KOSPIBiotech & Pharma063160

CKD Bio

₩12,930▲ 1.17%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩70.2B
Turnover
₩72,766,770
Volume
5,699 shares
Shares out.
5.5M
PER
—
PBR
0.6×
EPS
-₩1,958
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

API Weakness, Toxin Business at Turning Point

CKD Bio faces continued structural weakness in its active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) business, while the expansion of its self-developed botulinum toxin product Tyemvers at home and abroad has emerged as the key variable for an earnings turnaround.

  1. 1

    2025 consolidated revenue was KRW 160.0bn with an operating profit of KRW 3.6bn (2.3% margin), but the company swung back to a net loss of KRW 2.9bn after turning profitable the prior year.

  2. 2

    Losses widened further in 2026, with an operating loss of KRW 1.7bn in Q1 and KRW 5.0bn in Q2.

  3. 3

    Exports account for roughly 80% of revenue, making the business highly sensitive to global API price competition and customer order fluctuations.

  4. 4

    The self-developed botulinum toxin Tyemvers received domestic approval for its 100-unit formulation in March 2025, and in January 2026 its China Phase 3 topline data confirmed non-inferiority versus Botox.

  5. 5

    Over the trailing four reported quarters (Q3 2025 to Q2 2026), the net loss attributable to owners totaled roughly KRW 10.7bn, making the pace of any profitability recovery a key point to watch.

02

Business structure

CKD Bio Corp. was established in November 2001 through a spin-off of the API business division from CKD (Chong Kun Dang), and listed on the KOSPI market the following month.

Its core business is active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), producing antibiotics (rifampicin, cephalosporin, tetracycline, etc.), the beta-lactamase inhibitor potassium clavulanate, the immunosuppressant cyclosporine A, the diabetes drug acarbose, and the cholesterol drug lovastatin.

Overseas sales account for roughly 80% of revenue, reflecting heavy export dependence, with the company supplying more than 30 types of API and finished products to about 170 customers across roughly 60 countries including the United States, Southeast Asia, China, Latin America, the Middle East, Europe and Africa.

The company also runs a probiotics ingredient and finished-product business, and is expanding its microbiome CDMO operations while pursuing microbiome-based drug research targeting intractable diseases such as Alzheimer's disease.

Its new growth driver is the self-developed botulinum toxin Tyemvers (CKDB-501A), distinguished by a fully non-animal (vegan) manufacturing process from strain cultivation through finished product, which helps it avoid the strain-origin disputes seen among some competitors.

Tyemvers is currently exported to Japan, Hong Kong and Russia, and in 2022 the company signed a 15-year exclusive supply agreement with China's Qutia Therapeutics covering China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan.

The API segment holds competitiveness in high-value-added products through developed-market-level QA/QC capability and complex synthesis and scale-up technology, but is exposed to cost competition from China and India, while in the toxin market the company is a relative latecomer compared with global players such as AbbVie, Ipsen and Merz and domestic rivals such as Hugel, Daewoong Pharmaceutical and Medytox.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩41.2B₩2.9B7.0%
2025Q3₩34.1B-₩1.5B−4.3%
2025Q4₩42.2B₩100M0.3%
2026Q1₩40.7B-₩1.7B−4.2%
2026Q2₩41.1B-₩5B−12.2%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩156B-₩14.8B-₩16.7B−9.5%−11.3%111.5%
2023₩160.4B-₩20.2B-₩24.2B−12.6%−19.7%138.8%
2024₩171.8B₩11B₩8.7B6.4%6.6%117.2%
2025₩160.1B₩3.6B-₩2.9B2.3%−2.3%136.0%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-23

04

Earnings analysis

2025 consolidated revenue came to KRW 160.0bn, down 6.8% from KRW 171.7bn in 2024, while operating profit fell sharply to KRW 3.6bn from KRW 10.9bn, and the net loss attributable to owners was KRW 2.9bn, reversing the KRW 8.7bn net profit posted in 2024.

This follows two years of heavy losses in 2022 (operating loss of KRW 14.8bn, net loss of KRW 16.7bn) and 2023 (operating loss of KRW 20.2bn, net loss of KRW 24.2bn), a single profitable year in 2024, and then a slide back into loss in 2025.

On a quarterly basis, an operating profit of KRW 2.9bn in Q2 2025 gave way to an operating loss of KRW 1.5bn in Q3 and a marginal operating profit of about KRW 0.1bn in Q4, before losses widened further to KRW 1.7bn in Q1 2026 and KRW 5.0bn in Q2 2026.

Net losses attributable to owners also deepened, from roughly KRW 0.5bn in Q2 2025 to KRW 5.4bn in Q2 2026, bringing the trailing four-quarter total (Q3 2025 through Q2 2026) to about KRW 10.7bn.

Consolidated operating cash flow turned negative at KRW -4.1bn in 2025, versus a positive KRW 14.0bn in 2024, indicating a parallel deterioration in cash generation. The debt ratio has fluctuated at persistently elevated levels, moving from 111.5% in 2022 to 138.8% in 2023, 117.2% in 2024 and 136.0% in 2025.

Total equity contracted from KRW 131.0bn in 2024 to KRW 127.0bn in 2025 as accumulated losses began to erode the capital base. The company has attributed the revenue decline and margin pressure to intensifying global competition reducing API sales volumes alongside rising R&D spending.

05

Industry analysis

The global API market is expected to see moderate growth driven by rising demand for chronic and geriatric disease treatment amid population aging, as well as population growth and economic development in Asia and Latin America.

Korea's API self-sufficiency rate stands below 20%, which presents an opportunity from a supply-chain localization policy perspective, but China and India continue to expand market share globally on the back of cost competitiveness.

CKD Bio has earned recognition for competitiveness in high-value-added product areas through developed-market-level QA/QC capability and complex synthesis and scale-up technology, but this structural cost competition is closely linked to the revenue and profit softness seen in recent years.

In the botulinum toxin market, China is cited as a large, fast-growing market, while the domestic market, valued at roughly KRW 200bn, is crowded with more than ten competing products.

Globally AbbVie (Botox) leads, followed by Ipsen and Merz, while domestically Hugel has already entered the China market, Daewoong Pharmaceutical awaits China approval, and Medytox is preparing an approval filing, underscoring intense competition.

Within this landscape, CKD Bio is positioning itself as a late entrant differentiated by clear strain traceability and a non-animal manufacturing process.

06

Outlook

The company has stated that Tyemvers began generating sales more than half a year after launch, and reaffirmed its intention to expand domestic sales while pursuing overseas approvals and sales expansion over the longer term.

In April 2025 the company filed for domestic manufacturing and sales approval of the 200-unit Tyemvers formulation, with the review outcome yet to be confirmed.

In China, the January 2026 Phase 3 topline data confirmed non-inferiority versus Botox, and follow-on procedures toward commercialization are expected to proceed together with partner Qutia Therapeutics.

On the production side, the company has invested roughly KRW 150bn cumulatively in botulinum toxin manufacturing facilities and has indicated plans to further expand production capacity going forward.

In the API segment, sales volume declines tied to intensifying global competition have continued, meaning that unless the toxin business's revenue contribution grows meaningfully, it will be difficult to offset overall earnings volatility.

In the probiotics and microbiome segment, CDMO expansion and drug research targeting intractable diseases continue, though these remain mid- to long-term R&D initiatives rather than current revenue contributors.

07

Valuation

PER
—
PBR
0.6×
ROE
-8.6%
EPS
-₩1,958
BPS
₩21,774
Dividend per share
₩0

CKD Bio has posted net losses in each of the trailing four reported quarters, making a conventional price-to-earnings ratio difficult to calculate and limiting the usefulness of earnings-based valuation metrics.

Its price-to-book ratio tends to trade at a discount to net asset value, which can be read as the market pricing in the recent deterioration in profitability compared with the profitable year of 2024. No dividend has been paid recently, making dividend-related metrics of limited use at this time.

Looking at multi-year results, earnings have swung considerably—from losses in 2022–2023 to a profit in 2024 and back to a loss in 2025—and this earnings volatility appears to be reflected in how the market values the stock.

Should the botulinum toxin business's revenue contribution grow and API profitability stabilize, valuation benchmarks could shift, but for now the company is still in a phase of confirming whether any profit recovery can be sustained.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-23

08

Bull factors

Potential for growing revenue contribution from the toxin business

The self-developed botulinum toxin Tyemvers touts a non-animal manufacturing process and clear strain traceability, and after receiving domestic approval for its 100-unit formulation, the company has filed for approval of a 200-unit version.

In China, Phase 3 data from January 2026 confirmed non-inferiority versus Botox, leaving room for follow-on commercialization procedures.

Built on production facilities that have absorbed roughly KRW 150bn in cumulative investment, with further capacity expansion planned, the toxin business has the potential to partially offset volatility in the API segment if its revenue contribution scales up.

High-value-added API technology and a diversified export network

The company has earned recognition for competitiveness in high-value-added API areas through developed-market-level QA/QC capability and complex synthesis and scale-up technology.

A diversified network exporting about 30 product types to roughly 170 customers across some 60 countries reduces dependence on any single market. Parallel expansion into new business areas such as probiotics and microbiome ingredients offers scope for longer-term portfolio diversification.

Track record of achieving a profitable turnaround in 2024

The company has a track record of returning to operating profit in 2024 for the first time in four years, demonstrating an ability to improve profitability through cost structure adjustments and sales strategy.

It is also worth noting that under new CEO leadership with overseas sales experience, an export expansion strategy is being pursued. This history could serve as a reference point in any future earnings improvement phase.

09

Bear factors

Deepening structural cost competition in the API segment

Cost competitiveness gains by Chinese and Indian producers continue to pressure sales volumes in the global API market. This structural intensification of competition underlies the repeated revenue declines and operating losses seen in 2025 and the first half of 2026.

Given its export-heavy business structure, the company remains exposed to customer order adjustments and weakening unit-price negotiating power.

Widening losses and deteriorating cash generation

Operating losses widened in both Q1 2026 (KRW 1.7bn) and Q2 2026 (KRW 5.0bn). Consolidated operating cash flow also turned negative at KRW -4.1bn in 2025, reversing from a positive figure the prior year, indicating weakened cash generation.

If losses continue to accumulate, this could increase the burden on securing investment funds and managing financial soundness going forward.

Late-entrant status and intensifying competition in the toxin business

The botulinum toxin market already has numerous established competing products both domestically and internationally, positioning CKD Bio as a relative latecomer.

The domestic market alone is crowded with more than ten competing products, while globally, established players such as AbbVie, Ipsen and Merz, along with domestic leader Hugel, have already secured market positions. As a new entrant, securing sales channels and expanding market share may take time.

10

Risk factors

FX and overseas demand fluctuation

With exports accounting for roughly 80% of revenue, fluctuations in the won-dollar exchange rate and shifts in overseas customer demand have a direct impact on results. The business structure is such that order adjustments by a major customer can significantly increase revenue volatility. A global economic slowdown could also curb underlying demand for APIs.

Regulatory approval delay risk

Follow-on procedures for domestic approval of the 200-unit Tyemvers formulation and China commercialization could be delayed depending on regulatory review timelines.

Requirements for clinical and quality data for botulinum toxin products are becoming more stringent across jurisdictions, creating risk that overseas market entry could be delayed relative to plan. Approval delays could push back the timing of any meaningful revenue contribution from the new business.

Financial leverage and accumulated loss risk

The debt ratio has fluctuated in the range of roughly 110–140% between 2022 and 2025, remaining elevated in absolute terms. The combination of a 2025 net loss and deteriorating operating cash flow has led to a contraction in shareholders' equity. Should losses accumulate further, the burden of managing financial stability could increase.

11

What to watch next

  1. Around November 2026 (Q3 provisional earnings disclosure expected)

    The Q3 2026 revenue and operating profit/loss disclosure should be checked to see whether the loss-widening trend from Q1 and Q2 continues or shows signs of improvement as toxin sales are reflected.

  2. During H2 2026 (exact timing not yet disclosed)

    Investors should watch for the MFDS review outcome on the domestic manufacturing and sales approval application for the 200-unit Tyemvers formulation, filed in April 2025.

  3. Timing not yet confirmed (ongoing monitoring required)

    Following the January 2026 China Phase 3 topline data, it is worth monitoring whether follow-on commercialization steps (such as a formal approval filing) with partner Qutia Therapeutics move forward.

  4. Early 2027 (2026 annual business report expected)

    The confirmed 2026 annual results will allow a comprehensive check of whether the API segment's profitability has recovered and how much the botulinum toxin segment contributed to annual revenue.

12

Overall view

CKD Bio achieved a profitable turnaround in 2024 after four years of losses, but swung back to a net loss in 2025, and operating losses widened further in both Q1 and Q2 2026.

Its export-heavy API business is exposed to structural pressure from intensifying cost competition from China and India, which has been cited as the key driver behind recent revenue and profit softness.

On the other hand, the self-developed botulinum toxin Tyemvers continues to build a growth narrative, including expanded domestic approvals and confirmed non-inferiority in China Phase 3 trials, giving it the potential to alter the earnings structure once its revenue contribution scales up.

On the financial side, the debt ratio has remained elevated in the 110–140% range, and the shift to negative operating cash flow in 2025 also warrants attention.

Key points to watch going forward are whether the loss-widening trend stabilizes in Q3 results, and whether expanded domestic and overseas approvals and sales for the toxin business can offset the structural weakness in the API segment. Investors should continue to monitor quarterly earnings and approval-related disclosures as they are released.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. judal.co.kr
  2. alphasquare.co.kr
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  4. littlebproject.com
  5. goinsider.kr
  6. medicopharma.co.kr
  7. judal.co.kr
  8. medipharmhealth.co.kr
  9. markets.hankyung.com
  10. comp.fnguide.com
  11. ckdpharm.com
  12. ckdbio.com
  13. jobkorea.co.kr
  14. bics.re.kr
  15. jobkorea.co.kr
  16. jasoseol.com
  17. saramin.co.kr
  18. kind.krx.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.