KOSPIBiotech & Pharma068270

Celltrion

₩182,800▼ 0.44%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩42.5T
Turnover
₩57.8B
Volume
320,000 shares
Shares out.
230M
PER
26.8×
PBR
2.4×
EPS
₩7,025
Dividend Yield
0.40%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩750 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

High-margin new products reshape the profit mix

With merger-related cost burdens largely behind it, Celltrion's mix has shifted toward newer biosimilars, lifting both revenue and operating margin; the key questions now are second-half seasonality and price and competitive pressure on first-generation products.

  1. 1

    In 2025 revenue reached KRW 4.1625tn and operating profit KRW 1.1685tn (28.1% margin), a sharp recovery from KRW 492.0bn and a 13.8% margin in 2024.

  2. 2

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue of KRW 1.3937tn and operating profit of KRW 451.8bn marked record quarterly levels; the company disclosed that its operating margin rose 7.2 percentage points year on year to 32.4%, with confirmed revenue KRW 93.7bn and operating profit KRW 21.8bn above the preliminary figures.

  3. 3

    Management has stated a goal of exceeding its full-year targets of KRW 5.3tn in revenue and KRW 1.8tn in operating profit, and said high-margin new products accounted for 65% of second-quarter sales.

  4. 4

    On 31 August 2026 the board adopted a policy of allocating one third of annual consolidated net profit to shareholder returns and approved the buyback of 524,384 shares worth about KRW 100bn, bringing this year's approved buybacks to 1,600,288 shares, or KRW 300bn.

  5. 5

    Policy cuts both ways: generics and biosimilars were excluded from the U.S. tariff measure, but the White House left room to revisit within a year, and press reports cite a stated plan for 100% tariffs from 2028 and 200% from 2029 after a grace period.

02

Business structure

Celltrion develops and manufactures antibody biosimilars and sells them directly in global markets, with development and commercialization inside a single entity following the end-2023 merger with Celltrion Healthcare.

Its portfolio spans the infliximab franchise (Remsima and Remsima SC, marketed as Zymfentra in the United States), oncology biosimilars (Truxima, Herzuma, Vegzelma) and newer immunology and bone-disease products (Yuflyma, Steqeyma, Avtozma, Stoboclo-Osenvelt, Omlyclo).

Eleven products have been commercialized in the United States and Europe, and the company said high-margin new products reached 65% of second-quarter 2026 sales.

Among legacy products, it noted that Truxima took the top share position in the United States on expanded long-term supply contracts, while Remsima kept a leading position in major markets.

In Europe, Remsima SC held roughly 32% share across the five largest European markets in the first quarter of 2026 and 49% in Germany according to IQVIA data, and Vegzelma has kept the number-one share in key countries despite being a late entrant.

The United States hinges on direct sales: the company says it expanded its local headcount from about 50 in 2023 to roughly 100 this year to cover regions and negotiate with large pharmacy benefit managers and has secured reimbursement coverage above 90% of the insurance market.

Alongside this sit non-biosimilar revenue streams, including contract manufacturing supply following the acquisition of Eli Lilly's Branchburg plant in New Jersey and the CDMO business run by Celltrion Biosolutions, established in 2023.

Competition takes the form of multi-product tenders and price rivalry with domestic and global biosimilar makers such as Samsung Bioepis, while originator defense strategies and national tender terms drive share.

On pipeline, the company is targeting a 41-product portfolio by 2038, developing candidates referencing Ocrevus (CT-P53), Cosentyx (CT-P55), Taltz (CT-P52), Keytruda (CT-P51) and Darzalex (CT-P44).

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩961.5B₩242.5B25.2%
2025Q3₩1T₩301.4B29.3%
2025Q4₩1.3T₩475.2B35.7%
2026Q1₩1.1T₩321.9B28.1%
2026Q2₩1.4T₩451.8B32.4%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩2.3T₩647.2B₩537.8B28.3%13.0%37.8%
2023₩2.2T₩651.5B₩535.6B29.9%3.2%16.3%
2024₩3.6T₩492B₩422.7B13.8%2.4%19.8%
2025₩4.2T₩1.2T₩1T28.1%6.0%28.7%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

On confirmed figures, 2025 revenue was KRW 4.1625tn, operating profit KRW 1.1685tn and net profit attributable to owners KRW 1.0296tn, for an operating margin of 28.1%.

In 2024 revenue was KRW 3.5573tn with operating profit of KRW 492.0bn and a 13.8% margin, so the striking feature of 2025 is that operating profit more than doubled on a 17% revenue increase.

Management attributes this to the clearing of most post-merger one-off costs, the depletion of high-cost inventory, the end of development-cost amortization and improved production yields, which it describes as structural rather than one-off.

Given margins of 28.3% in 2022 (revenue KRW 2.2840tn, operating profit KRW 647.2bn) and 29.9% in 2023 (revenue KRW 2.1764tn, operating profit KRW 651.5bn), the 13.8% of 2024 looks like the exceptional year of concentrated merger accounting, with 2025 returning to prior margin levels.

Quarterly, the trend ran from KRW 961.4bn revenue and KRW 242.4bn operating profit (25.2%) in the second quarter of 2025 to KRW 1.3301tn and KRW 475.1bn (35.7%) in the fourth, then KRW 1.1449tn and KRW 321.8bn (28.1%) in the first quarter of 2026 and KRW 1.3936tn with KRW 451.7bn (32.4%) in the second.

First-half 2026 revenue of KRW 2.5386tn and operating profit of KRW 773.6bn cover roughly half of the company's stated full-year targets of KRW 5.3tn and KRW 1.8tn.

By product, the company disclosed that Remsima SC generated KRW 356.7bn in Europe, Korea and other markets in the first half, up 20.3%, while Zymfentra in the United States reached KRW 99.5bn, up 176.4%.

Below the operating line, net profit attributable to owners exceeded operating profit in the third quarter of 2025 (KRW 331.3bn), the fourth quarter (KRW 528.4bn) and the first quarter of 2026 (KRW 346.1bn), suggesting sizable non-operating items such as currency effects, so net profit carries more volatility than operating profit.

Cash flow from operations fell to KRW 646.0bn in 2025 from KRW 901.8bn in 2024 while the debt-to-equity ratio rose from 19.8% to 28.7%, showing that higher profit did not translate directly into larger cash inflows.

05

Industry analysis

The biosimilar industry is in a phase where sequential originator patent expiries keep expanding substitution demand.

As reported, global sales of Humira, the reference product for Yuflyma, fell from roughly KRW 12.6tn to about KRW 6.4tn over the past year, illustrating how quickly large molecules are converting to biosimilars.

The underlying markets are also growing: Europe's infliximab market grew at a compound annual rate of about 9% from 2019 to 2024, according to IQVIA.

Structurally, first-generation products face years of price cuts and intensifying competition while newer launches retain higher margins; Morgan Stanley argued in a February 2026 report that newer biosimilars have not yet undergone multi-year price erosion and therefore carry much higher margins than older products.

Seasonality is pronounced, with national tender supply and year-end distributor stocking concentrated in the second half.

Policy risk centers on the United States, where patented drugs face tariffs of up to 100% while generics and biosimilars were excluded from the measure and Korean pharmaceutical imports are subject to a 15% rate under the trade agreement.

In competitive positioning, Celltrion combines in-house manufacturing with direct sales, whereas Samsung Biologics and Lotte Biologics emphasize pure contract manufacturing; commentary notes that Celltrion and Lotte Biologics are also aligning around U.S. production bases and end-to-end services, making it decisive who converts tariff and regulatory change into orders first.

Sector share prices have at times moved independently of earnings, with reports noting that the KRX Health Care index topped 5,600 in February 2026 before falling to around 3,800 by early July.

06

Outlook

Management has said that second-half results can exceed the first half as national tender supply and share gains by new products accelerate, and that it aims to surpass its initial full-year targets of KRW 5.3tn in revenue and KRW 1.8tn in operating profit.

It cites as drivers the expansion of new products into more countries, U.S. PBM formulary listings, supply against European public tenders, and year-end distributor stocking.

On products, brokerage analysis noted that Omlyclo, holding sole first-mover status in Europe, reached 21% share within three quarters of launch and recorded KRW 116.7bn of sales in the second quarter of 2026, and Sangsangin Investment & Securities said in a July 2026 report that Omlyclo's U.S. launch is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026.

For the infliximab franchise, the company plans to build it into a KRW 1tn annual revenue family through wider European prescribing, Zymfentra growth in the United States and new markets in Japan and Latin America, with a Japanese launch of Remsima SC planned for 2027.

On regulatory milestones, it has filed for domestic approval of the Keytruda biosimilar CT-P51 and plans sequential filings in the United States, Europe and Canada, while the Cosentyx biosimilar CT-P55 is in domestic and North American review and Herzuma SC filings are progressing in major countries.

In manufacturing, KRW 1.2265tn is being invested to expand plants 4 and 5 simultaneously at the Songdo campus in phases through 2030, and Branchburg capacity is set to rise from 66,000 liters to 141,000 liters of drug substance. In novel drugs, the company said CT-P70 and CT-P71 received U.S.

FDA fast-track designation and it targets a 20-asset novel drug portfolio by next year. These plans still face approval, tender and utilization checkpoints, so the pace at which they show up in quarterly results is what matters.

07

Valuation

PER
26.8×
PBR
2.4×
ROE
9.2%
EPS
₩7,025
BPS
₩78,025
Dividend per share
₩750

After the profit slump of 2024, the recovery through 2025 and the first half of 2026 mechanically pushed earnings-based multiples lower simply because earnings grew. Equity, by contrast, has not expanded much from the KRW 17tn range since 2023, so the shares still trade at a premium to book value.

On distributions, the cash dividend yield sits below the market average, and the weight of shareholder returns lies with buybacks, as seen in this year's approved repurchases of 1,600,288 shares worth KRW 300bn and roughly 8.93 million shares cumulatively over the past three years. Market views diverge.

Korea Investment & Securities said in early July 2026 that it cut its target price to KRW 260,000 to reflect the de-rating of Korea's biotech sector rather than any weakness in earnings, Daol Investment & Securities issued a buy rating with a KRW 280,000 target in a report dated 28 July 2026, and Sangsangin Investment & Securities said in a July 2026 report that it maintained a KRW 290,000 target.

The setup therefore pits the durability of earnings power, driven by new-product margins and second-half seasonality, against broader sector sentiment, and how to weigh the two is left to the reader.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Mix shift is showing up in margins

The 28.1% operating margin of 2025 was more than double the 13.8% of 2024, and the second quarter of 2026 reached 32.4% on the company's disclosure. Management said high-margin new products made up 65% of sales, and brokerage analysis put new-product revenue at KRW 824.9bn, up 76.0% year on year.

On costs, the company points to the clearing of merger-related one-offs, depletion of high-cost inventory, the end of development-cost amortization and improved yields. The fact that revenue growth and margin expansion moved together underpins this case.

U.S. direct sales base and Zymfentra prescription growth

The company says it has secured reimbursement coverage exceeding 90% of the insurance market and signed contracts across all six public and private insurance segments controlled by the three largest U.S. PBMs within about seven months of the March 2024 launch.

Zymfentra's first-half 2026 revenue of KRW 99.5bn was up 176.4% year on year. Management also said first-quarter prescription volume rose 185% year on year, surpassing the whole of the prior-year first half.

Because the United States is a higher-price market, prescription gains there carry outsized weight for group margins.

Codified return policy plus capacity and CDMO expansion

In a shareholder notice on 31 August 2026 the company announced a medium- to long-term policy of allocating about one third of annual consolidated net profit to shareholder returns, and decided to buy 524,384 shares on the open market starting 1 September.

On capacity, a plan is under way to expand plants 4 and 5 with KRW 1.2265tn of investment, lifting global capacity toward 571,000 liters. The company also expects that the Branchburg expansion will strengthen its ability to win global contract manufacturing work alongside local production. A stated return formula makes the link between profit growth and payout size easier to track.

09

Bear factors

Price and competitive pressure on first-generation products

Older products are exposed to years of price cuts and late-entrant competition. NH Investment & Securities forecast in a January 2026 report that Tier 1 biosimilar revenue would fall about 4% year on year to KRW 1.7tn in 2026.

Eugene Investment & Securities likewise framed its growth case around lower cost ratios on new products and CMO expansion while acknowledging concerns over price cuts and intensifying competition in older biosimilars.

The structure requires new-product growth to keep offsetting declining prices on legacy items, which is where the bear argument begins.

Room for tariff and drug-pricing policy revisions

Biosimilars are currently outside the tariff scope, but not permanently. The White House left room to review the situation within a year of the announcement and to consider further measures on generic and biosimilar imports if needed.

Press reports in August 2026 cite a stated plan for 100% tariffs on generics and biosimilars from 2028 and 200% from 2029 after a two-year grace period. The larger the U.S. revenue share becomes, the greater the sensitivity to such policy shifts.

Timing gap between heavy investment and cash flow

On confirmed figures, 2025 operating cash flow of KRW 646.0bn fell short of operating profit of KRW 1.1685tn and was also below the KRW 901.8bn of 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio rose from 19.8% in 2024 to 28.7% in 2025.

On top of this, the KRW 1.2265tn expansion of plants 4 and 5 will be executed in phases through 2030 alongside infrastructure build-outs at Branchburg and the Yesan industrial complex. Until new capacity earns its keep, depreciation and start-up costs can hit the income statement first.

10

Risk factors

Regulation and policy

Approval timelines and formulary listings sit outside the company's control. CT-P51 has only been filed domestically, with sequential filings planned for the United States, Europe and Canada, so review outcomes and durations will determine launch timing.

In the United States, commentary suggests changes to Medicare Advantage payment policy are likely to favor prescription expansion, but the same policy channel can move the other way. The tariff reassessment date also needs monitoring.

Currency and non-operating items

With a heavily export-oriented structure, net profit swings with exchange rates.

On confirmed figures, net profit attributable to owners of KRW 331.3bn in the third quarter of 2025 and KRW 528.4bn in the fourth exceeded the respective operating profits of KRW 301.4bn and KRW 475.1bn, while in the second quarter of 2026 net profit of KRW 370.2bn came in below operating profit of KRW 451.7bn.

Judging the business from quarterly net profit alone can therefore mislead. Reading operating profit together with operating cash flow is the safer approach.

Track record on targets and execution risk

There has been a gap between the company's past targets and actual outcomes. For Zymfentra, a KRW 1tn annual sales target was floated in March 2024, yet first-year sales were KRW 36.6bn and 2025 sales KRW 122.2bn.

The KRW 5.3tn revenue target for 2026 also represents a step back from earlier plans of KRW 5tn in 2025 and KRW 7tn in 2026. This argues for tracking quarterly delivery against guidance rather than the guidance itself.

11

What to watch next

  1. Early October 2026

    Whether and what the company reports as preliminary third-quarter results. Management said it has disclosed preliminary results ahead of formal releases since the first quarter of 2026, so this is the point to check whether the second-half peak season is showing up in revenue and operating margin.

  2. Late October to November 2026

    Confirmed third-quarter results. With first-half operating profit at KRW 773.6bn, the focus is how far progress runs against the full-year targets of KRW 5.3tn in revenue and KRW 1.8tn in operating profit, and how the new-product share moves from the 65% level of the second quarter.

  3. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Progress on Omlyclo's U.S. launch. Sangsangin Investment & Securities said in a July 2026 report that the U.S. launch is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026 and that strong end-market growth should drive momentum after launch. The point to verify is whether the European first-mover effect repeats in the United States.

  4. December 2026 to March 2027

    Completion of the buyback, any cancellation resolution, and the confirmed annual return amount. The company said yearly return size and method will be finalized after results are closed, through board and shareholder meeting procedures. The check is how the one-third-of-net-profit standard translates into actual resolutions.

  5. First half of 2027

    Progress on approvals and launches, including the domestic review outcome for CT-P51 and sequential filings in the United States, Europe and Canada and the planned 2027 Japanese launch of Remsima SC. These serve as gauges of when pipeline assets begin contributing to revenue.

12

Overall view

On confirmed financials alone, Celltrion's past two years boil down to the contrast between 2024, when merger accounting weighed heavily (13.8% operating margin), and 2025, when that reversed (28.1%).

In 2026 quarterly scale stepped up, with first-quarter revenue of KRW 1.1449tn and operating profit of KRW 321.8bn followed by KRW 1.3936tn and KRW 451.7bn in the second, and first-half operating profit of KRW 773.6bn sits close to half of the company's full-year target.

The bull case rests on the 65% new-product share, improved cost structure and prescription growth off the U.S. direct-sales platform; the bear case rests on price erosion in first-generation products, the stated plan for biosimilar tariffs from 2028, and the front-loaded costs of an expansion program running to 2030.

Because net profit exceeded operating profit in several quarters, separating out non-operating factors such as currency effects is also necessary. Valuation views differ within the market, and there are documented cases where target prices were adjusted to reflect sector sentiment rather than company results.

The next checkpoints are therefore the preliminary and confirmed third-quarter numbers, the Omlyclo U.S. launch, execution of the buyback and cancellation, and approval timelines; this report is for information purposes and contains no investment rating or target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. celltrion.com
  2. hankyung.com
  3. ebn.co.kr
  4. fintechtimes.co.kr
  5. newspim.com
  6. celltrion.com
  7. sisa-news.com
  8. insight.co.kr
  9. zdnet.co.kr
  10. biz.heraldcorp.com
  11. dailypharm.com
  12. thedailymoney.com
  13. m.ceoscoredaily.com
  14. view.asiae.co.kr
  15. youthdaily.co.kr
  16. newspim.com
  17. kpanews.co.kr
  18. kpanews.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.