KOSDAQSemiconductors200710

ADTechnology

₩29,700▲ 1.37%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩398.5B
Turnover
₩4.7B
Volume
160,000 shares
Shares out.
13.5M
PER
131.6×
PBR
1.7×
EPS
₩177
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

AI ASIC Turning Point, Profitability Still Unproven

As a Samsung Foundry Design Solution Partner, the company swung to a full-year profit in 2025 on rising AI/HPC ASIC design orders, but quarterly results in the first half of 2026 have swung sharply again due to revenue-recognition timing gaps.

  1. 1

    2025 consolidated revenue reached KRW 164.5bn (+54.4% YoY) with operating profit of KRW 2.85bn, the first annual profit since 2022

  2. 2

    1Q26 posted a small operating loss but a net profit, while 2Q26 saw both a wider operating loss and a much larger net loss, underscoring continued quarterly volatility

  3. 3

    The company is co-developing the ADP620 2nm server CPU platform with Arm and Samsung Foundry, unveiling a 3.695GHz clock achievement at Samsung's SAFE Forum 2026

  4. 4

    Overseas contracts and partnerships with Siemens and Kenyi Technologies are expanding, with AI/HPC-focused, higher-value-added projects gaining share

  5. 5

    A KRW 130bn fourth convertible bond issuance funded 2nm R&D, but leaves potential equity dilution and financial burden as an overhang

02

Business structure

ADTechnology is a semiconductor design house that sits between fabless chip designers and foundries, optimizing chip designs and managing the transition to mass production.

In 2020 the company exited the TSMC ecosystem in Taiwan and became a Design Solution Partner (DSP) for Samsung Foundry, a shift that broadened its base of domestic and overseas fabless customers.

Its business spans a service (development) segment covering SoC, platform and infrastructure design, and a product segment supplying mass-produced chips; as of the first quarter of 2026, services accounted for 87.46% of revenue versus 9.85% for products, reflecting continued heavy reliance on development revenue.

Since being named an Arm Total Design partner in 2023, the company has built Neoverse-based high-performance computing design capability for servers, AI and networking, and has recently expanded partnerships with Rebellions' NPU business, Siemens Industry Software, German fabless firm Ubitium, and US-based Kenyi Technologies.

Domestically it competes with Gaonchips and SemiFive within the Samsung Foundry design-house ecosystem, while overseas its business model overlaps with Taiwanese design houses such as GUC and Alchip, as well as large ASIC design players like Broadcom and Marvell.

The company is attempting to shift from passive design outsourcing toward proactively proposing chip architectures to customers, with its self-developed ADP620 server CPU platform serving as the flagship example. It positions its one-stop offering—spanning design through packaging and testing—as a core strength.

Its customer base is diversifying across domestic and overseas fabless and systems companies, but heavy dependence on specific large projects still drives significant quarter-to-quarter revenue swings.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩34B-₩1B−3.0%
2025Q3₩36.8B₩2.7B7.2%
2025Q4₩61B₩2.8B4.5%
2026Q1₩36B-₩400M−1.0%
2026Q2₩45.9B-₩1.2B−2.6%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩164.2B₩4.4B₩5.6B2.7%3.4%39.6%
2023₩100.2B-₩17.4B-₩16B−17.4%−10.9%94.6%
2024₩106.5B-₩17B-₩14.3B−15.9%−10.9%86.0%
2025₩164.5B₩2.9B₩3.6B1.7%2.7%115.9%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-21

04

Earnings analysis

On an annual basis, the company posted revenue of KRW 164.2bn, operating profit of KRW 4.40bn and owner net profit of KRW 5.62bn in 2022, before swinging to losses in 2023 (revenue down 39% to KRW 100.2bn, operating loss of KRW 17.4bn, net loss of KRW 16.0bn) and remaining in the red in 2024 (revenue KRW 106.5bn, operating loss KRW 17.0bn, net loss KRW 14.3bn).

In 2025, revenue grew 54.4% year-on-year to KRW 164.5bn, with operating profit of KRW 2.85bn and owner net profit of KRW 3.61bn, marking the first annual profit in three years, though the operating margin remained thin at 1.7%.

On a quarterly basis, 2Q25 posted an operating loss of KRW 1.02bn and a net loss of KRW 3.20bn, before turning profitable in 3Q25 with operating profit of KRW 2.67bn and net profit of KRW 2.93bn; 4Q25 revenue jumped to KRW 61.0bn with operating profit of KRW 2.76bn and net profit of KRW 5.52bn.

However, 1Q26 revenue fell to KRW 36.0bn with an operating loss of KRW 0.36bn, even as net profit stayed positive at KRW 0.36bn, while 2Q26 revenue rose to KRW 45.9bn but the operating loss widened to KRW 1.17bn and the net loss expanded sharply to KRW 6.54bn.

This uneven quarterly pattern has been attributed to a timing gap between progress-based revenue recognition and the recognition of IP purchase costs tied to large projects.

Over the trailing four quarters (3Q25–2Q26), cumulative owner net profit stood at roughly KRW 2.27bn, indicating that the absolute scale of profit remains modest even as the company has returned to positive territory.

05

Industry analysis

Market researcher Infinity Research projects the global AI ASIC market will grow at a 35.9% compound annual rate from 2024, reaching USD 38.3bn in 2025 and USD 70.4bn in 2027. Design houses within the Samsung Foundry ecosystem are said to have entered a recovery phase as more projects move into mass production.

Samsung Foundry itself reportedly revised its business roadmap last year and has been focusing on yield improvement and order expansion to accelerate its own recovery.

However, the company's position within the foundry ecosystem remains closely tied to Samsung's process roadmap and yield-stabilization pace, meaning the speed of Samsung's 2nm process progress largely dictates how quickly design houses can ramp up earnings.

On the competitive front, brokerage commentary notes that Taiwanese design houses such as GUC and Alchip are seeing valuations rise as they signal large-scale mass production from the second half of 2026.

Domestically, peer design houses Gaonchips and SemiFive are also reported to be expecting earnings improvement this year, intensifying competition within the Samsung Foundry ecosystem.

06

Outlook

The company has set a mid-to-long-term target of KRW 1.5 trillion in annual revenue by 2030, with its self-developed 'ADP620' server CPU platform—combining Arm's Neoverse V3 cores with Samsung's 2nm process—positioned as the key growth driver.

Tape-out for ADP620 is scheduled for the second quarter of 2027, and in May the company unveiled a 2nm-based clock speed of up to 3.695GHz at Samsung's SAFE Forum 2026.

It has signed a memorandum of understanding with US-based AI-RAN company Kenyi Technologies to pursue the platform's first real-world application, and reports indicate it is also exploring integrating Rebellions' NPU in chiplet form.

In a May report, Shinhan Investment noted that the share of high-value-added AI/HPC projects rose from 26% in 2024 to 73% in 2025, and that the turnkey project share increased from 60% to 81% over the same period, while projecting the mass-production customer pipeline to grow from one in 2026 to seven in 2027 and twelve in 2028.

The company has also stated plans to ramp up shipments to a telecom customer's 14nm chip in the second half of the year. Funding for this expansion strategy came from a KRW 130bn fourth convertible bond issued in April, with all proceeds earmarked for ADP620-related research and development spending.

Analysts caution, however, that this entire scenario depends on Samsung Foundry stabilizing 2nm yields and meeting its mass-production timeline.

07

Valuation

PER
131.6×
PBR
1.7×
ROE
1.5%
EPS
₩177
BPS
₩13,853
Dividend per share
₩0

Although the company returned to an annual profit in 2025 for the first time in three years, the absolute scale of earnings remains small, leaving earnings-based valuation metrics sensitive to quarter-to-quarter swings.

On a book-value basis, the shares trade at a premium to net asset value, which can be read as the market pricing in some expectations for a company still early in building a stable earnings stream. No dividend is currently paid, so shareholder returns via dividends are not a near-term consideration.

Some brokerages have issued target prices based on projected 2026-2027 earnings; Kyobo Securities maintained a target price of KRW 60,000 (with a buy rating) in a May 2026 report, describing it as a discount to global ASIC peers.

Such targets should be weighed against how dependent they are on mass-production revenue materializing on schedule.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-21

08

Bull factors

Direct Beneficiary of Growing AI/HPC ASIC Demand

With the global AI ASIC market expected to keep growing at a roughly 30%-plus annual pace, the company's status as a Samsung Foundry DSP allows it to absorb design demand from this expansion.

Collaboration with domestic and overseas customers such as Rebellions, Siemens and Kenyi Technologies is increasing, lifting the share of AI/HPC work. A rising share of high-value-added and turnkey contracts points to potential for further margin improvement ahead.

Business Model Shift via the Next-Generation ADP620 Platform

The company is attempting to shift from a passive design house that optimizes customer-supplied designs to a more active model that proactively proposes its own CPU platform.

ADP620 combines Arm's Neoverse V3 with Samsung's 2nm process to target the server and data center market, and the company has already demonstrated a 3.695GHz clock on the 2nm process. If it gains traction, this could create a structure capable of generating recurring mass-production revenue.

Rising Share of High-Value-Added, Turnkey Projects

Shinhan Investment estimated that the share of high-value-added AI/HPC projects rose from 26% in 2024 to 73% in 2025, with the turnkey project share climbing from 60% to 81%. It also projected the mass-production customer pipeline expanding from one client in 2026 to seven in 2027 and twelve in 2028.

If this trend continues, it has the potential to lift the share of larger, more recurring mass-production revenue relative to simple design services.

09

Bear factors

Quarterly Earnings Remain Highly Volatile

In 1Q26 the company posted an operating loss yet a net profit, while 2Q26 saw the operating loss widen and the net loss balloon to KRW 6.54bn, underscoring low earnings predictability.

This has been attributed to a structural mismatch between progress-based revenue recognition and the timing of IP purchase cost recognition for large projects. Such volatility makes it difficult to judge business direction from any single quarter's results.

Heavy Dependence on Samsung Foundry's Roadmap

The company's mid-to-long-term growth scenario relies heavily on Samsung's 2nm process achieving stable yields and meeting its mass-production schedule. Analysts note that if yield stabilization or the production timeline slips, revenue recognition could be pushed back accordingly. This means results can be shaped by external factors beyond the company's own control.

Rising Leading-Edge R&D Spending and Financial Burden

First-quarter 2026 R&D spending reached 53.4% of revenue, a sharp jump from 5.6% in 2024 and 8.7% in 2025. To fund this, the company issued a KRW 130bn fourth convertible bond with a conversion price set above the closing price at issuance.

Concerns have been raised that if mass-production projects fail to deliver as planned, financial pressure could build, including the risk of bondholders exercising early redemption options.

10

Risk factors

Customer Concentration and Revenue Recognition Risk

Because a substantial portion of revenue depends on a small number of large projects, delays or contract changes from specific customers can directly affect results.

The mismatch between progress-based revenue recognition and IP purchase cost recognition timing is also an ongoing factor that can distort quarterly profit and loss. If new large project wins are delayed, revenue growth could fall short of guidance.

Foundry Process and Partner Dependency Risk

The company's mid-to-long-term strategy depends heavily on Samsung's 2nm yield stabilization, its IP licensing relationship with Arm, and the business progress of partners such as Rebellions.

If any one of these elements fails to proceed as planned, commercialization timelines for new platforms including ADP620 could slip. Competition for orders within the foundry ecosystem, from peers such as Gaonchips and SemiFive, is also intensifying.

Financing and Dilution Risk

To cover a sharp rise in leading-edge R&D spending, the company issued a KRW 130bn convertible bond, which could lead to equity dilution upon conversion.

Because the conversion price was set above the market price at issuance, the incentive to convert may vary with share price movements, and the possibility of bondholders exercising early redemption remains a financial variable. If further large-scale investment is needed, similar financing rounds cannot be ruled out.

11

What to watch next

  1. Around November 2026

    The quarterly report for the third quarter should show whether large-project revenue recognition is stabilizing and whether the gap between operating and net results is narrowing.

  2. In the fourth quarter of 2026

    Watch for whether the planned mass-production revenue from the 14nm telecom-chip customer begins, marking the first mass-production revenue since the shift to Samsung Foundry DSP status.

  3. Second half through year-end 2026

    Track whether the company achieves its target of roughly 140% of last year's new order volume and whether additional large AI/HPC project disclosures follow.

  4. Second quarter of 2027

    Tape-out completion for the ADP620 2nm server CPU platform is scheduled, making it a key milestone for the subsequent mass-production timeline.

12

Overall view

ADTechnology has benefited from expanding AI/HPC ASIC design demand through its status as a Samsung Foundry DSP, returning to an annual profit in 2025 for the first time in three years.

However, quarterly results in the first half of 2026 showed renewed volatility due to revenue-recognition timing gaps, and cumulative profit over the trailing four quarters remains modest in absolute terms.

The ADP620 2nm CPU platform and a widening set of overseas partnerships are presented as key drivers of mid-to-long-term growth, but realizing these outcomes depends heavily on Samsung Foundry stabilizing 2nm yields and meeting its production schedule.

A convertible bond issuance to fund heavy R&D spending secured financing but leaves potential equity dilution down the road. Investors should watch quarterly earnings volatility, the actual timing of large-project revenue realization, and progress on Samsung Foundry's process roadmap going forward.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. m.thinkpool.com
  2. dailyinvest.kr
  3. m.thinkpool.com
  4. news.mtn.co.kr
  5. file.alphasquare.co.kr
  6. dailyinvest.kr
  7. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  8. littlebproject.com
  9. pinpointnews.co.kr
  10. bloter.net
  11. m.thinkpool.com
  12. v.daum.net
  13. stockstalker.co.kr
  14. comp.fnguide.com
  15. m.thinkpool.com
  16. etnews.com
  17. thelec.kr
  18. news.infostock.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.