis to distinguish it from a purely temporary rebound.

Domestic Margin Support from Trade Measures

The government's anti-dumping duties on Chinese and Japanese hot-rolled coil and plate have reduced low-priced import flows, and domestic flat product prices have risen from the start of the year.

DK CM has also been cited as an example of improved domestic sales profitability following provisional anti-dumping duties on Chinese coated and color-coated steel. This could provide a favorable backdrop for defending Dongkuk Steel's plate segment spread as well.

Buffer from Industrial Infrastructure and Shipbuilding Demand

Even as construction demand remains weak, demand from large-scale industrial infrastructure such as semiconductors and AI data centers, along with shipbuilders' plate orders, has served as a buffer for earnings.

Both production and sales volumes of long products rose year over year in the second quarter of 2026, and plate sales volume increased by a double-digit percentage. This diversification of end markets is working to reduce reliance on construction demand alone.

09

Bear factors

Construction Dependence and Structural Demand Decline

Long products still account for close to 70% of revenue, leaving the company highly sensitive to the construction cycle. Domestic rebar consumption has structurally declined from 11.2 million tons in 2021 to around 7 million tons recently, directly tied to falling apartment pre-sale volumes.

If the recovery in the pre-sale market is delayed, the pace of long-product profitability improvement could slow accordingly.

Cost and Foreign Exchange Volatility

The plate segment faces pressure from rising import costs for slab and other raw materials due to a weaker won. Long products also saw a quarter in which electric-arc-furnace input cost increases outpaced selling price hikes, narrowing the spread.

Volatility in electricity costs and scrap metal prices has been a factor widening quarter-to-quarter profitability swings.

Earnings Volatility and Deteriorating Balance Sheet Metrics

Full-year owners' net income fell sharply to KRW 8.2 billion in 2025 from KRW 142.2 billion in 2023, and the company swung to a loss in the fourth quarter, reflecting large quarterly swings. The debt ratio rose from 87.7% in 2024 to 119.4% in 2025, and operating cash flow contracted for three consecutive years.

With the earnings recovery still at an early stage, the pace of improvement in balance sheet metrics warrants continued monitoring.

10

Risk factors

Demand/Industry Risk

Amid a structural decline in domestic rebar consumption, rebar utilization remained low at around 66% on a rolling basis as of July 2026. If the recovery in apartment pre-sale volumes is delayed, improvement in long-product demand could take longer than expected.

The pace at which the government's capacity-adjustment plan translates into actual supply reduction also remains uncertain.

Trade/Policy Risk

High U.S. tariffs and the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) are variables that could weigh on export profitability and long-term cost structure. Anti-dumping duties currently in provisional form could see changes in rate or scope once final rulings are issued. Shifts in the trade environment could affect export strategy for both long products and plate.

Cost/FX Risk

Continued weakness in the won could raise import costs for slab, a key plate raw material, pressuring spreads. Volatility in scrap metal prices, the primary electric-arc-furnace input, also directly affects long-product profitability. Fluctuations in energy costs such as electricity also remain a factor shaping the overall cost burden.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late October to early November 2026

    Preliminary third-quarter earnings will reveal long-product and plate sales volumes and spread trends, and whether the profit improvement seen versus the second quarter continues.

  2. During the second half of 2026

    It will be important to track when provisional anti-dumping duties on Chinese and Japanese hot-rolled coil and plate move to a final ruling, and whether rates and scope are confirmed.

  3. Monthly rebar utilization and distribution price data

    Monthly utilization and distribution price data from the eight major rebar makers can help gauge the pace of domestic supply adjustment and construction demand recovery.

  4. Fourth-quarter 2026 board resolution on dividends

    It will be worth checking whether 2026 earnings improvement translates into a change in dividend policy, and whether the minimum-dividend approach is maintained or adjusted.

  5. When follow-up measures to the government's steel industry upgrade plan are announced

    Following the designation of rebar as a capacity-adjustment target, it will be important to confirm whether competitors' production cuts and capacity reductions materialize concretely.

12

Overall view

Dongkuk Steel bottomed out with a loss in the fourth quarter of 2025 and posted sequential expansion in both operating profit and net income in the first and second quarters of 2026.

This reflects the combined effect of seasonal peak demand, industrial infrastructure demand from semiconductors and AI data centers, shipbuilding-related plate demand, and anti-dumping duties on Chinese and Japanese products.

On an annual basis, however, it is still too early to say the company has fully broken out of the three-year decline in earnings size since 2023, and balance sheet metrics such as a rising debt ratio and shrinking operating cash flow have actually grown heavier.

With long products still accounting for close to 70% of revenue, quarterly earnings variability could persist if the construction market recovery is delayed or raw material and currency volatility increases.

The timing of final anti-dumping rulings and the extent to which competitors adjust capacity under the government's steel industry upgrade plan remain key variables for the medium-term industry outlook.

Tracking the next quarter's results along with rebar utilization and distribution price indicators will be the key point to watch for the durability of the earnings recovery.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. goodkyung.com
  2. specialtimes.co.kr
  3. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  4. file.hanaw.com
  5. enewstoday.co.kr
  6. kyongbuk.co.kr
  7. dmilbo.com
  8. ajunews.com
  9. etoday.co.kr
  10. buffettlab.co.kr
  11. file.hanaw.com
  12. mt.co.kr
  13. news.nate.com
  14. kr.investing.com
  15. ftoday.co.kr
  16. steelprice.co.kr
  17. ezyeconomy.com
  18. joongangenews.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.