KOSPIAerospace & Defense079550

LIG Defense&Aerospace

₩759,000▲ 4.83%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩16.8T
Turnover
₩70.6B
Volume
90,000 shares
Shares out.
22M
PER
49.7×
PBR
8.9×
EPS
₩13,110
Dividend Yield
0.45%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩2,950 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

A 24.6 Trillion Won Backlog Meets the Test of Export Margins and Cash Flow

Cheongung-II export volumes are now converting into actual revenue and margin, while order intake has slowed and a large capex-and-leverage cycle is running in parallel.

  1. 1

    Preliminary Q2 2026 revenue was 1,110.1 billion won and operating profit 105.7 billion won, up 17.4 percent and 29.5 percent year on year, with the operating margin rising 0.9 percentage point to 9.5 percent (company disclosure, August 6, 2026).

  2. 2

    Export revenue rose 71.1 percent to 281.8 billion won, lifting the export share of sales from 17.4 percent to 25.4 percent, with about 99 billion won recognized from the UAE Cheongung-II program.

  3. 3

    Quarter-end backlog stood at 24.57 trillion won (14.04 trillion won export), but new orders totaled only 326.4 billion won, so backlog fell 740 billion won from the previous quarter-end.

  4. 4

    On confirmed financials, 2025 revenue was 4,306.9 billion won and operating profit 319.4 billion won, yet operating cash flow was negative 584.3 billion won and the debt-to-equity ratio was 446.4 percent.

  5. 5

    A 500 billion won third-party allotment of non-voting preferred shares was approved to fund new Gumi No.3 and Gimcheon No.2 facilities, with the payment date set for September 16, 2026.

02

Business structure

The company is a full-line defense contractor developing and mass-producing weapon systems across four pillars: precision guided munitions (PGM), surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), command, control and communications (C4I), and avionics and electronic warfare (AEW).

Marking its 50th anniversary, shareholders approved a name change at the March 31, 2026 annual general meeting, adopting LIG Defense&Aerospace, which combines Defense and Aerospace, and the corresponding change of listing name took effect on April 14, 2026.

By segment in Q2 2026, PGM led growth with revenue of 653.1 billion won, up 42 percent year on year, which the company attributed to full recognition of Cheongung-II export volumes for the United Arab Emirates plus domestic Cheongung-II and Heavy Torpedo-II production.

Over the same quarter, AEW revenue rose 62.8 percent to 184.1 billion won on the SATURN radio upgrade program and ground command-and-control production, ISR rose 11 percent to 125 billion won on short-range air defense radar and counter-battery radar-II deliveries, while C4I fell 47.5 percent to 120.9 billion won on next-generation military radio (TMMR) production scheduling, and the other segment covering cyber security and reconnaissance unmanned surface vessels declined 9.2 percent to 26.9 billion won.

Domestic revenue held broadly flat year on year at 590.6 billion won from production and 237.7 billion won from research and development.

Its principal customers are domestic military procurement agencies such as the Defense Acquisition Program Administration plus Middle Eastern government buyers, and domestically it partially overlaps in scope with Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Systems, Hyundai Rotem and Korea Aerospace Industries.

Cooperation coexists with that rivalry: on July 24, 2026 it signed a 120.15 billion won first mass-production supply contract with Hanwha Aerospace to deliver L-SAM ABM components.

In 2023 it acquired a stake in Ghost Robotics, a Philadelphia-based robot developer and manufacturer, seeking entry into the United States defense market and a future growth platform.

More recently it opened a Latin America representative office in Peru and signed a strategic cooperation agreement with United Kingdom defense group Babcock, broadening overseas footholds and partnerships.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩945.4B₩77.6B8.2%
2025Q3₩1T₩89.6B8.5%
2025Q4₩1.4T₩38.7B2.8%
2026Q1₩1.2T₩171.1B14.7%
2026Q2₩1.1T₩105.7B9.5%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩2.2T₩179.1B₩122.9B8.1%13.1%222.2%
2023₩2.3T₩186.4B₩175B8.1%16.6%262.6%
2024₩3.3T₩229.8B₩221.7B7.0%18.3%395.0%
2025₩4.3T₩319.4B₩253.4B7.4%17.7%446.4%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

On confirmed financials, revenue expanded from 2,220.8 billion won in 2022 and 2,308.6 billion won in 2023 to 3,276.3 billion won in 2024 and 4,306.9 billion won in 2025, growing more than 30 percent for two straight years.

Operating profit also rose, from 179.1 billion won in 2022 to 186.4 billion won in 2023, 229.8 billion won in 2024 and 319.4 billion won in 2025, yet the operating margin moved 8.1, 8.1, 7.0 and 7.4 percent, failing to keep pace with top-line growth.

Net profit attributable to owners increased from 122.9 billion won in 2022 to 253.4 billion won in 2025, while equity grew from 935.2 billion won to 1,476.1 billion won over the same span. The pressure point is cash flow and leverage.

Operating cash flow swung from inflows of 467.3 billion won in 2023 and 951.9 billion won in 2024 to an outflow of 584.3 billion won in 2025, while total liabilities climbed to 6,588.7 billion won and the debt-to-equity ratio rose from 222.2 percent in 2022 to 446.4 percent in 2025. Quarterly results are volatile.

Q4 2025 delivered record quarterly revenue of 1,404.8 billion won, but operating profit was just 38.7 billion won and net profit attributable to owners only 4.6 billion won.

In a February 2026 report, Kiwoom Securities attributed that weak quarter to a higher share of domestic research and development revenue, 98 billion won of low-margin revenue from an Indonesian National Police communications network project, roughly 9.6 billion won of operating losses at subsidiary Ghost Robotics, and one-off costs tied to expanded order intake.

Q1 2026 then rebounded sharply to revenue of 1,167.9 billion won and operating profit of 171.1 billion won, a 14.7 percent margin, and Q2 2026 posted revenue of 1,110.1 billion won and operating profit of 105.7 billion won, taking first-half operating profit to 276.8 billion won.

In Q2, however, Ghost Robotics recorded about 12.2 billion won of operating losses, and higher financial costs from expanded investment left net profit down 24.5 percent year on year at 78.2 billion won.

05

Industry analysis

Global air defense demand is intertwined with a structural bottleneck in interceptor missile supply.

In April 2026, Hana Securities assessed that Patriot interceptor shortages were persisting and that, given the difficulty of ramping output quickly, expectations for expanded Cheongung-II exports were likely to continue.

United Arab Emirates air defense batteries including Cheongung-II were reported to have intercepted 486 of 507 Iranian ballistic missiles, all 24 cruise missiles, and 2,101 of 2,191 drones.

In a June 2026 report, Kiwoom Securities said combat-proven performance had opened procurement talks with countries such as Qatar and Kuwait, while in Southeast Asia Indonesia and Malaysia were understood to be pursuing Cheongung-II adoption.

Such pipelines, however, run through lengthy government-to-government negotiations, making contract timing hard to forecast on a quarterly basis. Domestically the company ranks high on backlog, but trails the largest peers in absolute size.

As of the end of Q2 2026, Hanwha Aerospace's ground defense unit held roughly 38.3 trillion won of backlog, Hyundai Rotem 30.4 trillion won company-wide, and this company 24.57 trillion won, with the industry putting the combined figure for the four majors including Korea Aerospace Industries at around 100 trillion won.

The four companies' simple aggregate consolidated operating profit for Q2 2026 was 1,752 billion won, exceeding 1 trillion won for a fifth consecutive quarter and marking a record quarterly high.

Because that reflects large contracts already won in Poland and the Middle East converting into revenue through production and delivery rather than fresh orders, some observers argue the key variables for the second half are backlog quality and actual delivery schedules.

06

Outlook

Management frames a rising export share as the axis of margin improvement.

In an August 10, 2026 report, SK Securities said domestic operating margins were 9 to 10 percent for production and around break-even for research and development, and that after first-half results the company raised its full-year operating margin target from 7 percent to 8 percent.

The same report forecast that UAE Cheongung revenue, about 99 billion won in Q2, would recover to roughly 120 billion won per quarter in the second half for more than 500 billion won for the full year. Capacity expansion is also under way.

On June 25, 2026 the board resolved to raise about 500 billion won by issuing 876,153 non-voting preferred shares at 570,676 won each via third-party allotment; the subscriber is the investment vehicle of a private fund to be established by D Investment and IMM Investment, the payment date is September 16, 2026, and the entire proceeds are earmarked as facility funds for building new Gumi No.3 and Gimcheon No.2 houses and expanding existing Gumi and Gimcheon equipment from 2026 through 2028.

SK Securities read the Gumi and Gimcheon expansion as implying progress in export contract talks and secured volumes rather than merely pre-emptive investment, and forecast that price and volume growth would accelerate from 2028 to 2029.

In future businesses, the company succeeded in an intelligent command-and-control demonstration for the Haegeom unmanned surface vessel in cooperation with Palantir and won a fire agency water rescue unmanned surface vessel research program, widening its manned-unmanned teaming footprint.

European and Americas expansion is being prepared through partnerships, and SK Securities cited a joint venture memorandum with Germany's Rheinmetall as a factor broadening European export potential.

On brokerage targets, SK Securities raised its target price from 1.15 million won to 1.3 million won on August 10, 2026 and maintained a buy rating, while Daishin Securities said the same day that although Q2 missed estimates, its outlook for high growth in 2027 and 2028 based on already booked volumes was unchanged, and it maintained a buy rating with a 990,000 won target price.

07

Valuation

PER
49.7×
PBR
8.9×
ROE
19.5%
EPS
₩13,110
BPS
₩73,024
Dividend per share
₩2,950

The stock's earnings-based multiple moved during 2026 into a zone well above the band in which large Korean defense names have historically traded, reflecting combat validation in the Middle East and expanding export revenue recognition.

For reference, iM Securities said on May 8, 2026 that in setting its target price it shifted the reference earnings per share to its 2028 forecast and applied a price-to-earnings ratio of 50 times, the highest level among legacy defense companies — meaning the pricing argument circulating in the market rests not on current-year profit but on earnings several years out.

The premium to net assets is also thick, and while a dividend is paid, the yield level sits below the domestic market average, so total return depends largely on delivery of earnings growth.

Multi-year results show revenue and profit rising together, yet the operating margin slipped from around 8 percent into the 7 percent range before recovering in the first half of 2026, so the margin improvement underpinning the multiple must be verified quarter by quarter.

Q2 2026 operating profit came within 700 million won of the FnGuide consensus of 106.4 billion won, yet the share price still retraced sharply intraday on the announcement day, an illustration that volatility is driven less by the print itself than by how much expectation is already embedded in the price.

It is also worth noting that the non-voting preferred share issue partially alters the basis on which per-share metrics are calculated.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Export mix improvement is now visibly feeding margins

The Q2 2026 operating margin rose 0.9 percentage point from 8.6 percent to 9.5 percent, export revenue jumped 71.1 percent from 164.7 billion won to 281.8 billion won, lifting the export share from 17.4 percent to 25.4 percent, and about 99 billion won was recognized from the UAE Cheongung-II program.

SK Securities assessed that profit grew on a rising export share and top-line expansion without any special one-off items.

On confirmed financials, first-half 2026 operating profit of 276.8 billion won equals 87 percent of the full-year 2025 figure of 319.4 billion won, supporting the pattern of a growing contribution from export volumes that carry higher profitability than domestic production.

Multi-year revenue visibility from the backlog

Of the 24.57 trillion won backlog at the end of Q2 2026, exports accounted for more than half at 14.04 trillion won, including 9.89 trillion won of Cheongung-II orders from three Middle Eastern countries, while domestic orders totaled 10.52 trillion won, split between 4.89 trillion won of development and 5.63 trillion won of production.

Against confirmed 2025 revenue of 4,306.9 billion won, that backlog exceeds five years of sales. Kiwoom Securities calculated that year-end 2025 backlog stood at 26.2 trillion won, 31 percent larger than at the end of 2024.

The fact that the export share of backlog is higher than the export share of current revenue points to room for further mix change.

Funded capacity expansion and a widening business scope

The entire 500 billion won of proceeds is designated as facility funds, to be deployed from 2026 to 2028 for new Gumi No.3 and Gimcheon No.2 houses and expansion of existing equipment.

The company said it is accelerating portfolio diversification by strengthening investment in future defense areas such as satellite systems, next-generation aviation armament and unmanned platforms.

In Southeast Asia, its Haegung system is to be installed on Malaysian Navy littoral mission ships built by Turkey's STM, and the company said it is also pursuing entry into the United States market and exports of the Bigung surface-to-ship guided rocket. Financing, capacity build-out and new market development running in parallel expands room for volume growth.

09

Bear factors

Slowing order intake and a shrinking backlog

New orders in Q2 2026 came to 326.35 billion won, less than a third of the quarter's revenue, and backlog fell 740 billion won from 25.31 trillion won at the end of Q1 to 24.57 trillion won, while Middle East Cheongung-II backlog edged down from 9.99 trillion won to 9.89 trillion won.

Counterarguments note it is too early to conclude from one quarter of weaker orders that long-term growth has broken, since quarter-end backlog still exceeded the 23.46 trillion won of a year earlier. Whether backlog burn continues to outpace new orders is the item to watch.

Cash flow and leverage strain, plus financial costs

On confirmed financials, operating cash flow swung from an inflow of 951.9 billion won in 2024 to an outflow of 584.3 billion won in 2025, while total liabilities of 6,588.7 billion won put the debt-to-equity ratio at 446.4 percent, roughly double the 222.2 percent of 2022.

Q2 2026 net profit fell 24.5 percent year on year to 78.2 billion won as financial costs rose on expanded investment. With Gumi and Gimcheon facility investment scheduled from 2026 to 2028, the extent to which operating profit growth translates into net profit and cash inflow needs to be tracked separately.

Quarterly margin swings and subsidiary losses

On confirmed financials, quarterly operating profit swung from 38.7 billion won in Q4 2025 to 171.1 billion won in Q1 2026 and 105.7 billion won in Q2 2026, while net profit attributable to owners shrank to as little as 4.6 billion won in Q4 2025.

In Q2 2026, United States robot subsidiary Ghost Robotics posted roughly 12.2 billion won of operating losses. SK Securities forecast that a full-year loss at Ghost Robotics in 2026 is unavoidable, with break-even expected in 2027.

The timing of domestic research and development revenue and low-margin projects remains a recurring source of quarterly margin variability.

10

Risk factors

Export contract timing and policy risk

Air defense exports pass through government-to-government negotiation and approval steps, so contract timing can slip or accelerate.

Korea Investment & Securities has noted that even with a pipeline including Saudi Cheongung-II, Middle East L-SAM and United States Bigung, the nature of the products means export contracts take considerable time. In practice, new orders in Q2 2026 amounted to just 326.35 billion won.

However large the pipeline, contracts that fail to close in a given quarter push both backlog and revenue recognition timing further out.

Regional concentration and geopolitical dependence

Of the 24.57 trillion won backlog at the end of Q2, the 14.04 trillion won export portion is about 57 percent, and within that, Cheongung-II related orders from the three Middle Eastern countries of the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Iraq alone total 9.89 trillion won, so the backlog structure shows both export dependence and Middle East concentration.

Regional politics, budget cycles and delivery rescheduling in the Middle East feed directly into revenue recognition. Concentration in a single region and system acts as leverage in an upcycle but becomes an equal-sized burden in the reverse case.

Equity issuance and capex execution risk

The payment date for the roughly 500 billion won third-party allotment of 876,153 non-voting preferred shares is September 16, 2026, and the disclosure states that the subscribing private fund's investment vehicle will complete its establishment before that date.

New share certificates are scheduled for delivery on October 7, 2026, and the allottee faces a one-year resale restriction.

Procedural delays or changes to the expansion schedule could affect both the timing of secured capacity and the capital structure, and the preferred share issue also flows into the basis for per-share metrics.

11

What to watch next

  1. September 16 and October 7, 2026

    Check whether the payment date of September 16, 2026 and the new share delivery date of October 7, 2026 for the third-party allotment of non-voting preferred shares proceed as scheduled. Completion of payment determines when funding for the Gumi and Gimcheon expansion is locked in.

  2. Late October to early November 2026

    At the Q3 2026 results release, watch whether the export share of revenue holds near the 25.4 percent seen in Q2, how progress tracks against the full-year operating margin target the company raised to 8 percent, and whether new orders recover from Q2's 326.35 billion won.

  3. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Watch whether the additional Middle East procurement talks with countries such as Qatar and Kuwait, and the Cheongung-II adoption efforts by Indonesia and Malaysia cited by Kiwoom Securities in its June 2026 report, translate into actual contract disclosures. The presence and size of single sales and supply contract filings will set the direction of backlog.

  4. Around February 2027

    At the full-year 2026 disclosure, check whether operating cash flow improves from the 2025 outflow of negative 584.3 billion won, how the 446.4 percent debt-to-equity ratio shifts, and where year-end backlog stands relative to the 26.2 trillion won recorded at the end of 2025.

  5. During 2027

    Key items for the future business lines are whether losses narrow at Ghost Robotics, for which SK Securities expects break-even in 2027, and whether the joint venture memorandum with Germany's Rheinmetall advances into an actual entity and orders.

12

Overall view

On confirmed financials, revenue grew from 2,220.8 billion won in 2022 to 4,306.9 billion won in 2025 and operating profit from 179.1 billion won to 319.4 billion won, with first-half 2026 operating profit reaching 276.8 billion won.

In Q2 2026 the operating margin rose from 8.6 percent to 9.5 percent and the export share climbed from 17.4 percent to 25.4 percent, confirming mix improvement in the numbers.

On the other side, quarter-end backlog fell 740 billion won from the prior quarter to 24.57 trillion won and new orders were 326.4 billion won, while operating cash flow was an outflow of 584.3 billion won in 2025 and the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 446.4 percent, so balance sheet strain has grown alongside the growth.

The company plans to deploy the entire 500 billion won of proceeds as facility funds from 2026 to 2028, including new Gumi No.3 and Gimcheon No.2 buildings, so the timing at which added capacity converts into volumes should be tracked together with shifts in the capital and cash structure.

On the industry side, interceptor missile shortages and pipelines in the Middle East, Southeast Asia and Europe form the bullish case, while contract timing uncertainty and Middle East concentration form the opposite case.

The fact that the share price moved sharply on results day even though Q2 came almost exactly in line with consensus shows how much weight earnings verification carries when expectations are already substantially embedded in the price. This report is for informational purposes only.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. cbci.co.kr
  2. thelec.kr
  3. defensetoday.kr
  4. e-science.co.kr
  5. greened.kr
  6. marketin.edaily.co.kr
  7. m.joseilbo.com
  8. investing.com
  9. file.alphasquare.co.kr
  10. eureka.hankyung.com
  11. toryongilab.com
  12. stock.pstatic.net
  13. bbn.kiwoom.com
  14. hanwhawm.com
  15. greened.kr
  16. m.irgo.co.kr
  17. ligdefenseaerospace.com
  18. lig.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.