KOSPIHolding Companies402340

SK Square

₩1,158,000▲ 0.26%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩153T
Turnover
₩397.2B
Volume
340,000 shares
Shares out.
130M
PER
4.2×
PBR
2.5×
EPS
₩248,968
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Record Profit From Equity-Method Gains, With NAV Discount Still Open

SK Square's earnings are effectively determined by equity-method gains from SK hynix: second-quarter 2026 operating profit hit a record 19.2354 trillion won, yet consolidated revenue kept shrinking and the gap between accounting profit and operating cash flow widened.

  1. 1

    Q2 2026 consolidated operating profit reached 19.2354 trillion won and net profit attributable to owners 18.6748 trillion won, both quarterly records, while revenue was just 328.5 billion won, showing profit comes from equity-method gains rather than operations.

  2. 2

    Annual operating profit swung from a 2.3397 trillion won loss in 2023 to 3.9126 trillion won in 2024 and 8.7974 trillion won in 2025, while revenue fell from 2.2765 trillion won to 1.4115 trillion won over the same span.

  3. 3

    Despite the profit surge, 2025 operating cash flow was only 387.2 billion won, because equity-method income converts to cash only when dividends are actually received.

  4. 4

    The company sold Incross in January and app-market operator ONE Store in June to narrow its portfolio toward AI and semiconductors, cancelled 40 billion won of treasury shares bought in the first half, and said it plans to buy back and cancel another 70 billion won by early next year.

  5. 5

    The debt-to-equity ratio fell from 29.1% in 2022 to 9.0% in 2025 and owners' equity rose to 27.6365 trillion won, but concentration of asset value in a single subsidiary and dependence on the memory cycle remain unchanged.

02

Business structure

SK Square is SK Group's intermediate holding company for semiconductor and ICT investments, created when SK Telecom was split on November 1, 2021 into a surviving telecom entity and an ICT investment arm.

Its asset base centers on SK hynix: press reports state that as of the end of June 2026 it was the largest shareholder with a 20.5% stake, or 146.1 million shares.

In the company's investor relations net asset value table dated August 6, 2026, SK hynix accounted for 218.42 trillion won of a total NAV of 223.6 trillion won, followed by TMAP Mobility at 1.46 trillion won, SK Shieldus at 1.02 trillion won, SK Planet at 0.62 trillion won and Contents Wavve at 0.26 trillion won.

Consolidated revenue comes from consolidated units such as SK Planet and Contents Wavve, while SK hynix is accounted for by the equity method and its revenue is not consolidated, producing the classic holding-company mismatch between small revenue and large profit.

In 2026 the company accelerated disposals of non-core assets, selling digital advertising firm Incross to SK Networks in January and app-market operator ONE Store in June.

New investments are channelled through TGC Square, an overseas vehicle set up in Singapore in 2023 in which SK Square holds 34.9%, with SK hynix, Shinhan Financial Group and LIG Nex1 among co-investors.

Through TGC Square it has invested a cumulative 30 billion won in seven AI and semiconductor companies in the United States and Japan and has said it will deploy up to 100 billion won in total, noting that the valuation of early investee d-Matrix in the United States rose more than sevenfold from entry.

Organizationally, the former chief investment officer and portfolio functions were reorganized into a Strategic Investment Center, and an 'AI Innovation' unit created in early 2026 is introducing AI agents into deal screening and portfolio management.

Within Korea's listed holding companies, it stands out as a case where asset value is concentrated in a single semiconductor subsidiary, so both earnings and share performance track the memory cycle closely.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩406.6B₩1.4T344.6%
2025Q3₩407.9B₩2.6T648.6%
2025Q4₩194.2B₩3.1T1595.3%
2026Q1₩300.3B₩8.3T2756.2%
2026Q2₩328.5B₩19.2T5854.7%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩2.4T₩16.1B₩259.8B0.7%1.5%29.1%
2023₩2.3T-₩2.3T-₩1.3T−102.8%−8.5%13.6%
2024₩1.9T₩3.9T₩3.7T205.2%19.5%11.9%
2025₩1.4T₩8.8T₩8.8T623.3%31.9%9.0%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

Second-quarter 2026 consolidated results were revenue of 328.5 billion won, operating profit of 19.2354 trillion won and net profit attributable to owners of 18.6748 trillion won, all quarterly records.

That operating profit was more than double the 8.2783 trillion won posted in the first quarter of 2026 and an order of magnitude above the 1.4011 trillion won of the second quarter of 2025.

The driver is unambiguous: according to an NSP News report dated August 14, 2026, second-quarter equity-method gains reached 19.2672 trillion won, exceeding total operating profit, as SK hynix's strong results flowed straight through the accounts.

Revenue, by contrast, has stayed in a narrow band, at 406.6 billion won in Q2 2025, 407.9 billion won in Q3, 194.2 billion won in Q4, 300.3 billion won in Q1 2026 and 328.5 billion won in Q2 2026, also reflecting a smaller consolidation scope after the Incross and ONE Store disposals.

Annually, revenue declined for four straight years, from 2.3706 trillion won in 2022 to 2.2765 trillion won in 2023, 1.9066 trillion won in 2024 and 1.4115 trillion won in 2025, while operating profit moved from a 2.3397 trillion won loss in 2023 to profits of 3.9126 trillion won in 2024 and 8.7974 trillion won in 2025.

The fact that the 2025 operating margin computes to 623.3% is itself a description of the income structure: the profit and loss statement is dominated by accounting gains on holdings, not by revenue-based margins.

Cash flow deserves attention, since 2025 net profit attributable to owners of 8.8241 trillion won compared with operating cash flow of only 387.2 billion won, versus 189.9 billion won in 2024.

Equity-method income is non-cash, and actual cash arrives only through subsidiary dividends and disposal proceeds, so there is a timing gap between reported profit and distributable cash.

The balance sheet has strengthened: with total liabilities around 2.5214 trillion won, owners' equity grew from 15.2018 trillion won in 2023 to 27.6365 trillion won in 2025, cutting the debt-to-equity ratio from 29.1% in 2022 to 9.0% in 2025.

05

Industry analysis

SK Square's profit and loss is a function of the memory semiconductor cycle. A World Semiconductor Trade Statistics forecast cited by SK hynix's newsroom projected the global semiconductor market growing more than 25% in 2026 to about 975 billion dollars, with memory expanding at a 30%-plus rate.

In high bandwidth memory, Counterpoint Research data showed SK hynix holding first place with a 58% share in the first quarter of 2026, down from 69% a year earlier, while Samsung Electronics was expected to gain share as the first HBM4 supplier to NVIDIA.

In commodity DRAM, capacity crowding-out from HBM is visible: per a Money Today report of August 20, 2026, Morgan Stanley expected third-quarter DDR4 prices to rise 50% quarter on quarter with a further 10% gain in the fourth quarter. Demand-side pressures coexist.

An iM Securities forecast relayed by Investing.com saw PC, smartphone and tablet shipments all declining in 2026, with the degree to which server demand offsets that decline identified as the key swing factor for cycle durability.

Several research houses argued that big tech and neocloud capital spending is likely to continue through 2027, but that funding conditions and data center investment efficiency could become an inflection point from 2028.

On positioning, SK Square is a shareholder rather than a manufacturer, so it cannot directly control variables such as HBM technology gaps or pricing power and instead absorbs their outcome through equity-method accounting, which distinguishes it from semiconductor materials and equipment names.

06

Outlook

On confirmed facts, the first swing factor for future earnings is SK hynix's profit and its return policy.

According to Digital Times and Daum reports, in August 2026 SK hynix announced a 40 trillion won buyback and cancellation program alongside a policy of returning 'more than 50%' of cumulative free cash flow for 2025 to 2027, and it also raised its fixed dividend for 2025 to 2027 to 1,500 won per share from 1,200 won.

Larger subsidiary dividends and returns feed directly into SK Square's cash inflow channel and narrow the timing gap between equity-method income and actual cash.

The second factor is execution of its own shareholder returns: the company cancelled 40 billion won of treasury shares acquired in the first half of 2026 and said it will buy and cancel another 70 billion won by early next year, while press reports from March 2026 outlined a 310 billion won package combining 110 billion won of buybacks and 200 billion won of cash dividends.

Third is a change in market structure, as material from Shinhan Investment and a TradingKey report noted that SK hynix began trading American depositary receipts on Nasdaq on July 10, 2026, with new-share issuance implying dilution of roughly 2%.

Fourth is new investment: management said it is preparing meaningful investments across the semiconductor value chain, but an Asia Today report of July 1, 2026 said no headline-scale deal had yet been confirmed and cited industry talk of a goal to secure 3 trillion won of investment resources next year.

Finally, the company has set value-up targets of cutting its net asset value discount below 30% and lifting its price-to-book ratio above 1 times by 2028, and it disclosed that the discount had narrowed to 38% as of the August 13, 2026 close from 50.1% at the end of the second quarter of the prior year.

07

Valuation

PER
4.2×
PBR
2.5×
ROE
85.6%
EPS
₩248,968
BPS
₩416,104
Dividend per share
₩0

Valuation for this company is more often framed around the net asset value discount than around earnings multiples.

Management said the discount narrowed to 38% as of the August 13, 2026 close from 50.1% at the end of the prior year's second quarter, and Daishin Securities material relayed by Economy Times described a historical discount band of 40% to 77%, averaging 66%, with 65.1% in 2024 and 51.3% in 2025 marking a narrowing trend.

Earnings multiples require care in interpretation. Most of the profit over the latest four quarters consists of non-cash equity-method gains from SK hynix, so even when an earnings multiple screens far below the KOSPI average, that profit does not immediately equate to distributable cash.

The net asset multiple likewise varies widely depending on whether the latest annual or the most recent quarterly equity base is used, so the basis behind any figure displayed on screen should be checked.

On target prices, reports state that Daishin Securities set 1.87 million won in a June 2026 report, SK Securities 1.85 million won in June 2026 material, and Yuanta Securities 2.1 million won in a July 2026 report.

On distributions, the notable change from the past is that cash dividends have been added to a return framework previously centered on buybacks and cancellations, with the confirmed dividend per share to be verified in disclosure-based data.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Wider subsidiary returns broaden the cash inflow channel

In August 2026 SK hynix announced a 40 trillion won buyback and cancellation program and a policy of returning more than 50% of cumulative free cash flow for 2025 to 2027, and raised its fixed dividend to 1,500 won per share from 1,200 won.

For SK Square, holding 20.5%, this feeds through as both larger dividend receipts and changes in stake value. Given that 2025 operating cash flow was only 387.2 billion won, rising dividend inflows change the character of its own funding for returns. The company has also laid out a package that adds cash dividends to buybacks from 2026.

Simpler portfolio alongside a stronger balance sheet

The company sold Incross in January 2026 and ONE Store in June, trimming non-core assets and concentrating resources on AI and semiconductors. Financially, the debt-to-equity ratio fell from 29.1% in 2022 to 9.0% in 2025, while owners' equity rose from 15.2018 trillion won in 2023 to 27.6365 trillion won in 2025.

Disposal proceeds and low leverage create room to weigh new investments and shareholder returns at the same time. Management has said it is preparing new investments across the semiconductor value chain.

Tight memory supply feeding through to subsidiary profit

As capacity concentrates on high bandwidth memory, commodity DRAM supply has tightened, and per a Money Today report of August 20, 2026 Morgan Stanley expected third-quarter DDR4 prices to rise 50% quarter on quarter.

A World Semiconductor Trade Statistics forecast cited by SK hynix's newsroom projected memory growing at a 30%-plus rate in 2026. SK Square absorbs this through equity-method accounting, which is the backdrop to the company-announced first-half 2026 operating profit of 27.5137 trillion won. While subsidiary profit holds up, the absolute level of accounting profit stays elevated.

09

Bear factors

Earnings quality: a wide gap between profit and cash

Net profit attributable to owners was 8.8241 trillion won in 2025, but operating cash flow was just 387.2 billion won. Most profit is non-cash equity-method income, and actual cash is recognized only when subsidiary dividends arrive.

Estimating return capacity from headline profit alone can therefore diverge sharply from what can actually be funded. Even against 2024 operating cash flow of 189.9 billion won, the absolute cash scale remains modest.

Consolidated revenue has fallen for four straight years

Consolidated revenue fell from 2.3706 trillion won in 2022 to 2.2765 trillion won in 2023, 1.9066 trillion won in 2024 and 1.4115 trillion won in 2025. Quarterly revenue has also stayed in the 300 billion won range, at 194.2 billion won in Q4 2025, 300.3 billion won in Q1 2026 and 328.5 billion won in Q2 2026.

Part of this reflects a narrower consolidation scope after disposals, but the fact remains that the operating base excluding equity-method income has not grown. The thinner that base, the weaker the buffer against swings in the subsidiary's industry.

Large new investments remain unconfirmed

An Asia Today report of July 1, 2026 said the company's activity remained at the level of AI startup investments in the United States and Japan via affiliate vehicle TGC Square, with no headline-scale deal yet.

Cumulative investment through TGC Square stands at 30 billion won across seven companies, against a stated plan of about 100 billion won. Since the company defines itself as a semiconductor investment holding company, it will take time and verification before proprietary investment results contribute to earnings. Until timing and targets are fixed, a gap between plan and execution persists.

10

Risk factors

Memory cycle risk

Because most of the profit comes from equity-method gains on SK hynix, any downturn in memory prices or HBM supply-demand transmits earnings volatility directly.

An iM Securities forecast relayed by Investing.com projected declines in 2026 PC, smartphone and tablet shipments, and several research houses flagged data center funding conditions after 2028 as a potential inflection point.

Material compiled by SK hynix's newsroom also noted the possibility that HBM prices enter a correction phase amid intensifying competition and capacity expansion. The 2023 operating loss of 2.3397 trillion won is the actual record of how wide the swing can be when the cycle turns.

Concentration and governance risk

In the company's investor relations breakdown as of August 6, 2026, SK hynix accounted for 218.42 trillion won of a 223.6 trillion won total NAV, leaving the structure effectively dependent on a single asset. The combined size of TMAP Mobility, SK Shieldus, SK Planet and Contents Wavve is small by comparison.

Changes in the subsidiary stake, such as dilution from depositary receipt issuance, or group-level restructuring decisions feed directly into the holding company's value composition.

Shinhan Investment material noted that the July 2026 Nasdaq depositary receipt issuance was new-share based and implied dilution of roughly 2%.

Execution risk on returns and investment

The stated additional 70 billion won of buybacks and cancellations and the medium-term return plan can shift in size and timing depending on board resolutions and the timing of cash inflows.

At the same time, large semiconductor value-chain investments have no confirmed target or price, so investment execution and expanded returns could compete for the same resources. With 2025 operating cash flow at 387.2 billion won, internal cash generation constrains a simultaneous large increase in both.

The 2028 targets of a NAV discount below 30% and a price-to-book ratio above 1 times also require ongoing monitoring of execution.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late October 2026

    Watch SK hynix's third-quarter 2026 results and its fourth-quarter shipment and pricing guidance, since these effectively pre-determine the direction of SK Square's third-quarter equity-method gains.

  2. Mid-November 2026

    In SK Square's third-quarter report, check equity-method gains, operating cash flow and dividends received together, since whether the gap between accounting profit and cash narrows is the key indicator for its own funding of returns.

  3. Q4 2026 to early 2027

    This is when to look for disclosures on actual execution of the additional 70 billion won buyback and cancellation, as following through from purchase to cancellation demonstrates consistency in the return policy.

  4. Around the March 2027 annual general meeting

    Check the payout ratio against 2026 recurring dividend income, the finalized dividend proposal and the 2027 return plan; this is when it becomes verifiable whether larger subsidiary dividends actually translate into holding-company returns.

  5. Date undetermined, pending ad hoc disclosure

    Watch for any announcement of a large new semiconductor value-chain investment and the pace at which TGC Square deploys its 100 billion won, as deal size, target and funding method could reshape both the asset mix and the balance sheet.

12

Overall view

SK Square is an investment-type intermediate holding company built around its SK hynix stake, and the shape of its income statement mirrors that structure.

Second-quarter 2026 operating profit of 19.2354 trillion won and net profit attributable to owners of 18.6748 trillion won were quarterly records, yet revenue in the same quarter was only 328.5 billion won, and consolidated revenue fell for four consecutive years from 2.3706 trillion won in 2022 to 1.4115 trillion won in 2025.

Annual operating profit moved from a 2.3397 trillion won loss in 2023 to profits of 3.9126 trillion won in 2024 and 8.7974 trillion won in 2025, while the debt-to-equity ratio fell from 29.1% in 2022 to 9.0% in 2025.

On the other side stands the gap between 2025 net profit of 8.8241 trillion won and operating cash flow of 387.2 billion won, which means accounting profit and actual funding for shareholder returns must be assessed separately.

The bull case rests on expanding subsidiary return policies, a simplified portfolio and reduced leverage; the bear case rests on memory cycle dependence, single-asset concentration and the unproven record of large proprietary investments.

Items to verify next are SK hynix's third-quarter results and guidance, dividends received and cash flow in SK Square's third-quarter report, execution of the 70 billion won treasury share cancellation, and any disclosure of new semiconductor value-chain investment. This report is for information purposes only and contains no buy or sell opinion and no target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. naewoeilbo.com
  2. nspna.com
  3. m-i.kr
  4. newspim.com
  5. alphasquare.co.kr
  6. asiae.co.kr
  7. ket.kr
  8. investing.com
  9. investing.com
  10. v.daum.net
  11. v.daum.net
  12. dt.co.kr
  13. ket.kr
  14. v.daum.net
  15. sksquare.com
  16. sksquare.com
  17. shinhangroup.com
  18. m.kbsec.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.