KOSPIChemicals456040

OCI Company

₩74,000▲ 0.95%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩662.5B
Turnover
₩2.5B
Volume
30,000 shares
Shares out.
9M
PER
80.0×
PBR
0.6×
EPS
₩991
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

From Losses to Profit: Pivot to Semiconductor Materials

After a large net loss in the third quarter of 2025, OCI has posted consecutive quarterly improvements in operating profit and net income since the fourth quarter of 2025, while simultaneously expanding into semiconductor and secondary battery materials to diversify away from its commodity chemicals base.

  1. 1

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue reached KRW 535.0 billion with operating profit of KRW 43.3 billion, the best result among the last five quarters.

  2. 2

    Full-year 2025 operating profit collapsed to a near-breakeven KRW 440 million, and owner net income posted a loss.

  3. 3

    Basic Chemicals (semiconductor-grade polysilicon, hydrogen peroxide) and Carbon Chemicals (carbon black, pitch, BTX) account for roughly 36% and 63% of revenue, respectively.

  4. 4

    The company is pushing a transition toward semiconductor and battery materials through new businesses such as monosilane, conductive carbon black, and semiconductor wafer recycling.

  5. 5

    The stock trades at a discount to net asset value, while its earnings multiple based on recent results sits near the upper end of its historical range.

02

Business structure

OCI (456040) was established through a simple spin-off from OCI Holdings in 2023 and relisted on the KOSPI the same year.

Its business is organized around two segments: Basic Chemicals, which produces semiconductor-grade polysilicon, hydrogen peroxide, chlor-alkali (CA), and TDI, accounting for roughly 36-37% of revenue; and Carbon Chemicals, which produces carbon black, pitch, and BTX (benzene, toluene, xylene), accounting for roughly 62-63% of revenue.

Built on more than 50 years of accumulated technology, the company is the sole domestic producer of ultra-high-purity 11-nine grade semiconductor-grade polysilicon and has supplied SK Siltron since 2012.

More recently, OCI has been expanding into semiconductor and secondary battery materials, exclusively supplying monosilane (SiH4), a core raw material for lithium-ion battery silicon anode materials, to Nexeon of the United Kingdom under a long-term supply agreement, while also carrying out a 30,000-ton expansion of conductive carbon black for EV batteries and electronics, targeting commercial production in the second half of 2026.

In addition, the company has decided to enter the semiconductor packaging wafer recycling business, aiming to complete facilities in the first half of 2027 and generate revenue as early as late 2027.

OCI currently supplies materials for five of the eight major semiconductor process steps—wafer manufacturing, oxidation, photo, etching, and deposition—and the addition of wafer recycling would extend its reach into the packaging process.

The overall strategy leverages the cash-generating capacity of its stable basic chemicals business to diversify the portfolio toward higher value-added semiconductor and battery materials.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩527B-₩2.3B−0.4%
2025Q3₩476.4B-₩10.3B−2.2%
2025Q4₩467.3B₩2.8B0.6%
2026Q1₩506.6B₩27.8B5.5%
2026Q2₩535B₩43.3B8.1%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2023₩1.3T₩57.5B₩52.2B4.5%5.3%102.4%
2024₩2.2T₩110.5B₩96B5.0%8.0%83.9%
2025₩2T₩400M-₩62.6B0.0%−5.6%95.4%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

Full-year 2025 revenue came to KRW 2.009 trillion, down from KRW 2.215 trillion in 2024, while operating profit collapsed to a near-breakeven KRW 440 million (operating margin of 0.0%), and owner net income swung to a loss of KRW -62.6 billion, a complete reversal from the KRW 96.0 billion profit posted in 2024.

The trough came in the third quarter of 2025, when revenue of KRW 476.4 billion was accompanied by an operating loss of KRW 10.3 billion and an owner net loss of KRW 51.2 billion, the largest loss across the five-quarter window.

The loss trend had already begun in the second quarter of 2025, with revenue of KRW 527.0 billion, an operating loss of KRW 2.3 billion, and an owner net loss of KRW 0.7 billion.

The turnaround began in the fourth quarter of 2025, when the company returned to profitability with revenue of KRW 467.3 billion, operating profit of KRW 2.8 billion, and owner net income of KRW 5.0 billion, and the pace of improvement accelerated sharply in the first quarter of 2026, with revenue of KRW 506.6 billion, operating profit of KRW 27.8 billion, and owner net income of KRW 24.8 billion.

The second quarter of 2026 delivered the best result of the window, with revenue of KRW 535.0 billion, operating profit of KRW 43.3 billion, and owner net income of KRW 30.0 billion.

According to the company, the second-quarter improvement stemmed from simultaneously higher sales volume and prices for petrochemical products amid expanding customer demand, together with improved performance in the semiconductor materials business.

By segment, Basic Chemicals posted revenue of KRW 209.5 billion and operating profit of KRW 18.1 billion, reflecting price increases in some semiconductor material items and higher CA and TDI sales volumes, while Carbon Chemicals posted revenue of KRW 331.5 billion and operating profit of KRW 31.0 billion, supported by wider BTX spreads amid rising oil prices.

Compared with full-year 2023 (adjusted post-spin-off basis) revenue of KRW 1.289 trillion, operating profit of KRW 57.5 billion, and net income of KRW 52.2 billion, the company shows a clear cycle of a 2024 peak, a sharp 2025 downturn, and a recent recovery.

05

Industry analysis

The semiconductor-grade polysilicon market continues to face weak demand due to inventory buildup, but signs of recovery are emerging on the back of rising AI and data center memory demand, with a full-scale demand recovery projected for the fourth quarter of 2026.

Since key customer SK Siltron has stated it plans to double wafer production capacity over the next five years, OCI is positioned to benefit from customer capacity expansion feeding through to Basic Chemicals revenue growth.

The Carbon Chemicals product line—carbon black, pitch, and BTX—is sensitive to oil prices and Chinese coal tar and pitch supply conditions; recently, oil price increases tied to escalating Middle East geopolitical risk widened BTX spreads and lifted TDI prices, benefiting results.

However, the company itself has noted that if geopolitical risk eases and the market enters a seasonally slow period, TDI prices and BTX spreads could normalize lower again.

There are also assessments that current US semiconductor-related tariff policy (Section 232) has so far been favorable to non-Chinese polysilicon, pointing to a trend in which non-Chinese polysilicon is being reclassified from a commodity material to a strategic material.

The conductive carbon black market is expected to grow at roughly a 10% compound annual rate between 2026 and 2034, an area cited as contributing to OCI's push to strengthen its high-value-added product portfolio.

06

Outlook

Regarding third-quarter 2026 results, the company has indicated that easing geopolitical risk and entry into a seasonally slow period could cause TDI prices and BTX spreads to normalize lower than in the second quarter.

However, it expects expanded semiconductor materials sales, a recovery in pitch sales, and higher carbon black prices to substantially offset this.

In Basic Chemicals, distribution inventories of related products are gradually declining amid ongoing customer growth and capital investment, leading the company to expect further increases in sales volume and utilization in the second half.

For hydrogen peroxide, the company noted that its Iksan and Gwangyang plants have different raw material and cost structures, giving it the flexibility to run both plants once semiconductor demand recovers.

New business initiatives include a 5,000-ton expansion of phosphoric acid for semiconductor etching, expanded production of the silicon anode material SiH4, and the start of commercial production from the 30,000-ton conductive carbon black expansion in the second half.

The company also plans to complete a semiconductor packaging wafer recycling facility in the first half of 2027 and, following customer quality certification, generate revenue as early as late 2027, though management itself has said this business is not expected to be a major profit contributor in the near term.

07

Valuation

PER
80.0×
PBR
0.6×
ROE
0.7%
EPS
₩991
BPS
₩132,394
Dividend per share
₩0

OCI's share price has formed against a backdrop of sharply reduced recent-period earnings following the large net loss recorded in the third quarter of 2025, placing its earnings multiple near the upper end of its historical trading range.

In contrast, the stock trades at a level below net asset value, positioning it at a discount to book value. No dividend has been paid based on the most recent fiscal year, making shareholder returns through dividends relatively limited.

Quarterly operating profit and net income have improved consecutively since the fourth quarter of 2025, leaving the direction of future quarterly results as a key point to watch for how it feeds through to the earnings multiple.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Clear Trajectory of Consecutive Quarterly Improvement

Following consecutive losses in the second and third quarters of 2025, the company turned profitable in the fourth quarter of 2025 and has shown expanding operating profit and owner net income every quarter through the first and second quarters of 2026.

The KRW 43.3 billion operating profit in the second quarter of 2026 was the highest in the window, driven by simultaneous improvement in semiconductor materials and petrochemical products. Whether this trend continues will need to be confirmed by third-quarter and later results.

Structural Expansion into Semiconductor and Battery Materials

Building on its status as the sole domestic producer of semiconductor-grade polysilicon, OCI is expanding high-value-added new businesses including monosilane, conductive carbon black, and phosphoric acid capacity for semiconductor etching.

Combined with its new entry into semiconductor packaging wafer recycling, the direction toward transitioning from a chemicals-centered structure to a semiconductor and battery materials company is clear.

However, most of these new businesses are at an early stage, and their actual revenue contribution is expected to be confirmed sequentially from the second half of 2026 onward.

Some Positive Views from Sell-Side Analysts

Korea Investment & Securities, in a June 2026 report, named OCI its top pick within the oil refining and petrochemical sector, issuing a Buy rating with a target price of KRW 140,000. The report cited an outlook for 2026 revenue of KRW 2.3 trillion and operating profit of KRW 180 billion as its basis.

This reflects the view of a single brokerage, and actual results may vary depending on factors such as oil prices and exchange rates.

09

Bear factors

Earnings Volatility Vulnerable to One-off Factors

The KRW 51.2 billion owner net loss in the third quarter of 2025 resulted from a combination of one-off and industry factors, including a tire plant fire, weak demand, and oversupply of Chinese coal tar.

This illustrates how exposed the Carbon Chemicals segment is to raw material prices and specific customer or regional issues. A similar structure means comparable events could sharply disrupt results again in the future.

Early-Stage New Businesses with Limited Near-Term Contribution

The company itself has stated that its semiconductor packaging wafer recycling business is not expected to generate substantial profit within the next one to two years.

Other new businesses such as monosilane and conductive carbon black also remain at early-stage capacity levels, meaning it will take time before their contribution to overall results becomes visible.

While investment in new businesses continues, the existing chemicals business's cyclical swings may continue to dictate overall results.

Absence of Dividends and Financial Structure Burden

The debt ratio rose to 95.4% in 2025 from 83.9% in 2024, and no dividend has been paid based on the most recent fiscal year, leaving shareholder returns limited.

As investment in semiconductor and battery materials new businesses continues, managing future cash flow and financial structure remains an important variable. It is also worth noting that 2025 annual operating cash flow of KRW 56.1 billion was sharply lower than the KRW 163.9 billion recorded in 2024.

10

Risk factors

Raw Material and Oil Price Volatility

The Carbon Chemicals segment's BTX and TDI spreads are highly sensitive to oil prices and Middle East geopolitical risk. If geopolitical risk eases, spreads could narrow quickly, while a renewed escalation could increase cost burdens, meaning bidirectional volatility persists.

If China's coal tar and pitch oversupply situation continues, downward pressure on related product prices could also persist.

Delayed Semiconductor Demand Recovery

A full-scale recovery in semiconductor-grade polysilicon demand is projected for the fourth quarter of 2026, but if the pace of customer inventory drawdown or memory investment schedules is delayed, the recovery timeline could be pushed back. This could also disrupt plans for higher utilization and expanded sales volume in the Basic Chemicals segment.

New Investment Execution and Financial Burden

With multiple new businesses—monosilane, conductive carbon black, phosphoric acid for semiconductor etching, and wafer recycling—proceeding simultaneously, the burden of investment prioritization and funding could increase.

If new business investment continues while the debt ratio rises and operating cash flow declines, managing financial stability remains an important variable.

11

What to watch next

  1. Around late October 2026

    Check the preliminary third-quarter 2026 earnings disclosure to see whether the company's flagged normalization in TDI and BTX prices was actually offset by expanded semiconductor materials sales as guided.

  2. Fourth quarter of 2026

    This is the point to verify, through customer inventory drawdown and utilization changes, whether the industry-projected recovery in semiconductor-grade polysilicon demand actually materializes.

  3. During the second half of 2026

    It is worth confirming whether commercial production begins for the 30,000-ton conductive carbon black expansion and how much it contributes to initial sales.

  4. First half of 2027

    The progress of the semiconductor packaging wafer recycling facility completion and customer quality certification should be checked to gauge the pace toward new business monetization.

12

Overall view

OCI has shown a clear recovery trajectory, with operating profit and owner net income improving for four consecutive quarters since the fourth quarter of 2025, off a trough in the large net loss recorded in the third quarter of 2025.

By segment, Basic Chemicals—including semiconductor materials—and the oil-price-sensitive Carbon Chemicals segment have improved simultaneously in recent quarters, supporting results, but the structure also carries the risk of heightened earnings volatility from one-off factors and raw material price swings, as seen in the third quarter of 2025.

Leveraging the cash-generating capacity of its existing chemicals business, the company is expanding investment in multiple new businesses—monosilane, conductive carbon black, phosphoric acid for semiconductor etching, and wafer recycling—to pursue a transition toward a semiconductor and battery materials company, though most of these remain at an early stage and their revenue contribution timing has yet to be confirmed.

Alongside this, financial burdens such as a rising debt ratio, declining operating cash flow, and the absence of dividends have also emerged.

On valuation, the earnings multiple sits near the upper end of its historical range due to recently reduced results, while the stock trades at a level below net asset value—a contrasting picture.

Going forward, third-quarter 2026 results, the timing of the semiconductor demand recovery, and whether new businesses begin generating revenue are likely to be the key variables to watch.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. m.invest.zum.com
  2. oci.co.kr
  3. comp.fnguide.com
  4. valueline.co.kr
  5. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  6. invest.deepsearch.com
  7. investing.com
  8. m.thinkpool.com
  9. goodkyung.com
  10. cbci.co.kr
  11. oci.co.kr
  12. file.alphasquare.co.kr
  13. m.irgo.co.kr
  14. cbci.co.kr
  15. news.nate.com
  16. securities.koreainvestment.com
  17. finance.biggo.com
  18. investing.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.