The end market is high-specification package substrates for AI servers. Ibiden guided fiscal 2026 (April 2026 to March 2027) revenue to rise 20% year on year, after fiscal 2025 revenue of JPY 416.2 billion and operating profit of JPY 62.0 billion, up 12.7% and 30.3% respectively.
Ibiden also expects the second half of fiscal 2026 to be stronger than the first, guiding JPY 230 billion of first-half and JPY 270 billion of second-half revenue.
Domestic signals point the same way: on its second-quarter 2026 earnings call Samsung Electro-Mechanics said larger, higher-layer-count AI datacentre chips are deepening the FC-BGA shortage and pushing substrate prices steadily higher, that it is negotiating strategic long-term supply agreements including investment support with major chip customers, and that it plans to expand FC-BGA capacity at home and abroad on that basis.
Expansion budgets are growing: Ibiden said it would spend JPY 500 billion over the three years from 2026 to 2028 to lift AI server package substrate capacity. Equipment demand is a derivative of that capex.
According to iM Securities, Ibiden raised annual guidance by 5.5% for revenue and 22.9% for operating profit, driven by a mix of AI server strength, a better-than-expected general server recovery, switch IC demand and firm average selling prices for high-value products, and if capacity investment accelerates the benefit is expected to extend to equipment makers including GigaVis.
That said, the inspection and repair tool market is shared with players such as KLA, Camtek and Inspec, so a larger customer capex pool does not automatically translate into a proportional share for the company across specifications and regions.
KB Securities, in a February 2026 report, flagged a worsening T-Glass shortage as a risk factor, a reminder that raw-material bottlenecks at substrate makers can push customer expansion timelines back.