KOSPIMachinery034020

Doosan Enerbility

₩81,400▼ 0.85%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩51.9T
Turnover
₩145.5B
Volume
1.8M
Shares out.
640M
PER
279.9×
PBR
6.2×
EPS
₩283
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

A 26 Trillion Won Backlog Meets the Margin Test

Nuclear main equipment and gas turbine orders keep piling up and quarterly operating margins are recovering, yet the owners' share of consolidated profit is small and working capital and debt burdens persist, so the gap between expectations and realized earnings is the key issue.

  1. 1

    First-half 2026 revenue was 8.9859 trillion won with operating profit of 547.8 billion won, and the quarterly operating margin has climbed from the trough in the third quarter of 2025 to around 6.7% in the second quarter of 2026.

  2. 2

    According to the company, the order backlog stood at 26.3509 trillion won at the end of the first half of 2026, while the Enerbility division booked 7.1225 trillion won of new orders in the first half, more than half of the 13.3 trillion won annual target.

  3. 3

    The roughly 5.6 trillion won contract for main equipment and turbines for Czech Dukovany units 5 and 6 delivers sequentially from November 2027 to August 2032, spreading revenue recognition over the medium to long term.

  4. 4

    Because the owners' portion of consolidated net profit is small, per-share earnings metrics screen low, and the company posted a net loss attributable to owners as recently as the third quarter of 2025.

  5. 5

    The debt-to-equity ratio was 129.1% at the end of 2025, and rising inventory and unbilled receivables from large projects, together with capital spending, add volatility to cash flow.

02

Business structure

Doosan Enerbility is an integrated power equipment maker built around nuclear main equipment such as reactors and steam generators, gas and steam turbines, power services, and EPC for desalination and combined-cycle plants.

Consolidated results include construction equipment affiliate Doosan Bobcat, fuel cell affiliate Doosan Fuel Cell and Czech turbine subsidiary Doosan Skoda Power, and non-controlling interests reached 4.2236 trillion won of total equity at the end of 2025, showing how large minority stakes in subsidiaries are.

The core Enerbility division posted first-half 2026 revenue of 4.1289 trillion won, up 7.4% from 3.8433 trillion won a year earlier, and the company's own expectation for divisional revenue this year is around 8 trillion won, roughly half of consolidated sales.

Customers split between domestic utilities such as Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power, Middle Eastern project owners, and North American data center and utility clients.

Key first-half 2026 projects cited include a seven-unit gas turbine supply contract with a US company, phase two of the Jafurah cogeneration plant in Saudi Arabia, the Duqm combined-cycle plant in Oman, and a long-term gas turbine service agreement with Korea Southern Power.

In nuclear, the company signed contracts with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power to supply main equipment, turbines and generators for Czech Dukovany units 5 and 6 worth about 5.6 trillion won in total, and a roughly 320 billion won steam turbine and turbine control system contract with Czech subsidiary Doosan Skoda Power.

In small modular reactors, investment in a dedicated facility capable of building 20 units a year is underway as NuScale Power and X-energy projects take shape, with potential for expanded equipment supply to TerraPower, Rolls-Royce and GE Hitachi.

Competitively, it is a challenger against GE Vernova, Siemens Energy and Mitsubishi Power in gas turbines, while nuclear main equipment is contested by a small group of firms with the requisite forging capacity and qualifications. Long-term service agreements add a recurring revenue layer as the installed base grows.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩4.6T₩271.1B5.9%
2025Q3₩3.9T₩137.1B3.5%
2025Q4₩4.9T₩212.1B4.4%
2026Q1₩4.3T₩233.5B5.5%
2026Q2₩4.7T₩314.3B6.7%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩15.4T₩1.1T-₩772.5B7.2%−10.9%128.7%
2023₩17.6T₩1.5T₩55.6B8.3%0.8%127.3%
2024₩16.2T₩1T₩111.4B6.3%1.5%125.7%
2025₩17.1T₩762.7B₩84.8B4.5%1.1%129.1%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

On an annual basis revenue oscillated around 17 trillion won: 15.4211 trillion won in 2022, 17.5899 trillion in 2023, 16.2331 trillion in 2024 and 17.0579 trillion in 2025.

Operating profit, however, peaked at 1.4673 trillion won in 2023 (8.3% margin) before falling to 1.0176 trillion won (6.3%) in 2024 and 762.7 billion won (4.5%) in 2025, a clear margin erosion.

Net profit attributable to owners swung from a 772.5 billion won loss in 2022 to profits of 55.6 billion won in 2023, 111.4 billion won in 2024 and 84.8 billion won in 2025, small in absolute terms even after the turn to profit.

The gap between consolidated net profit of 205.2 billion won and the owners' 84.8 billion won in 2025 reflects the large non-controlling interests in the group structure.

Quarterly, the trough was the third quarter of 2025 with revenue of 3.8804 trillion won, operating profit of 137.1 billion won (3.5% margin) and a 50.1 billion won net loss attributable to owners; operating profit then rose for three straight quarters to 212.1 billion won, 233.5 billion won and 314.3 billion won.

The second-quarter 2026 operating margin of roughly 6.7% was well above the 4.5% full-year 2025 level, and the company attributed sales growth to faster project progress at the Enerbility division and Doosan Bobcat's pricing policy, and profit improvement to Enerbility's performance plus a tariff refund effect at Doosan Bobcat.

Since items such as tariff refunds are not highly repeatable, the full extent of the improvement should not be read as trend. At the divisional level, Enerbility's first-half operating profit rose 69.7% from 91 billion to 154.4 billion won and its margin improved from 2.4% to 3.7%.

Operating cash flow fell sharply from 2.0706 trillion won in 2023 to 242.2 billion won in 2024 before recovering to 751.8 billion won in 2025, illustrating how sensitive it is to advance payments and billing timing on large projects.

05

Industry analysis

End-demand rests on two pillars. The first is power scarcity driven by AI data center expansion: rising North American demand for power generation gas turbines, combined with Middle Eastern combined-cycle projects, lifted first-half order intake.

The second is the policy return to nuclear, with the argument that the United States is focused on building reactors but lacks equipment manufacturing and construction capacity, raising the need for cooperation with Korea.

Gas turbines had long been a three-way global oligopoly, yet Doosan Enerbility won seven of the 18 large H-class gas turbines ordered in the United States this year, building a track record as a late entrant, and the ability to convert equipment sales into long-term service business matters greatly in this industry.

Nuclear main equipment is gated by heavy forging and welding capacity plus qualification requirements, so the supplier pool is small, and the cycle is transitioning from an order-growth phase into a manufacturing-recognition phase.

A structural feature of the sector, however, is the long lag before awards become revenue. In the Czech project alone, main equipment is to be manufactured from November 2027 with supply completed by August 2032.

SMRs remain an early-stage market where order timing depends on each designer's licensing and final investment decisions, so industry growth rates and a single company's revenue recognition pace may not move together.

06

Outlook

The company is sticking to its annual order target. A company official said it would push key projects including the Czech nuclear plant as planned in order to meet this year's guidance of 13.3 trillion won. First-half progress showed new orders of 7.1 trillion won, more than half the annual goal.

The order base stands at a backlog of 26.3509 trillion won at the end of the second quarter, roughly 10 trillion won higher than the 16.6 trillion won level at the end of 2023, and the question now is at what margin that backlog converts into revenue.

Candidates for further momentum include the new Czech reactors and SMR-related business, and the company has pointed to expectations for the follow-on Temelin nuclear project if Dukovany is executed successfully.

In SMRs, the company said in August 2026 that it had won orders for core equipment for TerraPower's sodium reactor, including the guard vessel, support structures and internal structures, to be supplied to TerraPower's first plant in Wyoming.

Domestically, a construction order disclosure for the Hadong combined-cycle plant turnkey-conditioned purchase was filed on September 1, 2026, and an institutional investor briefing was held the same day.

For reference, NH Investment & Securities was reported to have set a target price of 130,000 won in a March 2026 report reflecting expanding gas turbine and SMR orders. What remains to be verified is when partner SMR volumes convert into binding contracts, and how capital spending weighs on cash flow.

07

Valuation

PER
279.9×
PBR
6.2×
ROE
2.3%
EPS
₩283
BPS
₩12,777
Dividend per share
₩0

The earnings multiple sits well above the average for Korea's machinery and equipment sector, and the shares also carry a premium to net assets.

The arithmetic reason is clear: net profit attributable to owners was only 84.8 billion won in 2025 and 181.1 billion won for the four quarters from the third quarter of 2025 through the second quarter of 2026, a small denominator that reflects the large non-controlling share of consolidated profit.

In other words, the current multiple leans far more on how the 26 trillion won-plus backlog and the nuclear and SMR pipeline convert at what margin than on realized profit.

With no cash dividend per share in the latest disclosures, a dividend yield does not apply, so the debate centers on the speed of backlog-to-profit conversion rather than shareholder returns. Indeed, one market data source also tallied the company's price-earnings ratio as far above its sector average.

Whether the operating margin's move from 4.5% in 2025 to roughly 6.7% in the second quarter of 2026 continues, or is pressed back down by low-margin projects and one-off items, is the fork in the road for interpreting that multiple.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Backlog growth and margin improvement together

Operating profit rose for three consecutive quarters from a trough of 137.1 billion won in the third quarter of 2025 to 314.3 billion won in the second quarter of 2026, with the margin improving from 3.5% to roughly 6.7%.

At the divisional level, Enerbility's first-half operating profit grew from 91 billion to 154.4 billion won and its margin from 2.4% to 3.7%.

The 26.3509 trillion won backlog at the end of the second quarter is more than three times the divisional annual revenue the company expects, giving a thick base of revenue visibility. If the backlog mix shifts further toward high-margin equipment, room for operating margin improvement remains.

Accumulating a North American gas turbine record

Reports noted that in the United States cumulative orders reached 12 units just four months after the first supply contract, and the company secured seven of the 18 large H-class gas turbines ordered in the United States this year.

First-half cumulative wins totaled 12 gas turbines, six steam turbines and five long-term service agreements, with four data center steam turbines added in North America. A growing installed base feeds into long-term service business, leaving room for recurring revenue to rise.

In a market long dominated by three global players, the accumulation of actual awards is itself a shift in business metrics.

Scarce manufacturing capacity in nuclear and SMR

The roughly 5.6 trillion won in contracts for main equipment, turbines and generators for Czech Dukovany units 5 and 6 mark entry into the European nuclear market, with two APR1000 units to be supplied from November 2027 through August 2032.

In SMRs, the company said in August 2026 that it had won core equipment orders for TerraPower's sodium reactor for supply to the first plant in Wyoming. Analysis has also cited an ongoing investment in a dedicated SMR facility sized for 20 units a year. Heavy forging capacity and nuclear quality qualifications are barriers that cannot be replicated quickly.

09

Bear factors

The gap between realized profit and expectations

Net profit attributable to owners was 84.8 billion won in 2025, very small against revenue of 17.0579 trillion won, and just 181.1 billion won over the latest four quarters combined.

A large share of the 205.2 billion won consolidated net profit is allocated to non-controlling interests, which depresses per-share earnings metrics. Indeed, market data tallied the price-earnings ratio as far above the sector average.

If backlog converts into profit more slowly than hoped, the gap between expectations and results remains a burden.

Working capital and debt burden

Total liabilities were 15.5039 trillion won at the end of 2025 with a debt-to-equity ratio of 129.1%, little changed from 128.7% in 2022.

Operating cash flow plunged from 2.0706 trillion won in 2023 to 242.2 billion won in 2024 before recovering to 751.8 billion won in 2025, volatility driven by advance payment and billing timing on large projects. With nuclear and SMR manufacturing capex running in parallel, free cash generation could be pushed out. If rates or currencies turn adverse, financing costs and project cost control pressures rise together.

Quarterly swings and one-off items

In the third quarter of 2025 revenue fell to 3.8804 trillion won with a 50.1 billion won net loss attributable to owners, and in the first quarter of 2026 owners' net profit was only about 0.8 billion won.

Even in quarters when operating profit rises, the bottom line can swing sharply on financing, equity-method and non-controlling interest factors. The second-quarter 2026 improvement included items of low repeatability such as Doosan Bobcat's tariff refund effect. Investors should note that a single quarter's figures are a weak basis for judging trend.

10

Risk factors

Project execution and schedule delays

The Czech project runs on a long timeline, with manufacturing starting in November 2027 and supply completed by August 2032, so licensing and localization requirements can affect schedules. Experts have noted the need to focus on meeting the schedule in details such as construction permits and local procurement.

In large nuclear and EPC work, delays translate directly into higher cost ratios. The history of low-margin projects weighing on profitability illustrates the scale of execution risk.

SMR commercialization timeline

SMR revenue depends on partners' licensing and final investment decisions, and much of the volume currently discussed is a pipeline-based estimate rather than firm contracts.

Reports said NH Investment & Securities expected 96 NuScale Power modules and 36 X-energy modules over five years, while also noting these are estimates based on partner pipelines rather than confirmed contracts. Because dedicated manufacturing capacity is built ahead of orders, delays could pressure utilization. Regulatory and economic viability variables also remain.

Uncertainty around group restructuring

The group previously pursued a plan to spin off Doosan Enerbility and merge the new entity holding its Doosan Bobcat stake into Doosan Robotics, but in December 2024 it fully withdrew the split-merger, citing a sharp share price decline, and said it would review the restructuring again.

Transferring Bobcat affects consolidated earnings and the dividend base, so shareholder interests could diverge if the plan and its terms are revisited. Progress here needs to be tracked through regulatory filings. As of now, no confirmed new plan has been verified as announced.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late October 2026

    Third-quarter 2026 results. Check whether the operating margin holds near the roughly 6.7% reached in the second quarter, and what the underlying margin looks like excluding one-off items such as tariff refunds.

  2. Fourth quarter of 2026

    The path to the company's 13.3 trillion won annual order guidance. The key is whether major second-half contracts, such as Czech follow-ons and additional gas turbine awards, are confirmed in filings.

  3. Q4 2026 to H1 2027

    The point at which SMR partner volumes from NuScale Power, X-energy and TerraPower convert from non-binding agreements into binding supply contracts. Progress and initial run plans for the dedicated SMR facility in Changwon should be checked alongside.

  4. Around February 2027

    Final full-year 2026 results, 2027 order and revenue guidance, and any change in dividend policy. This is the point to verify whether backlog growth actually flowed through to the annual operating margin and operating cash flow.

  5. November 2027

    The scheduled start of APR1000 main equipment manufacturing for Czech Dukovany units 5 and 6. Schedule adherence and early cost ratios will be evidence for competitiveness in follow-on European projects.

12

Overall view

Doosan Enerbility's current phase can be summed up as orders already banked, profit conversion still in progress.

Revenue rose from 15.4211 trillion won in 2022 to 17.0579 trillion won in 2025, yet operating profit fell from 1.4673 trillion won in 2023 to 762.7 billion won in 2025 as margins eroded; from a trough of 137.1 billion won in the third quarter of 2025, operating profit recovered for three straight quarters to 314.3 billion won in the second quarter of 2026, lifting the margin to roughly 6.7%.

Net profit attributable to owners, however, was only 84.8 billion won in 2025 and 181.1 billion won for the latest four quarters combined, so per-share earnings metrics screen low, a function of the large non-controlling interests in the consolidated structure.

On the business side, a backlog of 26.3509 trillion won at the end of the second quarter and first-half new orders of 7.1 trillion won, more than half the 13.3 trillion won annual target are confirmed, anchored by Czech nuclear main equipment, North American gas turbines and TerraPower SMR components.

On the other side sit a 129.1% debt-to-equity ratio, cash flow volatility driven by large projects, the SMR commercialization timeline, and the history of restructuring around the Bobcat stake.

Ultimately what must be verified is how fast and at what margin the backlog enters the income statement, and third-quarter results plus the path to the annual order target are the first checkpoints. This report is for information purposes only and contains no buy or sell opinion or target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. thetracker.co.kr
  2. sidae.com
  3. newsis.com
  4. ngonews.kr
  5. news.nate.com
  6. businesspost.co.kr
  7. hellot.net
  8. imnews.imbc.com
  9. cbci.co.kr
  10. joongangenews.com
  11. electimes.com
  12. bullstory.io
  13. m.thebell.co.kr
  14. paxetv.com
  15. thedailymoney.com
  16. m.irgo.co.kr
  17. alphasquare.co.kr
  18. investing.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.