KOSPIBatteries066970

L&F

₩113,800▲ 0.35%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩4.6T
Turnover
₩40.5B
Volume
360,000 shares
Shares out.
40.7M
PER
—
PBR
6.1×
EPS
-₩9,177
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

High-Nickel Turnaround Meets the LFP Test

Four straight quarters of operating profit show utilization has recovered in the core business, but net losses, high leverage, and execution of the LFP ramp starting late in the third quarter remain the open questions.

  1. 1

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue of KRW 885.0 billion and operating profit of KRW 20.8 billion marked a fourth consecutive quarter in the black, with first-half revenue of KRW 1,624.7 billion and operating profit of KRW 138.1 billion.

  2. 2

    Despite operating profits, the last four quarters combined still show a net loss, with non-operating items such as derivative valuation losses driving bottom-line volatility.

  3. 3

    Sole-source supply of ultra high-nickel (Ni95 class) material plus expanding 46-phi cylindrical-cell product sales to a new North American customer drove a record quarterly shipment volume in the second quarter.

  4. 4

    Subsidiary L&F Plus starts its Daegu LFP plant at a 30,000-ton annual rate late in the third quarter, targeting 60,000 tons by the first half of 2027, backed by a three-year, KRW 1.6 trillion contract with Samsung SDI.

  5. 5

    A 2025 year-end debt-to-equity ratio of 363.1%, remaining warrant bonds, and the KRW 338.2 billion LFP investment burden need to be tracked alongside the earnings recovery.

02

Business structure

L&F produces cathode active materials, the core component of lithium-ion batteries, with high-nickel NCM and NCMA products accounting for the overwhelming share of revenue.

The company is credited with being the first in the world to mass-produce composite high-nickel cathode material with nickel content above 95%, cementing its position in the premium EV market.

A blended polycrystalline and single-crystal technology addresses structural collapse and gas generation during charge-discharge cycles, while cobalt content below 5% targets both cost and environmental goals.

Its customer structure runs through Korean battery cell makers to global automakers, and while securing top-tier customers such as Tesla has been a strength, concentration on a single account has been flagged as a weakness, with earnings swinging sharply whenever downstream demand wobbled.

In 2024 the company became the first globally to mass-produce NCMA95 for the 46-phi form factor and signed a seven-year, 300,000-ton long-term high-nickel cathode supply contract with SK On.

The second pillar is LFP: wholly owned subsidiary L&F Plus built a plant on roughly 100,000 square meters in the second-phase national industrial complex in Guji, Dalseong, Daegu, with KRW 338.2 billion to be invested at the 60,000-ton scale.

The flagship product is high-density third-generation LFP (press density above 2.50 g/cc), aiming at higher-value segments through energy density above conventional LFP.

Domestically the competitive setup is a portfolio race with EcoPro BM, POSCO Future M and LG Chem, each pursuing or expanding both high-nickel and LFP strategies.

On costs, the roadmap includes internalizing iron phosphate precursor technology, where Chinese dependence is high, alongside development of a precursor-free process to improve supply chain stability.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩520.1B-₩121.2B−23.3%
2025Q3₩652.3B₩22.1B3.4%
2025Q4₩617.8B₩82.5B13.3%
2026Q1₩739.6B₩117.3B15.9%
2026Q2₩885B₩20.8B2.4%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩3.9T₩266.3B₩270B6.9%21.1%135.3%
2023₩4.6T-₩222.3B-₩194.3B−4.8%−17.7%201.9%
2024₩1.9T-₩558.7B-₩377.9B−29.3%−53.0%287.1%
2025₩2.2T-₩156.8B-₩533.5B−7.3%−79.3%363.1%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

The earnings trajectory has been violent.

From 2022 revenue of KRW 3,887.3 billion and operating profit of KRW 266.3 billion (6.9% margin), the company swung to a KRW 222.3 billion operating loss in 2023 even on revenue of KRW 4,644.1 billion, then saw revenue collapse to KRW 1,907.5 billion in 2024 with an operating loss of KRW 558.7 billion (-29.3% margin).

In 2025 revenue recovered modestly to KRW 2,154.9 billion and the operating loss narrowed to KRW 156.8 billion, yet net loss attributable to owners widened to KRW 533.5 billion and operating cash flow was an outflow of KRW 29.2 billion.

Quarterly, the trough was the second quarter of 2025 with revenue of KRW 520.1 billion and an operating loss of KRW 121.2 billion; since then operating profit ran KRW 22.1 billion in the third quarter of 2025, KRW 82.5 billion in the fourth, KRW 117.3 billion in the first quarter of 2026 and KRW 20.8 billion in the second, four consecutive quarters in the black.

The quality of those profits, however, is uneven. KB Securities said in an early-May 2026 report that first-quarter results included a KRW 92.6 billion reversal of inventory valuation losses on higher lithium carbonate prices and a weaker won, following KRW 77.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025.

On the sharp sequential drop in second-quarter 2026 operating profit, the company said start-up costs for the new business and inventory valuation losses were booked as one-off items, and that excluding them the NCM cathode business margin improved to the mid single digits.

Top-line growth reflected a record quarterly shipment volume combined with higher selling prices on recovering metal prices, with second-quarter 2026 revenue up 70.2% year on year (per the preliminary, unaudited disclosure of August 6, 2026).

The bottom line is still mid-repair: net losses attributable to owners of KRW 118.2 billion in the third quarter of 2025, KRW 192.5 billion in the fourth and KRW 65.4 billion in the first quarter of 2026 gave way to a KRW 53.4 billion profit in the second quarter of 2026, while the last four quarters combined (third quarter 2025 through second quarter 2026) show roughly KRW 2,894.6 billion of revenue, KRW 242.7 billion of operating profit and a KRW 322.7 billion net loss attributable to owners.

Management attributed the fourth-quarter 2025 net loss despite KRW 82.4 billion of operating profit to non-cash accounting charges, including fair-value losses on derivatives embedded in existing exchangeable bonds and the warrant bonds.

Equity stood at KRW 676.8 billion at the end of 2025 against liabilities of KRW 2,457.3 billion, a debt-to-equity ratio of 363.1%.

05

Industry analysis

The cathode cycle today looks less like an EV recovery and more like an ESS-led one.

In a May 2026 note, Shinhan Securities Investment said second-half conditions were likely to improve on a European EV recovery and North American ESS expansion, projecting the US ESS market to grow from 90 GWh in 2025 to 160 GWh by 2030 on AI data center power demand.

The same material noted that the US is reducing Chinese dependence through IRA, FEOC and OBBBA rules, with Chinese ESS batteries facing both tariffs and subsidy limits while projects meeting domestic content requirements can qualify for investment tax credits. The raw material cycle has also turned.

Citing Korea Mine Rehabilitation and Mineral Resources Corp data, an April 2026 report put lithium at USD 20.21 per kilogram on April 24, about 43% above January. Because lithium price gains pass into cathode selling prices with a lag, they have been cited as grounds for a profitability recovery among materials makers.

Still, Chinese lithium carbonate fell to about CNY 157,000 per ton in June, below roughly CNY 200,000 in May, with speculation about restart of a CATL mine cited as the reason.

As a proxy for relative positioning, NCM exports from the Daegu region were about 6,208 tons in February 2026, roughly 59% of the national total, and the market treats Daegu, home to the company's main plants, as an indicator of shipment trends.

In LFP, Chinese players effectively dominate the low-cost segment with large capacity and accumulated technology, leaving price competition a persistent burden. The prevailing view is that recovery will be differentiated by region and product rather than broad-based.

06

Outlook

Management frames the path as a two-track strategy across NCM and LFP. On its February 2026 open conference call, the company guided to about 20% year-on-year growth in 2026 shipments led by high-nickel products, with 46-phi products at roughly 6% of annual volume and a fuller ramp from 2027.

With the second-quarter results, it said ultra high-nickel sole-source supply continues while a new single-crystal high-nickel project for a North American customer begins, so third-quarter shipments should set another record, and full-year NCM volume should far exceed the original plan. The LFP schedule is specific.

Mass production starts at a 30,000-ton annual rate late in the third quarter, building in stages to 60,000 tons by the first half of 2027, sized to secured medium- to long-term North American ESS volume.

Sample shipments to multiple customers are complete, full LFP supply for North American ESS begins from late in the third quarter, and the company expects shipments above 50,000 tons in 2027. The order base is documented.

A contract disclosed on March 23, 2026 covers KRW 1.6 trillion of LFP cathode material to Samsung SDI in the United States over three years through December 31, 2029, for ESS LFP batteries at the StarPlus Energy plant in Indiana.

On July 29, 2026 it signed a medium- to long-term LFP supply contract with US-based Coreshell Technologies, citing a non-Chinese supply chain able to meet US origin and supply-chain rules including OBBB and defense procurement standards.

Among brokerages, Meritz Securities projected in an August 2026 report 2026 consolidated revenue of KRW 3,522.6 billion and operating profit of KRW 208.9 billion, implying 63.5% revenue growth and a swing to operating profit. A June 2026 report put the FnGuide consensus 2026 operating profit estimate at KRW 228.2 billion.

07

Valuation

PER
—
PBR
6.1×
ROE
-51.0%
EPS
-₩9,177
BPS
₩19,889
Dividend per share
₩0

Earnings-based multiples are not yet meaningfully formed. Because the sum of the last four quarters of net income attributable to owners is a loss, a price-to-earnings ratio cannot be computed, leaving the market to lean on book-value-based multiples and assumptions about the pace of profit recovery.

Relative to net assets, the shares trade at a fairly thick premium, which can be read as reflecting the early stage of a swing from three straight annual operating losses in 2023-2025 to four consecutive quarters of operating profit.

It also matters that equity shrank after 2022 and then rose again as warrants were exercised, so book-value multiples differ depending on the calculating source, whether internally computed or as published by the Korea Exchange.

No dividend has been paid recently, so an income-oriented approach is limited, and since the profit recovery has depended heavily on quarterly inventory valuation reversals and currency moves, the key variable for interpreting multiples is whether underlying earnings power settles once one-off items are stripped out.

For reference, KB Securities said in an early-May 2026 report that it maintained a target price of KRW 260,000, and Meritz Securities analyst Noh Woo-ho initiated with a target price of KRW 210,000 in an August 2026 report - both are those brokerages' views, not KOSAI's.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Sole-source high-nickel supply and 46-phi volume growth

The company said stable sole-source supply of ultra high-nickel products and expanding 46-phi sales to a new North American customer drove second-quarter growth, with 46-phi sales running ahead of the original plan.

That underpins the top-line recovery to KRW 885.0 billion in the second quarter of 2026 and KRW 1,624.7 billion in the first half. Management has said 2025 annual shipments rose 34% year on year while high-nickel volume expanded about 75% to a record level. Given the fixed-cost structure, continued volume growth leaves room for further utilization improvement.

First-mover position in a non-Chinese LFP chain

L&F said it will start LFP mass production at 30,000 tons annually late in the third quarter and build to 60,000 tons by the first half of 2027, becoming the first non-Chinese producer to establish early large-scale output.

A three-year, KRW 1.6 trillion LFP supply contract with Samsung SDI in the United States was disclosed in March 2026, feeding ESS LFP battery output in Indiana.

The Coreshell contract extends application beyond ESS into mobility and defense, with the company citing compliance capability up to US defense procurement standards. Having demand documented in contract form reduces early-stage risk for the new business.

Recovering prices, utilization and the input cycle

The shift from a KRW 121.2 billion operating loss in the second quarter of 2025 to four consecutive profitable quarters from the third quarter reflects both utilization recovery and a rebound in selling prices.

Second-quarter 2026 revenue grew as record quarterly shipments coincided with higher unit prices on recovering metal prices. The lagged pass-through of lithium price gains into selling prices has been cited as the backdrop for materials makers' margin recovery.

The company's statement that the NCM cathode margin improved to the mid single digits excluding one-off items offers a read on the direction of underlying margins.

09

Bear factors

Operating profit versus persistent net losses

In 2025 the KRW 533.5 billion net loss attributable to owners far exceeded the KRW 156.8 billion operating loss, and net losses persisted through the third and fourth quarters of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026 despite operating profits.

Management attributed this to fair-value losses on derivatives in exchangeable and warrant bonds and losses arising on conversion, noting about KRW 57.4 billion of financial costs in the fourth quarter. Even if such losses involve no cash outflow, the effects on equity and share count are real. Whether the bottom line has settled durably in the black remains to be confirmed.

High leverage and investment burden

At the end of 2025 total liabilities were KRW 2,457.3 billion against equity of KRW 676.8 billion, a 363.1% debt-to-equity ratio, while 2025 operating cash flow was an outflow of KRW 29.2 billion.

The LFP plant will absorb KRW 338.2 billion at the 60,000-ton scale, so capacity build-out and working capital compete for cash.

The company said the warrant bond conversion rate was about 65% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025 and that completing conversion of the remainder would further stabilize the capital structure - meaning equity replenishment comes together with share count growth. If profit recovery slips, financial burden can resurface.

Dependence on inputs and FX, plus Chinese competition

With analysts pointing to KRW 77.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025 and KRW 92.6 billion in the first quarter of 2026 of inventory valuation reversals aiding profitability, margins could reverse if input prices move the other way.

Indeed, Chinese lithium carbonate fell to about CNY 157,000 per ton in June 2026 from roughly CNY 200,000 in May. In LFP, price competition against Chinese producers with large capacity and accumulated technology remains a burden.

The drop in operating profit from KRW 117.3 billion in the first quarter of 2026 to KRW 20.8 billion in the second illustrates the swing in quarterly earnings.

10

Risk factors

Policy and regulation

The United States is reducing reliance on Chinese batteries through the IRA, FEOC and OBBBA framework, with tariffs and subsidy limits on Chinese ESS batteries and investment tax credits for projects meeting domestic content requirements.

That structure currently favors the company's non-Chinese supply chain strategy, but changes in requirements or detailed rules could shift customers' investment plans and order timing. It also bears noting that global EV growth is expected to slow as US EV subsidies are reduced. Because EV and ESS applications carry different policy sensitivities, the impact will vary with product mix.

New business execution

In LFP, construction and contracts are done, but mass-production yield and cost are still being validated. The company's note that second-quarter 2026 operating profit absorbed start-up costs for the new business shows the cost burden of the ramp phase.

Internalizing iron phosphate precursor technology, where Chinese dependence is high, and developing a precursor-free process remain works in progress that will determine cost competitiveness. The first hurdle is whether the late-third-quarter production start and initial volume recognition proceed on schedule.

Customer concentration and disclosure credibility

Alongside the strength of top-tier customers, dependence on a single account for much of revenue has been flagged as a weakness, with earnings swinging sharply on small changes in the downstream market.

Media coverage has addressed disputes and amended disclosures around Tesla-related supply contracts, so it is prudent to check the conditions and revision risk in large order announcements. New LFP contracts may likewise differ between headline value and the timing and volume conditions of actual recognition. If customers' line conversion schedules slip, revenue recognition slips with them.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late September to October 2026

    Watch whether the targeted start of 30,000-ton annual LFP mass production late in the third quarter actually happens and whether initial LFP supply for North American ESS begins. Meeting the schedule bears directly on the credibility of the plan for over 50,000 tons of shipments in 2027.

  2. Late October to early November 2026

    In the third-quarter preliminary results, check whether the company delivered on its guidance for another record quarterly shipment volume, and how the NCM operating margin excluding one-offs moved from the mid single digits seen in the second quarter. Also watch whether the bottom line stays positive after the second quarter of 2026.

  3. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Track progress on the warrant bond conversion rate, which stood at about 65% at the end of 2025, along with resulting changes in equity and leverage and the size of derivative valuation gains or losses. Converting the remainder brings both a stronger capital structure and a higher share count.

  4. January to February 2027

    This is when full-year 2026 audited results and 2027 shipment guidance should appear. Key items are how the 2026 guidance of roughly 20% high-nickel-led shipment growth and a 46-phi mix of about 6% actually closed out, and what volume plans are set for LFP and 46-phi in 2027.

  5. First half of 2027

    Check execution of the plan to expand LFP capacity in stages to 60,000 tons per year and any disclosures of additional customer orders. If capacity build-out outpaces contract wins, fixed-cost burden can rise.

12

Overall view

L&F's situation can be summed up as just past the loss-making tunnel.

After three straight annual operating losses - KRW 222.3 billion in 2023, KRW 558.7 billion in 2024 and KRW 156.8 billion in 2025 - the company posted four consecutive profitable quarters from the third quarter of 2025 through the second quarter of 2026, with first-half 2026 revenue of KRW 1,624.7 billion and operating profit of KRW 138.1 billion.

Still, the last four quarters combined leave a net loss attributable to owners, coexisting with a 363.1% debt-to-equity ratio at end-2025 and the KRW 338.2 billion LFP investment burden.

The bull case rests on sole-source high-nickel supply and expanding 46-phi sales in North America plus demand documented in contracts such as the three-year, KRW 1.6 trillion LFP agreement with Samsung SDI.

The bear case rests on profit quality shaped by inventory valuation reversals and currency, bottom-line volatility from derivative valuation losses, and LFP price competition against Chinese producers.

What to verify next quarter is whether the late-third-quarter LFP production start proceeds as planned and whether margins excluding one-offs hold; conversely, if input prices reverse, quarterly earnings swings can widen again. This report is for information purposes only and contains no buy or sell opinion or target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. cbci.co.kr
  2. huffingtonpost.kr
  3. investing.com
  4. landf.irpage.co.kr
  5. mt.co.kr
  6. view.asiae.co.kr
  7. biz.heraldcorp.com
  8. kbthink.com
  9. landf.co.kr
  10. venturesquare.net
  11. newsvalue.kr
  12. bloter.net
  13. joongangenews.com
  14. energy-news.co.kr
  15. businesspost.co.kr
  16. digitaltoday.co.kr
  17. bloter.net
  18. alphasquare.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.