KOSPIBiotech & Pharma302440

SK Bioscience

₩36,550▼ 0.68%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩2.9T
Turnover
₩1.7B
Volume
50K
Shares out.
78.5M
PER
—
PBR
1.7×
EPS
-₩1,081
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

IDT Narrows Losses, GBP410 Is the Watershed

After the COVID-19 windfall faded, losses have persisted, but the profit turnaround at German CDMO subsidiary IDT Biologika is rapidly shrinking the quarterly operating deficit, while the ultimate direction of consolidated earnings hinges on late-stage data for GBP410, the 21-valent pneumococcal vaccine co-developed with Sanofi.

  1. 1

    2025 consolidated revenue rose to KRW 651.4bn, about 2.4 times the KRW 267.5bn of 2024, while the operating loss narrowed from KRW 138.4bn to KRW 123.5bn, lifting the operating margin from -51.7% to -19.0%.

  2. 2

    The quarterly operating loss narrowed from KRW 51.6bn in 4Q25 and KRW 44.5bn in 1Q26 to KRW 15.7bn in 2Q26, which the company attributed mainly to higher output and cost improvement at IDT in Germany.

  3. 3

    Operating cash flow swung from minus KRW 128.0bn in 2024 to plus KRW 102.5bn in 2025, yet total liabilities grew from KRW 148.6bn in 2023 to KRW 918.3bn in 2025 and the debt-to-equity ratio rose from 8.7% to 45.1%.

  4. 4

    In proprietary vaccines, the company secured a UNICEF supply channel alongside PAHO and domestic national immunization volumes, and signed a technology transfer deal for its varicella vaccine with Colombia's state-owned VECOL.

  5. 5

    GBP410 is in global Phase 3 across the United States and Europe with the company targeting top-line data in the second half of 2027, funded in part by KRW 300bn of ultra-low-rate long-term financing from the National Growth Fund.

02

Business structure

SK bioscience is a vaccine and bio company built on two pillars: sales of proprietary vaccines and contract development and manufacturing (CDMO). Its existing earnings base consists of in-house vaccines including the influenza vaccine SKYCellflu, the varicella vaccine SKYVaricella and the shingles vaccine SKYZoster.

Domestically the business is heavily public-procurement driven, as the company supplies its own influenza and varicella vaccines through the national immunization program (NIP), while its shingles vaccine is widely used in local government vaccination support schemes.

Overseas channels can be summarized by the company's statement that it was selected as a UNICEF influenza vaccine supplier for 2026 and began sequential shipment of a combined 640,000 doses across the southern and northern hemispheres, securing both major public procurement channels alongside its earlier mainstay PAHO.

For SKYVaricella, the company signed a technology transfer and local production facility agreement with Colombian state pharmaceutical firm VECOL.

The CDMO pillar is IDT Biologika, the German vaccine and biologics CDMO acquired in 2024 as a strategic investment to extend a proprietary-vaccine business model into global contract development and manufacturing.

The combination is showing up in actual contracts: for the second-generation Zaire Ebola vaccine pursued with MSD and Hilleman Laboratories, SK bioscience produces the drug substance while IDT handles drug product development and manufacturing under a contract signed in March 2026, and shortly before that the pair won a phase-one task in a next-generation vaccine initiative run by European health authorities (HaDEA under mandate from HERA), targeting a high-immunogenicity seasonal influenza vaccine for the elderly and a patch-type pandemic influenza vaccine.

On subsidiary scale, an August 2026 press report stated that IDT turned profitable in 2025 with revenue of KRW 465.7bn and operating profit of KRW 9.9bn, and posted revenue of KRW 129.5bn and operating profit of KRW 18.6bn in 2Q26.

Competitively, domestic influenza and varicella vaccines compete with other Korean vaccine makers in public tenders, while pneumococcal conjugate vaccines sit in a market long dominated by global majors, implying high development difficulty and entry barriers.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩161.9B-₩37.4B−23.1%
2025Q3₩150.8B-₩19.4B−12.8%
2025Q4₩184.2B-₩51.6B−28.0%
2026Q1₩168.6B-₩44.5B−26.4%
2026Q2₩155.7B-₩15.7B−10.1%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩456.7B₩115B₩122.5B25.2%7.0%23.0%
2023₩369.5B-₩12B₩22.3B−3.2%1.3%8.7%
2024₩267.5B-₩138.4B-₩53.9B−51.7%−3.0%40.6%
2025₩651.4B-₩123.5B-₩57.4B−19.0%−3.2%45.1%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

The earnings trajectory splits sharply around the COVID-19 period. In 2022 the company posted revenue of KRW 456.7bn, operating profit of KRW 115.0bn and a 25.2% operating margin; in 2023 revenue of KRW 369.5bn came with an operating loss of KRW 12.0bn, though net profit remained positive at KRW 22.3bn.

In 2024 revenue shrank to KRW 267.5bn while the operating loss widened to KRW 138.4bn, pushing the operating margin to -51.7%, with operating cash flow at minus KRW 128.0bn.

In 2025, with IDT consolidated for a full year, revenue reached KRW 651.4bn, roughly 2.4 times the prior year, the operating loss narrowed to KRW 123.5bn for a -19.0% margin, and operating cash flow swung to plus KRW 102.5bn.

Net loss attributable to owners nonetheless persisted at KRW 53.9bn in 2024 and KRW 57.4bn in 2025, while the acquisition-driven balance sheet shift lifted total liabilities from KRW 148.6bn in 2023 to KRW 918.3bn in 2025 and the debt-to-equity ratio from 8.7% to 45.1%.

Quarterly, the operating loss ran KRW 37.4bn in 2Q25, KRW 19.4bn in 3Q25, KRW 51.6bn in 4Q25 and KRW 44.5bn in 1Q26 before narrowing to KRW 15.7bn in 2Q26.

Notably, 3Q25 delivered positive net profit attributable to owners of KRW 24.5bn despite the operating loss, illustrating how non-operating items can swing quarterly bottom lines.

For the first half of 2026 combined, revenue was KRW 324.3bn with an operating loss of KRW 60.3bn: the top line edged up but the deficit widened, and the company cited the relocation of headquarters to Songdo early in the year and increased research and development spending as the reasons.

On the second-quarter revenue decline, management explained that part of its proprietary vaccine volume was deferred to the third quarter and that, with those volumes recognized in 3Q, the impact on full-year results should be limited.

Summing the four quarters from 3Q25 through 2Q26 gives revenue of about KRW 659.3bn, an operating loss of about KRW 131.3bn and a net loss attributable to owners of about KRW 84.7bn.

05

Industry analysis

With the pandemic windfall gone, the vaccine industry has shifted to a phase where seasonal products, public procurement and late-stage pipeline outcomes determine results.

The pneumococcal vaccine market the company targets is projected by Evaluate Pharma to grow at a 4.7% compound annual rate from KRW 11.9tn in 2024 to KRW 14.2tn in 2028, and conjugate technology accounted for 94% of global pneumococcal vaccine sales as of 2023, making it the de facto standard.

The segment is dominated by global majors, but a stated differentiator is that GBP410 is the first candidate in infant Phase 3 trials to include more than 20 serotypes.

For domestic influenza vaccines, analysis notes that government procurement prices, vaccination rates, rival output and circulating virus shifts all matter, and that expansion of overseas public procurement volume will determine growth.

On the CDMO side, outsourcing demand from global pharma persists, while European manufacturing footprint and regulatory track record act as key competitive variables in winning orders.

On positioning, the company states it holds the world's first cell-culture influenza vaccine to obtain WHO prequalification, giving it a certification base usable in international agency tenders.

On the other hand, proprietary vaccine sales cluster in the vaccination season and CDMO revenue depends on client schedules, so commentary also warns that quarterly volatility is high and at least two to three more quarters of profit trends need to be observed.

06

Outlook

The company's near-term plan is explicit.

It intends to accelerate earnings improvement in the second half through expansion of IDT's CDMO business and increased proprietary vaccine supply, while continuing clinical development of core pipeline assets including GBP410, and management added that volumes deferred from the second quarter will be fully recognized within the third quarter.

On late-stage timing, as of the May 2026 disclosure, global Phase 3 is underway and the company targets a top-line readout in the second half of next year while preparing for commercialization and building out production, placing the checkpoint in the second half of 2027.

The Phase 3 covers roughly 7,700 subjects aged six weeks to 17 years, with the company aiming to secure key results in the second half of 2027. On capacity, commercial production expansion at the Andong L HOUSE has been completed, adding manufacturing capability for global supply.

On funding, a total of KRW 300bn is provided as ultra-low-rate long-term borrowing and will be applied to GBP410 research and development, commercialization preparation and production upgrades, with the structure comprising KRW 250bn from the government advanced strategic industries fund and KRW 50bn from Korea Development Bank.

Because this is debt rather than equity, however, its impact on interest expense and leverage metrics also warrants monitoring. As for sell-side views, Heungkuk Securities was reported to have, in a May 2026 note, forecast a full-year operating loss of KRW 149.3bn and cut its target price to KRW 52,000 from KRW 60,000.

07

Valuation

PER
—
PBR
1.7×
ROE
-4.8%
EPS
-₩1,081
BPS
₩22,298
Dividend per share
₩0

Because the four most recent quarters combined are loss-making, earnings-based multiples cannot be computed and the price-earnings ratio is not displayed on the data card.

Valuation discussion therefore shifts naturally to the multiple against net assets and to pipeline value, and the current price-to-book multiple sits in a range that still carries a premium to net assets.

That admits two readings at once: that the market is partly pricing in IDT's profit improvement and GBP410's late-stage value even after the peak-COVID earnings base disappeared, and that continued losses exert downward pressure on net assets that must be factored in.

No dividend was paid over this period, so a dividend-yield comparison does not apply. Purely in terms of direction, the operating margin moved from the deep deficit of 2024 toward progressively narrower losses through 2025 and into 2Q26, but has not yet reached profitability.

In the end, the inputs for any repricing are concentrated in two things: how close quarterly earnings come to breakeven, and the Phase 3 readout event.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

IDT's profit turnaround is a real driver of narrower consolidated losses

The 2Q26 consolidated operating loss of KRW 15.7bn was far smaller than KRW 51.6bn in 4Q25 and KRW 44.5bn in 1Q26. Management attributed the improvement mainly to IDT Biologika, acquired in 2024, citing higher client production volumes plus workforce optimization and yield gains that lowered cost burden.

Press reports state that IDT had posted four consecutive profitable quarters through 2Q26. The shift of an acquired subsidiary from a cost item to a profit contributor can be seen as supporting the floor of consolidated earnings.

Dual public procurement channels and wider overseas approvals

The company said it diversified from its existing PAHO channel to UNICEF, securing a supply base covering both major global public procurement markets.

It added that it was named UNICEF's sole supplier for southern hemisphere volumes for the season, which helps establish year-round operation of its production facilities.

Approvals have also broadened, as it obtained varicella vaccine approval in Vietnam and influenza vaccine approval in Moldova while expanding its portfolio into Thailand, Malaysia, Mongolia, Pakistan and Chile. Supplying two hemispheres with offset seasons creates room for improvement in capacity utilization.

Policy funding eases the late-stage clinical cost burden

This marks the first time a Korean new-drug or vaccine developer has been selected for National Growth Fund support, with the approved financing totaling KRW 300bn.

The company said it will deploy the proceeds into research and development, commercialization preparation and production upgrades for GBP410, which is in Phase 3. Large late-stage trials typically accelerate cash burn, and long-dated low-rate funding spreads that burden over time.

On commercial readiness, the Andong L HOUSE facility has been expanded in preparation for commercial production of GBP410.

09

Bear factors

The loss-making phase has persisted for several years

Operating results were negative for three straight years: a KRW 12.0bn loss in 2023, KRW 138.4bn in 2024 and KRW 123.5bn in 2025, with net loss attributable to owners of KRW 53.9bn in 2024 and KRW 57.4bn in 2025.

The first half of 2026 also stayed in deficit, with revenue of KRW 324.3bn and an operating loss of KRW 60.3bn. That is why commentary notes that narrower quarterly losses do not yet amount to a full-year turn to profit. Accumulated losses erode equity, so the timing of a return to profitability remains the crux.

The balance sheet looks very different from the pre-acquisition era

Total liabilities rose from KRW 148.6bn in 2023 to KRW 821.1bn in 2024 and KRW 918.3bn in 2025, lifting the debt-to-equity ratio from 8.7% to 45.1%. On top of that, the KRW 300bn National Growth Fund package is borrowing rather than equity, so it adds to debt and interest expense.

Press reports state that as of the most recently detailed balance sheet at end-1Q26, consolidated cash and cash equivalents were KRW 86.7bn against borrowings of KRW 534.2bn. Higher leverage during a loss-making phase increases sensitivity to shifts in funding conditions.

Results hinge heavily on a small number of events

Analysis holds that the strategy's success depends on IDT generating stable profits and on the global Phase 3 outcome for the 21-valent pneumococcal vaccine GBP410. Neither variable is fully within the company's control: trial results turn on statistical outcomes and IDT's results on global clients' production plans.

Forecasting is further complicated because quarterly volatility is high given the seasonality of proprietary vaccine supply and CDMO production schedules. Until the readout, quarterly figures alone may remain a weak guide to the medium-term trajectory.

10

Risk factors

Clinical and regulatory risk

GBP410 is co-developed with Sanofi and is in global Phase 3 covering roughly 7,700 subjects aged six weeks to 17 years.

Large pediatric late-stage trials turn on whether immunogenicity comparison criteria are met and on safety signals; failure or delay would push out recovery of the research spending and capacity investment already committed.

Pneumococcal vaccines face intense global competition, and even after development, global approvals, large-scale manufacturing and supply chain build-out remain to be solved. Divergent review timelines across jurisdictions add further uncertainty to commercialization timing.

Seasonality and procurement price risk

Proprietary vaccine revenue clusters in the vaccination season; in 2Q26 the company explained that revenue fell because part of its proprietary vaccine volume was deferred to the third quarter.

Such deferrals distort quarter-on-quarter comparisons, and weak in-season vaccination rates or a mismatch with circulating strains could reduce volumes outright. Influenza vaccines are affected by government procurement prices, vaccination rates, rival output and changes in circulating viruses. A heavy public procurement mix brings revenue stability and constrained pricing power at the same time.

Overseas subsidiary, currency and interest rate risk

Because the driver of consolidated improvement is concentrated in the German subsidiary, euro exchange rate moves feed directly into revenue and earnings translation.

Indeed, reports noted that in 1Q26 IDT recorded an operating loss of KRW 5.8bn as it overhauled facilities to raise future productivity, showing that subsidiary earnings can swing quarter to quarter. With borrowings rising, changes in interest rates and credit terms flow into the bottom line through interest expense. Local European labor and energy costs are additional variables shaping CDMO margins.

11

What to watch next

  1. September to October 2026

    Time to check the start of UNICEF northern hemisphere shipments beginning in September and the opening of the domestic influenza vaccination season. Whether the proprietary vaccine volumes deferred from 2Q are actually shipped in this window is the key to third-quarter revenue.

  2. Early November 2026

    The third-quarter preliminary disclosure should be checked for the effect of deferred volumes and for whether IDT stays profitable. Key questions are whether the loss narrows further from the KRW 15.7bn operating loss of 2Q26 and whether peak-season revenue absorbs fixed costs.

  3. December 2026 to January 2027

    A window to verify through disclosures the actual drawdown and deployment of the KRW 300bn National Growth Fund borrowing, and the resulting changes in debt and interest expense. Since the company said it would channel the proceeds into global Phase 3 costs for the pneumococcal vaccine and expansion of the Andong plant in Gyeongbuk, the pace of spending by purpose is the focus.

  4. Around February 2027

    At the full-year 2026 release, check how the annual operating loss compares with the KRW 123.5bn of 2025 and whether operating cash flow holds near the plus KRW 102.5bn of 2025. IDT's annual profit contribution is also on the checklist.

  5. Second half of 2027

    This is the timing the company has set as its target for the GBP410 global Phase 3 top-line readout. The immunogenicity and safety comparison, plus subsequent filing plans, will govern the commercialization timeline and the utilization plan for the expanded Andong capacity.

12

Overall view

SK bioscience is at a stage where narrowing losses and turning profitable are not yet the same thing.

Revenue in 2025 reached KRW 651.4bn, about 2.4 times the KRW 267.5bn of 2024, and the operating margin improved from -51.7% to -19.0%, yet three consecutive years of operating losses coexist with a KRW 60.3bn operating loss in the first half of 2026.

Quarterly, the deficit shrank from KRW 51.6bn in 4Q25 to KRW 15.7bn in 2Q26, and the company pointed to the earnings improvement at IDT Biologika, acquired in 2024, as the reason.

At the same time, total liabilities grew from KRW 148.6bn in 2023 to KRW 918.3bn in 2025 with the debt-to-equity ratio at 45.1%, so the higher financial leverage taken on in exchange for a growth asset must also be weighed.

Operationally, verified achievements are accumulating: a UNICEF supply channel added to PAHO, the VECOL technology transfer in Colombia, and IDT's drug product contract for the MSD Ebola vaccine.

Conversely, as analysis notes that the strategy's success rests on IDT generating stable profits and on the GBP410 global Phase 3 outcome, the medium-term path depends heavily on a readout signposted for the second half of 2027.

The sensible approach is therefore to weigh the bullish factors (subsidiary profit improvement, dual public procurement channels, secured policy funding) equally against the bearish ones (persistent losses, rising leverage, dependence on a single event) and to verify quarterly results and clinical milestones in sequence. This report is for informational purposes and does not contain buy or sell recommendations on any security.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. insight.co.kr
  2. medipharmhealth.co.kr
  3. medipharmhealth.co.kr
  4. businesspost.co.kr
  5. alphasquare.co.kr
  6. huffingtonpost.kr
  7. cbci.co.kr
  8. newspim.com
  9. etoday.co.kr
  10. skbioscience.com
  11. medicaltimes.com
  12. pharm.edaily.co.kr
  13. skbioscience.com
  14. mt.co.kr
  15. gb.go.kr
  16. hankyung.com
  17. skbioscience.com
  18. skchemicals.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.