KOSPIBiotech & Pharma128940

Hanmi Pharm

₩504,000▲ 1.31%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩6.5T
Turnover
₩27.4B
Volume
50,000 shares
Shares out.
12.8M
PER
27.7×
PBR
4.3×
EPS
₩17,111
Dividend Yield
0.42%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩2,000 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Two Licensing Deals and an Obesity Drug at the Launch Gate

On top of a steady cash engine built on the top-ranked domestic outpatient prescription franchise, back-to-back licensing deals with Eli Lilly and Genentech in 2026 have lifted both the profit base and its volatility.

  1. 1

    Q2 2026 revenue of KRW 467.2bn and operating profit of KRW 131.1bn pushed the quarterly operating margin to 28.1%, driven in large part by the one-off recognition of the Eli Lilly upfront payment.

  2. 2

    Two licensing deals signed between June and August 2026 total up to KRW 5.09 trillion in headline value, with combined upfront payments of KRW 375.8bn based on regulatory filings.

  3. 3

    In the core business, the company has held the number one spot in domestic outpatient prescription sales for eight consecutive years since 2018, supported by in-house combination drugs such as Rosuzet and the Amosartan family.

  4. 4

    Chinese unit Beijing Hanmi posted Q2 revenue of KRW 60.7bn, with both sales and operating profit declining on the deepening impact of volume-based procurement and seasonal weakness, leaving it the soft spot in consolidated results.

  5. 5

    The approval and launch of obesity drug efpeglenatide, which was designated for the MFDS fast-track GIFT program in November 2025 and filed for marketing approval in December, is the key item to watch in the second half.

02

Business structure

Hanmi Pharmaceutical rests on four pillars: a domestic prescription drug business centered on in-house combination products, a Chinese subsidiary, an active pharmaceutical ingredient affiliate, and new drug R&D built on the LAPSCOVERY platform.

The domestic business hinges on prescription sales capability that has kept it first in outpatient prescription revenue for eight straight years since 2018, and Rosuzet, its dyslipidemia combination drug, recorded Q2 outpatient prescription sales of KRW 61.6bn, up 10.1% year on year, while the Amosartan hypertension family reached KRW 37.0bn and the Esomezol reflux family KRW 14.6bn.

Rather than relying solely on its own products, the company also expands in-licensed items through partnerships with global drugmakers such as Boehringer Ingelheim and Ferring Korea to build synergies with existing lines.

In China, Beijing Hanmi sells mainly pediatric and respiratory medicines, but Q2 revenue stayed at KRW 60.7bn and profit fell as volume-based procurement pressure coincided with the off-season.

API affiliate Hanmi Fine Chemical grew Q2 revenue 4.4% to KRW 24.0bn, with operating profit up 76.7% on higher API exports to Japan and new high-margin CDMO orders.

R&D spans roughly 30 pipelines across obesity and metabolic disease, rare disease and oncology, and the obesity franchise is bundled under the H.O.P project covering body composition, muscle preservation, dosing convenience and post-weight-loss maintenance, with six pipelines including efpeglenatide, HM15275, HM17321 and HM500197.

Their common foundation is LAPSCOVERY, a proprietary platform that extends the half-life of protein drugs and reduces dosing frequency. Competitively, the company faces leading domestic peers by prescription scale at home and multinationals dominating the GLP-1 class abroad.

The consolidation of US subsidiary Aptose adds oncology assets but also brings development costs into consolidated earnings.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩361.3B₩60.4B16.7%
2025Q3₩362.3B₩55.1B15.2%
2025Q4₩433B₩83.3B19.2%
2026Q1₩392.9B₩53.6B13.7%
2026Q2₩467.2B₩131.1B28.1%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩1.3T₩158.1B₩82.8B11.9%9.5%90.7%
2023₩1.5T₩220.7B₩146.2B14.8%15.3%72.6%
2024₩1.5T₩216.2B₩121.3B14.5%11.2%62.9%
2025₩1.5T₩257.8B₩169.6B16.7%13.6%50.2%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

Annual results show modest top-line growth alongside a clear margin improvement. Revenue rose from KRW 1,331.5bn in 2022 to KRW 1,490.9bn in 2023, KRW 1,495.5bn in 2024 and KRW 1,547.5bn in 2025, while operating profit moved from KRW 158.1bn to KRW 220.7bn, KRW 216.2bn and KRW 257.8bn over the same period.

The operating margin climbed from 11.9% in 2022 to 16.7% in 2025, a wider gain than the revenue expansion itself. Net profit attributable to owners grew from KRW 82.8bn in 2022 to KRW 169.6bn in 2025, and operating cash flow held steady at KRW 216.5bn in 2023, KRW 193.5bn in 2024 and KRW 173.1bn in 2025.

The balance sheet strengthened as the debt-to-equity ratio fell for four straight years, from 90.7% in 2022 to 72.6%, 62.9% and 50.2%.

On a quarterly basis, Q2 2025 delivered revenue of KRW 361.3bn and operating profit of KRW 60.4bn, followed by KRW 362.3bn and KRW 55.1bn in Q3, KRW 433.0bn and KRW 83.3bn in Q4, and KRW 392.9bn and KRW 53.6bn in Q1 2026, keeping margins in a 13-19% range.

Q2 2026 then jumped to revenue of KRW 467.2bn, operating profit of KRW 131.1bn and owners' net profit of KRW 83.3bn, lifting the margin to 28.1%; management cited growth in core products such as Rosuzet, expanded co-promotion sales and recognition of the sonepeglutide licensing upfront from Eli Lilly.

That upfront, USD 75mn or about KRW 112.9bn, is non-recurring, so the Q2 margin should not be read as a steady-state level.

On costs, R&D spending rose each year to KRW 205.0bn in 2023, KRW 209.8bn in 2024 and KRW 229.0bn in 2025, with KRW 125.5bn spent in the first half of 2026, up 18.2% year on year, meaning profit swings can widen in quarters without licensing income.

05

Industry analysis

The global obesity drug market has been led by the GLP-1 class, but competition is shifting from how much weight is lost to the quality of that loss.

Muscle preservation and body composition have emerged as new battlegrounds, and attention is on whether non-incretin mechanisms can establish themselves as a new treatment option. Hanmi's Genentech deal, struck on a Phase 1 asset, fits that shift.

Across the Korean industry, out-licensing is in an expansion phase: domestic pharma and bio technology export deals totaled roughly USD 15bn last year, and disclosed deal value through August this year has already passed USD 11bn.

Most headline value, however, sits in milestones, so the timing and size of actual cash inflows depend on development progress.

In China, volume-based procurement is a structural drag, and brokerage analysis has cut Beijing Hanmi revenue estimates, citing uncertainty over when the policy impact ends and how it might improve.

Domestically, drug pricing reform is another variable, with one analysis noting that the pricing overhaul is set to be applied in stages from the second half, with price premiums and grace-period exceptions expected for innovative pharmaceutical companies that sustain R&D.

The net effect is a period in which slow domestic prescription growth, Chinese price pressure and global licensing all flow into results at once.

06

Outlook

The nearest checkpoint is obesity drug efpeglenatide.

The company completed its marketing approval filing in December 2025 after being designated for the MFDS GIFT fast-track program in November, and said that a Phase 3 study in 448 obese adults showed an average 9.75% weight reduction at week 40, with reductions of up to 30% in some cases.

Management has laid out a pulled-forward launch target of the second half of 2026 and a mid-term strategy to build the drug into a blockbuster with over KRW 100bn in annual domestic sales.

That said, as of August 2026 no launch date has been officially confirmed, and the precise timing must be verified through the MFDS approval announcement. Indication expansion is under way, with a type 2 diabetes Phase 3 approved in January 2026, dosing started in April and completion planned for 2028.

On licensing, the company receives a USD 190mn upfront (about KRW 285.0bn) from Genentech, with total deal value including milestones of up to roughly USD 2.3bn plus separate royalties after launch, and Genentech takes over development from Phase 2 once Hanmi completes Phase 1.

For sonepeglutide, Hanmi will run the global Phase 2 in short bowel syndrome through completion, after which Lilly pursues follow-on development and commercialization.

On earnings, one brokerage noted that co-promotion product sales are rising each quarter and Hanmi Fine Chemical's shift toward CDMO is progressing smoothly, while a Beijing Hanmi recovery and Aptose development costs were flagged as unresolved issues.

07

Valuation

PER
27.7×
PBR
4.3×
ROE
17.1%
EPS
₩17,111
BPS
₩110,638
Dividend per share
₩2,000

The earnings multiple sits toward the higher end relative to the range in which large domestic pharmaceutical companies have typically traded, and the shares also change hands at a premium to net asset value.

That reflects the two confirmed licensing deals since the first half of 2026 and expectations for commercializing the obesity pipeline; conversely, it means any delay in development timelines or milestone recognition would expose the gap between the profit stream and the multiple.

The dividend yield runs below the market average, consistent with a policy weighted toward reinvestment in R&D rather than payouts.

For reference, Kiwoom Securities said in an August 25, 2026 company brief that it was raising its target price from KRW 580,000 to KRW 730,000 to newly reflect the value of HM17321, and Yuanta Securities on the same day raised its target from KRW 600,000 to KRW 700,000, stating that the asset appeared to have been valued highly given it is still in Phase 1 without human data.

In contrast, Hana Securities on August 13, 2026 cut its target price to KRW 610,000 after lowering estimates to reflect weak Beijing Hanmi results. The fact that views diverged within the same period itself illustrates how sensitive the current valuation is to pipeline assumptions rather than to reported operations.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Two deals in three months, KRW 375.8bn in upfronts

Two licensing deals signed between June and August 2026 carry headline value of up to KRW 5.09 trillion, and their combined upfronts of KRW 375.8bn equal about 1.5 times full-year 2025 operating profit. Upfronts are non-refundable and flow straight into earnings and cash.

The Genentech agreement is the largest single-asset licensing deal in Korean pharmaceutical history, and its upfront is also a record on a single-asset basis. Securing a major partner for an early-stage asset also serves as external validation of the underlying platform.

Core margins and balance sheet improving together

The operating margin rose from 11.9% in 2022 to 14.8% in 2023, 14.5% in 2024 and 16.7% in 2025. Over the same span the debt-to-equity ratio fell from 90.7% to 50.2%, sharply easing financial burden.

Even excluding licensing income, core prescription products are holding up, with Rosuzet outpatient prescription sales up 10.1% year on year in Q2. Operating cash flow of KRW 216.5bn in 2023, KRW 193.5bn in 2024 and KRW 173.1bn in 2025 has kept R&D self-funded.

Obesity pipeline entering commercialization

The company has moved up its efpeglenatide launch target to the second half of 2026 and aims to grow it into a product with over KRW 100bn in annual domestic sales. If approved, it would be the first GLP-1 class obesity treatment developed end-to-end by a Korean pharmaceutical company.

Behind it, HM15275 has moved up as a US Phase 2 asset covering both obesity and type 2 diabetes, and the company has described it as targeting over 25% weight reduction with limited lean mass loss. The sequencing of a commercial product followed by later-stage candidates is cited as a bullish argument.

09

Bear factors

A large share of profit is one-off licensing income

Q2 2026 operating profit of KRW 131.1bn and a 28.1% margin stand far apart from the prior quarter's KRW 53.6bn and 13.7%. Much of that gap came from the confirmed USD 75mn upfront, about KRW 112.9bn, received from Lilly. In quarters without licensing income, margins could revert toward the mid-teens. With quarterly swings this wide, a single quarter's figures are a poor guide to the underlying trend.

Structural pressure on the China business

Beijing Hanmi's Q2 revenue stayed at KRW 60.7bn, with both sales and operating profit falling on seasonal weakness and deepening volume-based procurement pressure. The company has outlined a plan to nurture products outside the procurement scope and accelerate new drug development, but results will take time.

One brokerage cut its Beijing Hanmi revenue estimates, citing uncertainty over when the policy impact ends and how conditions might improve. Given China's meaningful weight in consolidated results, this can offset domestic strength.

Milestones remain largely contingent

Of the Genentech agreement's up to roughly USD 2.3bn in value, only the USD 190mn upfront is non-refundable, with the rest contingent on clinical, regulatory and commercial milestones. The asset is still in Phase 1, and Genentech takes over from Phase 2 once Hanmi completes the first trial.

Once development control passes to the partner, the company's influence over timelines and indication strategy narrows. As precedent, the BTK inhibitor HM71224 that Lilly in-licensed in 2015 failed to show efficacy in a rheumatoid arthritis Phase 2 and rights were returned in 2019.

10

Risk factors

Regulatory and approval

For efpeglenatide, it has been noted that as of August 2026 no launch date is officially confirmed and the drug is best understood as still in the approval process. Fast-track designation does not guarantee approval, and the review outcome and timing will determine how much it contributes to second-half revenue.

Even after launch, reimbursement status and pricing will drive actual sales. The annual sales figure cited by the company is a target, not a confirmed number.

Drug pricing policy

With domestic prescriptions making up a large share of the business, pricing policy changes feed directly into earnings.

One analysis noted that the pricing overhaul is set to apply in stages from the second half, that details were not final and therefore not reflected in estimates, and that price premiums and grace-period exceptions are expected for innovative pharmaceutical companies sustaining R&D.

The scope and strength of those exceptions will shape how well core combination products defend their prices. Until detailed rules are published, the magnitude of the impact is hard to quantify.

R&D costs and subsidiaries

R&D spending rose from KRW 205.0bn in 2023 to KRW 229.0bn in 2025, and KRW 125.5bn was spent in the first half of 2026, up 18.2% year on year. In Q2 2026 alone, KRW 60.3bn, or 12.9% of revenue, went into R&D.

In addition, one brokerage noted that the full consolidation of Aptose brings its development costs into group results, a factor behind lowered margin estimates. In periods without licensing inflows, this cost load shows up directly in margins.

11

What to watch next

  1. October-November 2026

    In the Q3 results, check when and how much of the USD 190mn Genentech upfront (about KRW 285.0bn) is recognized, and where the core margin settles excluding licensing income. The year-on-year direction of Beijing Hanmi revenue is worth watching alongside it.

  2. Q4 2026

    The key question is whether the efpeglenatide launch timeline the company moved up to the second half of 2026 converts into an actual MFDS approval. Approval timing and reimbursement or pricing decisions will set the starting line for domestic obesity drug sales.

  3. Around February 2027

    Confirmed full-year 2026 results will show the annual operating margin and net profit with both licensing upfronts included, along with any change in dividend policy. It will serve as the reference for gauging recurring earnings power excluding licensing income.

  4. Around March 2027

    The HM17321 Phase 1 trial is reported to be scheduled for completion in March 2027. The Phase 1 safety and pharmacokinetic data, and whether Genentech then advances into Phase 2, form the first gate for milestone receipts.

  5. 2027 onward (timing not fixed)

    Watch the outcome of the global Phase 2 of sonepeglutide in short bowel syndrome, which Hanmi runs through completion, and whether Lilly then initiates follow-on development. Lilly's choice of indication will shape how the remaining milestones may materialize.

12

Overall view

Hanmi Pharmaceutical's 2026 can be summed up as a year in which two large licensing deals landed on top of modest core growth.

On an annual basis, revenue rose from KRW 1,331.5bn in 2022 to KRW 1,547.5bn in 2025 and operating profit from KRW 158.1bn to KRW 257.8bn, while the debt-to-equity ratio fell from 90.7% to 50.2%, leaving a sturdier balance sheet than before.

The Q2 2026 operating profit of KRW 131.1bn and 28.1% margin reflect the USD 75mn Lilly upfront and should therefore be separated from recurring profitability.

The bullish case rests on deals worth up to KRW 5.09 trillion signed within three months alongside KRW 375.8bn in upfronts and the efpeglenatide launch plan pulled forward to the second half of 2026.

The bearish case centers on Beijing Hanmi's profit decline amid intensifying volume-based procurement, the fact that most headline deal value is contingent milestones, and rising annual R&D spending plus Aptose consolidation costs.

Brokerage views split between upgrades and a downgrade within a single month of August, a divergence that appears to stem from differing pipeline assumptions rather than reported results.

For the next several quarters, the practical approach is to track three separate threads: core margin excluding licensing income, the efpeglenatide approval and reimbursement outcome, and any Beijing Hanmi recovery. This report is for informational purposes and does not contain buy or sell recommendations on any security.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. ftoday.co.kr
  2. sisa-news.com
  3. getnews.co.kr
  4. newsfreezone.co.kr
  5. insight.co.kr
  6. medipharmhealth.co.kr
  7. thepublic.kr
  8. cbci.co.kr
  9. huffingtonpost.kr
  10. rapportian.com
  11. pharm.edaily.co.kr
  12. thebionews.net
  13. medipana.com
  14. hanmi.co.kr
  15. huffingtonpost.kr
  16. foxcg.com
  17. vvdhealth.com
  18. assetparking.tndlrs.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.