KOSPIOthers213500

Hansol Paper

₩7,220▼ 0.28%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩171.8B
Turnover
₩200M
Volume
30,000 shares
Shares out.
23.8M
PER
8.2×
PBR
0.2×
EPS
₩928
Dividend Yield
6.61%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩500 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Cartel Fine Risk Cleared, Earnings Recovering

Hansol Paper posted a sharp operating profit rebound in Q2 2026 on strong packaging paperboard sales and higher thermal paper prices, while a cartel fine from Q1 was fully exempted under the leniency program, reducing uncertainty.

  1. 1

    Q2 2026 consolidated operating profit rose sharply year-on-year, reversing Q1 weakness.

  2. 2

    A cartel fine tied to printing paper price collusion was fully exempted through the leniency program.

  3. 3

    The business portfolio has shifted toward specialty paper and industrial paperboard, reducing reliance on printing paper.

  4. 4

    Rising imported pulp prices and energy costs remain a source of margin volatility.

  5. 5

    The trajectory shows a shift from a 2024 net loss caused by environmental segment bad-debt charges to a modest 2025 profit and a further earnings recovery in H1 2026.

02

Business structure

Hansol Paper is Korea's largest integrated paper manufacturer, operating across three core segments: printing paper, industrial paper (packaging paperboard such as coated ivory board), and specialty paper (thermal paper, label paper, glassine paper, etc.).

The company holds a dominant share of the domestic thermal paper market, a position reinforced by the 2017 merger with Hansol Artone Paper.

Printing paper, which once accounted for close to half of sales, has seen its share decline amid digitization and falling demand, while industrial paper centered on cosmetics and food packaging board, along with specialty paper such as thermal and label paper, have grown in relative weight.

As of the nine months through Q3 2024, printing paper and specialty paper together still made up a large portion of paper-segment sales, with industrial paper and other items also holding a meaningful share.

The environmental business segment, which combines engineering-procurement-construction (EPC) work and outsourced environmental facility operations, remains a relatively small contributor to revenue.

More recently, the company has expanded into new materials and eco-friendly packaging, including its "Protego" moisture and odor barrier coating for paper cups and containers, its "Terravas" plastic-alternative paper container brand, and nanocellulose, a wood-pulp-derived biopolymer.

Hansol Paper also brought paper container maker Sungwoo NBTech under its umbrella to expand eco-friendly packaging supply to delivery and convenience-store channels.

Key competitors include Moorim Paper, Moorim P&P, Korea Paper, and Hongwon Paper, and these six companies together account for the vast majority of the domestic printing paper market, forming an oligopolistic structure.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩565B₩19.3B3.4%
2025Q3₩554.8B₩2.6B0.5%
2025Q4₩594.6B₩7.7B1.3%
2026Q1₩559.8B₩11.2B2.0%
2026Q2₩592.7B₩50.8B8.6%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩2.5T₩130.2B₩73.8B5.3%9.9%197.6%
2023₩2.2T₩47.2B₩1.8B2.2%0.2%186.5%
2024₩2.2T₩22B-₩30.4B1.0%−4.4%193.5%
2025₩2.3T₩49.9B₩3.9B2.2%0.6%185.8%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-21

04

Earnings analysis

On an annual basis, revenue and profit peaked in 2022 at KRW 2.458 trillion and KRW 130.2 billion in operating profit (5.3% margin), before operating profit fell sharply to KRW 47.2 billion (2.2% margin) in 2023.

In 2024, revenue rose slightly to KRW 2.216 trillion, yet operating profit dropped further to KRW 22.0 billion (1.0% margin), and the company posted a net loss attributable to owners of KRW 30.4 billion, reflecting one-off factors including bad-debt charges in the environmental business.

In 2025, performance improved, with revenue of KRW 2.290 trillion and operating profit of KRW 49.9 billion (2.2% margin), turning owners' net income positive at KRW 3.9 billion.

On a quarterly basis, owners' net income was negative in both Q3 2025 (-KRW 9.1 billion) and Q4 2025 (-KRW 2.2 billion), before recovering to KRW 3.4 billion in Q1 2026 and KRW 30.0 billion in Q2 2026.

Notably, in Q2 2026 Hansol Paper reported consolidated revenue of KRW 592.7 billion and operating profit of KRW 50.8 billion, with revenue up 4.9% and operating profit up 162.8% year-on-year, while net income rose 253.3% to about KRW 30 billion.

The company attributed this to increased sales of paperboard for cosmetics and food packaging amid the global spread of Korean culture, higher thermal paper prices due to Chinese thermal dye supply disruptions, and tariff refunds following the invalidation of US reciprocal tariffs.

By contrast, the preceding Q1 2026 was weak, as consolidated Q1 revenue fell 2.7% year-on-year to KRW 559.8 billion, operating profit dropped 44.7% to KRW 11.2 billion, and net income fell 49.0% to KRW 3.4 billion.

The margin deterioration stemmed from the fact that imported pulp (BKP) prices rose 12.7% to USD 612 per ton in Q1 from an average of USD 543 the prior year, even as industrial paper prices fell 0.3% and printing/specialty paper prices fell an average of 3.9% year-on-year.

The Q2 rebound can be read as a sign that price increases began to offset cost pressure, and the annual debt ratio has trended gradually lower, from 197.6% in 2022 to 185.8% in 2025.

05

Industry analysis

Korea's printing paper market is an oligopoly dominated by six companies, and structural demand is declining amid digitization.

In contrast, industrial and specialty paper used for packaging is holding up relatively well, supported by e-commerce growth, rising cosmetics and food exports linked to the global spread of Korean culture, and paper substitution driven by tighter plastic regulations.

On the cost side, pulp accounts for about 60% of paper manufacturing costs as the core raw material for printing paper, tissue, and paperboard, and Korea relies on imports for 88.2% of total pulp usage, leaving earnings highly exposed to swings in global pulp prices and exchange rates.

Indeed, in early 2026 US southern mixed hardwood pulp (SBHK) prices rose from USD 630 per ton in August of the prior year to USD 700 per ton.

Meanwhile, Korea's paper packaging market is projected to grow from USD 18.6 billion in 2026 to USD 22.77 billion by 2031, a compound annual growth rate of 4.12%, supported by structural factors such as surging parcel volumes at large logistics hubs and the mandatory 20% recycled content requirement for corrugated packaging.

On the export side, the US 15% reciprocal tariff reduced Korean paper industry exports to the US by 9.6% year-on-year, a headwind worth noting. Competitors Moorim Paper and Moorim P&P operate integrated pulp production, giving them a somewhat different cost sensitivity profile relative to Hansol Paper.

06

Outlook

In its Q2 2026 earnings release, the company said it expects the earnings improvement trend to continue in the second half, supported by stabilizing raw material and auxiliary material prices and growth in eco-friendly, high-value businesses such as nanocellulose and biodegradable packaging.

Regarding the printing paper collusion case, the KRW 142.5 billion fine imposed by Korea's Fair Trade Commission was fully exempted for Hansol Paper under the leniency program, while Moorim P&P and Moorim Paper each received reductions of several hundred billion won, removing the risk of a large cash outflow.

However, the FTC also required the six companies to independently reset prices and report changes semi-annually for three years as a corrective measure to prevent recurrence, which could constrain future pricing flexibility.

Indeed, price adjustments such as discount rate cuts on certain brands after the fine exemption have reignited friction with the printing industry, making follow-up negotiations or potential legal action a variable to watch.

In new eco-friendly materials, the "Protego" moisture-barrier coating, the "Terravas" plastic-alternative paper container line, and nanocellulose materials are cited as growth drivers, though their revenue contribution still appears modest relative to the core paper and industrial paper businesses.

Given the large bad-debt charges the environmental business segment incurred in 2024, continued monitoring of new orders and any recurrence of provisioning issues in existing projects remains warranted.

07

Valuation

PER
8.2×
PBR
0.2×
ROE
3.1%
EPS
₩928
BPS
₩30,492
Dividend per share
₩500

Hansol Paper's share price sits well below its book value per share, indicating a discount relative to net asset value on an accounting basis.

On the earnings side, the trajectory has moved from a net loss in 2024 to a modest profit in 2025 and a further earnings recovery in the first half of 2026, a directional shift worth factoring into any read of the price-to-earnings relationship.

Dividends have been paid annually, but given the capital-intensive nature of the paper industry and quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility, the sustainability of future payout levels is likely to hinge on the trajectory of raw material and product prices.

The full exemption of the printing paper collusion fine removes a one-off cost risk that had weighed on valuation uncertainty, though the FTC's three-year price-reset reporting requirement is a constraint worth watching going forward.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-21

08

Bull factors

Cartel Fine Risk Removed

The KRW 142.5 billion cartel fine tied to printing paper price collusion was fully exempted through the leniency program, removing the risk of a large cash outflow. Given the fine had been sized at roughly 20% of 2025 year-end consolidated equity, the reduction in financial burden is meaningful. That said, the case is not fully closed, as a three-year price-reset reporting obligation remains in place.

Shift Toward Higher-Value Portfolio

The revenue mix has shifted from printing paper toward industrial paper (packaging paperboard) and specialty paper (thermal, label paper), reshaping the business structure.

Demand for cosmetics and food packaging linked to the global spread of Korean culture, along with rising thermal paper prices, drove the Q2 2026 earnings improvement. Growing e-commerce and tightening eco-packaging regulations are structural factors supporting related demand.

Expansion into Eco-Friendly New Materials

The company is expanding into new materials such as the "Protego" moisture-barrier coating, the "Terravas" plastic-alternative paper container line, and nanocellulose, pursuing a transition from an integrated paper maker toward an eco-friendly materials company.

It has also brought paper container maker Sungwoo NBTech under its umbrella to broaden supply to delivery and convenience-store channels. Revenue contribution from these areas, however, remains modest relative to the core paper business.

09

Bear factors

Raw Material and FX Volatility

Heavy reliance on imported pulp leaves cost structures highly sensitive to global pulp price and exchange rate swings. In Q1 2026, a combination of rising pulp prices and falling product prices caused a sharp decline in operating profit.

With raw material costs approaching half of revenue, any delay in passing costs through to prices can quickly destabilize margins.

Structural Decline in Printing Paper Demand

The long-term decline in printing paper demand driven by digitization is a difficult structural trend to reverse. Even after the fine reduction, the government's price-reset order remains in effect, potentially constraining the company's ability to improve profitability through price increases. Continued friction with the printing industry could also translate into negotiation or regulatory risk.

Risk of Recurring Environmental Segment Losses

Bad-debt charges related to logistics warehouse projects in the environmental business segment were the main cause of the large 2024 net loss. The possibility of similar bad-debt issues recurring in new orders or existing projects cannot be ruled out.

Since the environmental segment's revenue share is relatively small, individual project risk can have an outsized impact on overall results.

10

Risk factors

Raw Material and Energy Costs

Pulp and energy costs make up a substantial portion of manufacturing costs, leaving profits heavily influenced by global raw material prices and exchange rates. Delayed cost pass-through can widen quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility. As an energy-intensive industry, the company is also exposed to changes in electricity and fuel cost policy.

Regulatory and Litigation Risk

Under the FTC's price-reset order, the company must report semi-annual price changes for the next three years, potentially limiting flexibility in pricing policy. The possibility that friction with the printing industry could escalate into legal disputes cannot be excluded. A history of repeated collusion findings could also be a basis for stricter future scrutiny.

Financial Structure and Earnings Stability

The debt ratio has remained in the high-180% to high-190% range, indicating only gradual improvement in the capital structure. Quarterly net income has alternated between losses and profits, suggesting earnings stability has not yet fully taken hold.

A recurrence of one-off costs in segments such as the environmental business could materially affect annual results.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late October to early November 2026

    The Q3 2026 earnings release should be checked for whether the price-increase effect persists and how pulp and other raw material costs are trending.

  2. H2 2026 to H1 2027

    It is worth monitoring compliance with the FTC's semi-annual price-reset reporting requirement and how the friction with the printing industry develops, whether through negotiation or litigation.

  3. From Q4 2026 onward

    Continued monitoring is needed of whether international pulp (BKP/SBHK) prices rise further or stabilize, and the resulting impact on cost burden and margins.

  4. By year-end 2026

    Progress on commercializing eco-friendly new materials such as nanocellulose, Terravas, and Protego, and whether their revenue contribution expands, should be checked.

12

Overall view

Hansol Paper appears to be entering a normalization phase, with its earnings trajectory moving from a 2024 net loss caused by environmental segment bad-debt charges to a modest 2025 profit and a further recovery in H1 2026.

In Q2 2026, operating profit improved sharply on the back of increased packaging paperboard sales, higher thermal paper prices, and tariff refund effects, while the large cartel fine imposed in Q1 was fully exempted through the leniency program, reducing financial uncertainty.

That said, given the company's high reliance on imported pulp, quarter-to-quarter earnings volatility tied to global raw material prices and exchange rates is likely to persist, and the FTC's three-year price-reset reporting obligation along with ongoing friction with the printing industry remain variables for future pricing policy.

The business portfolio continues to shift from printing paper toward industrial and specialty paper as well as eco-friendly new materials, making the expansion of higher-value businesses a key point to watch over the medium to long term.

On balance, the resolution of cartel-related risk and the earnings recovery represent positive developments, while cost volatility, the structural decline in printing paper demand, and the risk of renewed environmental segment losses remain offsetting concerns.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. weekly.hankooki.com
  2. biz.heraldcorp.com
  3. hankyung.com
  4. mordorintelligence.kr
  5. sentv.co.kr
  6. biz.heraldcorp.com
  7. investing.com
  8. newspim.com
  9. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  10. comp.fnguide.com
  11. m.irgo.co.kr
  12. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  13. alphasquare.co.kr
  14. edaily.co.kr
  15. dartpoint.ai
  16. thebell.co.kr
  17. jobkorea.co.kr
  18. hankyung.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.