KOSDAQHotel & Leisure104620

Yellow Balloon Tour

₩3,150▲ 1.29%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩52.7B
Turnover
₩200M
Volume
50,000 shares
Shares out.
16.8M
PER
42.6×
PBR
1.2×
EPS
₩74
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Q2 Swing to Profit as FX, Fuel Costs Ease—Durability in Focus

Yellow Balloon Tour swung to operating and net profit in the second quarter of 2026 despite a revenue decline, aided by flight-supply adjustments and cost efficiency, while fuel-surcharge and exchange-rate swings alongside the Chuseok peak season will determine whether the recovery holds in the second half.

  1. 1

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue declined year over year, but both operating profit and owners' net income turned positive.

  2. 2

    In full-year 2025, revenue fell and operating profit was positive, yet net income attributable to owners remained in the red, underscoring earnings volatility.

  3. 3

    International fuel surcharges fell after peaking in May but face renewed hike risk in September amid resurgent Middle East tensions.

  4. 4

    A combination of a weaker dollar and lower fuel surcharges has been linked to a booking rebound at travel agencies including Hana Tour and Yellow Balloon Tour.

  5. 5

    Second-quarter results diverged from peers: Hana Tour's profit declined and Modetour swung to a loss, while Yellow Balloon Tour turned profitable.

02

Business structure

Yellow Balloon Tour was founded in 2001 to run general travel brokerage and airline ticket sales, later diversifying through the establishment of a Japanese subsidiary and stakes in Yellow Balloon City Bus and Wishbin.

The company now operates package-tour and airline-ticket sales alongside city-bus tourism and a travel-information platform business under an integrated travel-agency model. It aims to differentiate customer experience through CRM, strengthen digital competitiveness via AI and IT, and expand its global business.

Travel brokerage (package tours) accounts for the largest share of revenue, followed by airline ticket sales; both segments have recently seen revenue decline amid softer travel demand, even as cost cuts helped improve operating profit or loss.

Its Japanese subsidiary, YBJ, focuses on developing content for individual travelers and cutting costs through local infrastructure contracts, while marketing cooperation with the Wishbin travel-information platform is another growth avenue.

On the product side, the company has partnered with a European destination-management company to strengthen long-haul packages such as Eastern Europe, while also emphasizing generation-tailored product design.

In the domestic integrated travel-agency market, it competes with traditional agencies such as Hana Tour and Modetour, as well as with online travel platforms such as Yeogi Eottae and Nol Universe on price and product.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩24.4B-₩38,445,192−0.2%
2025Q3₩25B-₩2.2B−8.7%
2025Q4₩38.9B₩4.1B10.5%
2026Q1₩29.6B₩2.4B8.0%
2026Q2₩19.3B₩800M4.0%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩22B-₩20.9B-₩24.1B−95.0%−73.7%184.6%
2023₩98.6B₩6.6B₩5.9B6.7%14.7%161.3%
2024₩131.9B-₩6.5B-₩4.7B−5.0%−13.1%269.1%
2025₩119.7B₩2.2B-₩2.8B1.9%−7.0%210.6%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-23

04

Earnings analysis

Consolidated revenue in 2025 was KRW 119.7 billion, down from KRW 131.9 billion in 2024, but operating profit swung from a loss of KRW 6.5 billion in 2024 to a profit of KRW 2.2 billion in 2025 (an operating margin of 1.9%).

Net income attributable to owners, however, remained negative for a second straight year at KRW -2.8 billion in 2025 following KRW -4.7 billion in 2024, showing a gap between the improving operating line and a still-loss-making bottom line.

This compares with 2023, when revenue reached KRW 98.6 billion with an operating profit of KRW 6.6 billion (a 6.7% margin) and owners' net income of KRW 5.9 billion—a clear profit that the 2024-2025 recovery has yet to match.

In 2022, revenue fell to just KRW 22.0 billion with an operating loss of KRW 20.9 billion and an owners' net loss of KRW 24.1 billion, reflecting the depth of the pandemic aftermath.

On a quarterly basis, revenue was KRW 24.4 billion with an operating loss of KRW 0.04 billion and a net loss of KRW 1.5 billion in the second quarter of 2025; in the third quarter, revenue edged up to KRW 25.0 billion yet the operating loss widened to KRW 2.2 billion and the net loss grew to KRW 2.7 billion.

Revenue then jumped to KRW 38.9 billion in the fourth quarter, delivering an operating profit of KRW 4.1 billion and net income of KRW 1.4 billion, and the company sustained profitability for three consecutive quarters through the first quarter of 2026 (revenue KRW 29.6 billion, operating profit KRW 2.4 billion, net income KRW 2.0 billion) and the second quarter of 2026 (revenue KRW 19.3 billion, operating profit KRW 0.8 billion, net income KRW 0.5 billion).

The company attributed the improvement to adjusting product and airline supply to booking conditions and pursuing cost efficiency amid softer travel demand caused by geopolitical instability in the Middle East, fuel-surcharge hikes, and weaker consumer sentiment.

As a result, the trailing four quarters through the second quarter of 2026 combined for revenue of KRW 112.8 billion, operating profit of KRW 5.1 billion, and owners' net income of KRW 1.2 billion, indicating the profit recovery has continued on an annualized basis as well.

05

Industry analysis

The domestic travel industry views 2026 as a year of gradual growth and structural transition rather than a sharp rebound, with a broadly shared industry view that recovering flight supply and the spread of experience-focused consumption will support a recovery in outbound demand.

Still, a high exchange rate, elevated prices, and geopolitical risk remain persistent variables, prompting travel agencies to respond with generation-tailored products and more finely segmented themed trips.

International fuel surcharges surged to level 33 in May amid an oil-price spike tied to Middle East instability, then fell for three straight months to level 19 by August, before renewed conflict in the Middle East raised the prospect of a September re-hike, with one securities firm projecting the surcharge would rise back to level 20 in September.

Separately, the won-dollar exchange rate fell to the 1,300-won range in August for the first time in eleven months, raising hopes—together with lower fuel surcharges—for a recovery in bookings on long-haul routes to the United States and Europe.

That said, high exchange-rate pressure has not fully dissipated, and some observers note that even as airfares ease, dollar-linked local costs such as hotels and meals do not necessarily fall in tandem.

On the competitive front, second-quarter 2026 results diverged sharply: Hana Tour's operating profit fell 43% year over year and Modetour swung to an operating loss, while Yellow Balloon Tour turned profitable.

Meanwhile, in contrast to softer outbound demand, inbound foreign tourist arrivals to Korea have been rising to record levels, and the travel industry is increasingly treating inbound tourism as a new growth driver and competing more actively to attract such visitors.

06

Outlook

Yellow Balloon Tour said it plans to keep flexibly managing product and airline supply in line with market demand through the second half, expanding sales channels and pursuing cost efficiency to sustain profitability improvement.

Based on its analysis of bookings for July-August departures, the company said reservations rose 61.2% from the prior period after news of lower fuel surcharges spread, with the recovery concentrated in short-haul destinations led by Japan (up 174.5%), Vietnam (73.4%), and China (62.5%).

For September, it plans to focus on long-haul products timed to the Chuseok holiday, strengthening premium, no-tip, no-optional-tour, no-shopping lineups for Western Europe grand tours and the U.S. West Coast to match holiday schedules that can stretch up to nine days with added leave.

In October it is preparing products aimed at the Gaecheonjeol and Hangeul Day holidays, and for winter it has secured Boracay-route seats with T'way Air through October 21 as part of resort-destination supply.

However, with the prospect of a September re-hike in international fuel surcharges under discussion, travel agencies including Yellow Balloon Tour are engaging in discount competition to capture pre-hike ticketing demand, and industry participants expect third-quarter results across the sector to hinge on August-September sales performance.

Some also note that long-haul routes may recover more slowly than short-haul ones given lingering geopolitical risk and currency-cost burdens.

07

Valuation

PER
42.6×
PBR
1.2×
ROE
3.2%
EPS
₩74
BPS
₩2,533
Dividend per share
₩0

Yellow Balloon Tour has turned profitable on a trailing four-quarter basis, but with owners' net income in the red for two straight full years in 2024 and 2025, the stability of that profit recovery is still being tested.

The multiple between the share price and recent earnings sits above the trading multiple seen back when the company posted a clear annual profit in 2023, which can be read as reflecting an early stage of earnings recovery.

Relative to net asset value, the shares trade at a modest premium, a different pattern from the discount to book value seen during past loss-making periods. On dividends, there have been no payouts in the most recent fiscal years, meaning shareholder returns through dividends are not currently in place.

This valuation picture leaves room to shift depending on the durability of the earnings recovery, particularly how quarterly results evolve with second-half fuel-surcharge and exchange-rate variables.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-23

08

Bull factors

Three Straight Profitable Quarters, Improved Cost Structure

Operating profit and owners' net income both stayed positive for three straight quarters from the fourth quarter of 2025 through the second quarter of 2026. The company cited demand-aligned adjustments to products and airline supply, together with cost efficiency, as the drivers of the improvement.

The swing from an operating loss to a profit on a full-year 2025 basis also suggests that structural cost-management efforts are partly reflected in the results.

Booking Rebound Driven by Easing FX and Fuel Surcharges

With the won-dollar rate falling to the 1,300-won range in August for the first time in eleven months and international fuel surcharges declining after peaking in May, expectations for a booking recovery on long-haul routes have grown.

Yellow Balloon Tour said its own bookings for July-August departures rose 61.2% from the prior period after news of the surcharge cut. This easing of cost burdens is acting as a catalyst converting previously deferred travel demand into actual bookings.

Relatively Resilient Second Quarter Versus Peers

In the second quarter of 2026, Hana Tour's operating profit fell 43% year over year and Modetour swung to an operating loss, whereas Yellow Balloon Tour turned both operating profit and net income positive despite a revenue decline.

This divergence shows that, even under the same industry conditions, outcomes can differ depending on each company's product and cost-response strategy. A diversified business portfolio—including the Japanese subsidiary, city-bus operations, and the Wishbin platform—can also serve as a buffer for its earnings base.

09

Bear factors

Continued Revenue Contraction

Full-year 2025 revenue fell to KRW 119.7 billion from KRW 131.9 billion in 2024, and second-quarter 2026 revenue also declined sharply year over year to KRW 19.3 billion.

With travel demand itself weighed down by a high exchange rate, elevated prices, and geopolitical instability, it remains to be seen how long a structure of offsetting revenue declines with cost cuts can be sustained.

If earnings improvement continues without top-line growth, questions about the quality of the recovery could persist.

Seasonality and Volatility of Earnings

Operating and net losses persisted in the second and third quarters of 2025 before revenue surged and the company turned profitable in the fourth quarter, illustrating substantial quarter-to-quarter earnings swings.

Given that 2022 saw an operating loss of KRW 20.9 billion and an owners' net loss of KRW 24.1 billion, the earnings structure remains vulnerable to large swings should external shocks recur.

Heavy reliance on peak seasons such as summer and holidays means weak demand in a specific season can materially affect annual results.

No Dividends, Profitability Normalization Incomplete

With no dividend payments recorded in recent fiscal years, shareholder returns are not currently in place. Even though operating profit turned positive in 2025, owners' net income remained negative for a second consecutive year, meaning the gap between the operating line and the bottom line has yet to close.

Until qualitative normalization of earnings is complete, additional quarterly results will be needed to judge whether the recovery is durable.

10

Risk factors

Oil Price and Fuel Surcharge Volatility

International fuel surcharges surged to level 33 in May amid Middle East tensions before falling to level 19 by August, but renewed conflict has raised the possibility of a September re-hike. A renewed increase in surcharges risks squeezing booking demand that had only recently begun to recover.

Because the aviation-fuel market can lag the crude-oil market in recovering, prolonged volatility cannot be ruled out.

Exchange-Rate and Consumer-Sentiment Risk

Even though the won-dollar rate eased to the 1,300-won range in August, the high-exchange-rate environment has not fully dissipated, and dollar-linked local costs such as hotels and meals do not necessarily fall just because airfares decline.

If elevated prices and a weak won persist, the recovery in outbound demand from domestic travelers could be delayed. Long-haul routes are seen recovering more slowly than short-haul ones given the combined weight of geopolitical risk and currency-cost pressure.

Intensifying Competition and Discounting

Ahead of an expected fuel-surcharge hike, Nol Universe, Modetour, Yeogi Eottae, and Yellow Balloon Tour have all launched large-scale discount campaigns, intensifying price competition.

Industry observers note that whether this discounting actually translates into third-quarter earnings improvement will hinge on August sales and September Chuseok demand. Even if wider discounts boost bookings, they could weigh on profitability.

11

What to watch next

  1. Mid-September 2026

    Announcement of the international fuel surcharge for October ticketing—one securities firm had projected a rise back to level 20 in September, so the actual announced level and its impact on travel demand warrant confirmation.

  2. Late September 2026 (Chuseok holiday period)

    Actual booking and sales performance during the Chuseok holiday peak—the sales results of the company's strengthened long-haul premium lineup (Western Europe, U.S. West Coast) are a key variable for third-quarter results.

  3. Mid-November 2026

    Disclosure of third-quarter 2026 results—this is the point at which to check how the August-September discount competition and fuel-surcharge swings actually flowed through to revenue and profit.

  4. During the fourth quarter of 2026

    Further shifts in Middle East geopolitical risk and the won-dollar exchange rate—their effects on the pace of long-haul route recovery and on winter-season resort product sales (such as Boracay) merit ongoing monitoring.

12

Overall view

Yellow Balloon Tour has posted operating profit and owners' net income for three consecutive quarters from the fourth quarter of 2025 through the second quarter of 2026, showing signs of emerging from the annual losses recorded in 2024 and 2025.

Still, revenue has not escaped a year-over-year decline, and the earnings improvement stems from product and airline-supply adjustments plus cost efficiency rather than top-line growth, a distinction worth keeping in mind when assessing the recovery's character.

Externally, cost variables remain fluid, with fuel surcharges having fallen after peaking in May only for a September re-hike to be floated amid renewed Middle East tensions.

The decline in the won-dollar rate is a favorable factor, but with the high-exchange-rate backdrop not fully resolved, long-haul travel demand is expected to recover more slowly than short-haul demand.

Compared with peers, it is notable that Yellow Balloon Tour's second-quarter results held up relatively better than those of Hana Tour and Modetour.

Dividends have not been paid in recent fiscal years, and the durability of future earnings will likely be gauged by second-half fuel-surcharge and exchange-rate trends alongside sales performance during the Chuseok and year-end peak seasons.

Investors should weigh upcoming quarterly disclosures together with these industry variables in forming their own judgment.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. stocks.pluconnect.com
  2. alphasquare.co.kr
  3. mpkg.ybtour.co.kr
  4. comp.fnguide.com
  5. saramin.co.kr
  6. judal.co.kr
  7. judal.co.kr
  8. investing.com
  9. newspim.com
  10. saramin.co.kr
  11. jobkorea.co.kr
  12. newkorea.ybtour.co.kr
  13. traveldaily.co.kr
  14. traveltimes.co.kr
  15. youthdaily.co.kr
  16. ybtour.co.kr
  17. traveldaily.co.kr
  18. traveltimes.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.