KOSPIRetail & Consumer023530

Lotte Shopping

₩101,800▲ 0.49%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩2.9T
Turnover
₩6.1B
Volume
60K
Shares out.
28.3M
PER
16.8×
PBR
0.2×
EPS
₩6,406
Dividend Yield
3.72%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩4,000 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Department Stores Lead, Mart and Online on Trial

Lotte Shopping has entered an earnings recovery phase driven by its department stores, but a second-quarter 2026 preliminary print that fell short of market estimates, together with one-off losses at a subsidiary, has put the breadth and durability of that recovery back under scrutiny.

  1. 1

    Consolidated operating profit rose from KRW 386.2bn in 2022 to KRW 547.0bn in 2025, with the operating margin improving from 2.5% to 4.0%. Revenue, however, declined for three straight years, from KRW 15,476.0bn in 2022 to KRW 13,738.4bn in 2025.

  2. 2

    After a KRW 968.0bn net loss attributable to owners in 2024, the company returned to a KRW 51.6bn profit in 2025, with positive quarterly net income in 4Q25 and 1Q26.

  3. 3

    Most profit comes from department stores. In 1Q26 the department store division posted sales of KRW 872.3bn and operating profit of KRW 191.2bn, accounting for 23% of group revenue but 73% of operating profit.

  4. 4

    Zeta Smart Center Busan, the Ocado-based backbone of the online grocery push, began operations on 7 August 2026. The success of this first site is seen as the gauge for follow-on fulfilment centre investment, and Lotte Mart says the schedule beyond Busan is still being coordinated.

  5. 5

    In its October 2024 corporate value-up plan the company stated it aims for a total shareholder return ratio of at least 35% for 2024-2026, and it declared an interim dividend again in 2026 at a larger size than the prior year.

02

Business structure

Founded in 1970 as a department store operator, Lotte Shopping is a diversified retailer that as of 2026 holds 34 subsidiaries and runs a domestic and overseas store network spanning department stores, hypermarkets, consumer electronics stores, supermarkets, home shopping, cinema and e-commerce.

By revenue, the hypermarket (Lotte Mart) and electronics (Lotte Hi-Mart) arms are large, but the profit engine is the department store business. In 1Q26 department stores contributed about 23% of group revenue yet 73% of operating profit.

In 2Q26 department store sales rose 9.2% year on year to KRW 891.2bn, a record for a second quarter, while domestic department store operating profit grew 77.6% and overseas 309.7%, lifting divisional operating profit to KRW 119.7bn.

Overseas growth is anchored in Vietnam, where Lotte Mall West Lake Hanoi set a record quarterly operating profit for a sixth consecutive quarter.

Subsidiary results diverge widely: in 2Q26 Hi-Mart posted sales of KRW 591.1bn with only KRW 1.0bn of operating profit, while Culture Works grew sales 15.5% to KRW 106.1bn but booked a KRW 13.7bn operating loss on one-off content-business losses.

Online efforts centre on Lotte On and the Lotte Mart Zeta grocery app, with the Ocado project to build six customer fulfilment centres nationwide by 2030 serving as the core of the grocery strategy.

Competitively, the group faces Shinsegae and Hyundai Department Store in department stores, Emart in hypermarkets, and Coupang and Kurly in online grocery.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩3.3T₩40.6B1.2%
2025Q3₩3.4T₩130.5B3.8%
2025Q4₩3.5T₩227.7B6.5%
2026Q1₩3.6T₩252.9B7.1%
2026Q2₩3.5T₩89.9B2.6%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩15.5T₩386.2B-₩324.6B2.5%−3.4%187.3%
2023₩14.6T₩508.4B₩174.4B3.5%1.8%182.8%
2024₩14T₩473.1B-₩968B3.4%−6.2%129.0%
2025₩13.7T₩547B₩51.6B4.0%0.3%124.8%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

The annual pattern is best summarised as profit recovery amid a shrinking top line.

Revenue fell for three consecutive years, from KRW 15,476.0bn in 2022 to KRW 14,555.9bn in 2023, KRW 13,986.6bn in 2024 and KRW 13,738.4bn in 2025, while operating profit rose from KRW 386.2bn to KRW 508.4bn, KRW 473.1bn and KRW 547.0bn, lifting the operating margin from 2.5% to 4.0%.

Net income was far more volatile: a KRW 968.0bn loss attributable to owners in 2024 turned into a KRW 51.6bn profit in 2025, while operating cash flow stayed above KRW 1,600bn every year since 2022, keeping cash generation steady regardless of bottom-line swings.

The debt-to-equity ratio fell from 187.3% in 2022 and 182.8% in 2023 to 129.0% in 2024 and 124.8% in 2025; because total equity rose from KRW 10,836.4bn to KRW 17,033.6bn in 2024 despite the net loss, investors should check the annual report for the details behind that equity increase.

Quarterly, operating profit improved markedly from KRW 40.6bn in 2Q25 to KRW 130.5bn in 3Q25, KRW 227.7bn in 4Q25 and KRW 252.9bn in 1Q26.

In 2Q26 revenue was KRW 3,485.0bn and operating profit KRW 89.9bn, more than double the year-earlier KRW 40.6bn but sharply lower than the preceding quarter, while net income attributable to owners swung back to a KRW 2.9bn loss.

Given that six brokerages had averaged estimates of KRW 3,464.7bn in revenue and KRW 115.4bn in operating profit, the operating result came in below market expectations, and one-off content losses at Culture Works weighed on the quarter.

For the first half, revenue reached KRW 7,066.6bn, up 3.8% year on year, with operating profit of KRW 342.8bn, up 81.5%, and net income of KRW 158.5bn.

05

Industry analysis

Korean retail is sharply polarised by channel. Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy data show first-half 2026 sales at major retailers up 7.3%, with offline up 6.2% and online up 8.1%, while department stores alone grew 20.1%, far above the 0.5% of a year earlier.

A rise in the consumer sentiment index from 97 to 107 and an increase in inbound visitors from 8.83m to 10.71m were key drivers, and sales of global luxury brands jumped 30.8%.

By contrast, hypermarkets and supermarkets contracted for a ninth straight quarter, with hypermarket sales down 7.4% in the second quarter and June food sales down 12.8%. Online now accounts for 59.6% of total tracked retail sales, while the hypermarket share fell from 15.1% in 2021 to 7.5% in June 2026.

Lotte Shopping therefore straddles both the strongest and the weakest formats simultaneously. On inbound demand, Lotte Department Store logged record half-year foreign-customer sales of KRW 640.0bn, already 87% of the prior full-year figure, sharing the tourism tailwind with peers.

That said, analysts have argued that the equity-driven wealth effect behind department store shares has passed its peak, noting the August consumer sentiment index fell 2.3 points from the prior month to 104.5. The cycle thus looks like one where inbound strength persists even as domestic demand indicators begin to cool.

06

Outlook

For the second half, management has flagged an upgraded townisation strategy centred on the flagship and Jamsil stores, plus space innovation including a large media facade at Lotte Town Myeongdong.

CFO Lim Jae-cheol said the company will keep strengthening the fundamental competitiveness of core businesses and pursue continued structural improvement to sustain stable growth. Online grocery is at an inflection point.

Zeta Smart Center Busan can handle more than 30,000 orders a day at full utilisation, over twice the online volume Lotte Mart previously processed in the Busan and South Gyeongsang region.

However, the Ocado Group CEO said the follow-on Seoul-area centre will take more time, and Ocado's interim materials place the Seoul CFC in 2029, later than the second half of 2027 previously indicated by Lotte Shopping and the city of Goyang.

Commentators note that the real test in Busan is not automation but securing order volume and lifting utilisation to prove profitability. In the mart division, second-quarter 2026 sales grew and losses narrowed, supporting group results.

Hanwha Investment and Securities analyst Lee Jin-hyup said domestic and foreign-customer sales strength is structural and that, even on conservative assumptions, the current trend is likely to persist into next year.

On price targets, Kiwoom Securities analyst Park Sang-jun raised his target to KRW 230,000 in June 2026, a view published before the second-quarter preliminary results.

07

Valuation

PER
16.8×
PBR
0.2×
ROE
1.2%
EPS
₩6,406
BPS
₩541,226
Dividend per share
₩4,000

The crux of the valuation debate is that earnings-based and asset-based metrics tell different stories. The shares trade well below reported book value per share, placing the asset-based multiple at the low end of both its own historical range and that of large domestic retailers.

Earnings-based multiples, by contrast, screen high relative to the improvement in operating profit, because net income is only in the early stage of recovery after the large 2024 loss, leaving the denominator small.

On shareholder returns, the value-up plan targets a payout ratio of at least 35% for 2024-2026 alongside a dividend floor, and the company already recorded a 154% total return ratio last year, exceeding its own goal.

Yet capital expenditure has run at KRW 600bn-900bn a year since 2023, with roughly KRW 600bn planned again this year, so return capacity must be weighed against investment needs.

Ultimately, the durability of department store profits, the pace of loss reduction at mart and e-commerce, and whether asset value can be monetised are the variables that will shape how these multiples are read.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Department store operating leverage and inbound demand

In 2Q26 the department store division set a second-quarter record with sales of KRW 891.2bn and posted operating profit of KRW 119.7bn. Industry-wide, first-half department store sales rose 20.1% as inbound visitors climbed from 8.83m to 10.71m.

Samsung Securities estimated that rising foreign-customer sales lift overall same-store growth by roughly 3-5 percentage points. Given the high fixed-cost base of department stores, same-store growth can translate into room for margin improvement.

Cash generation and an improved balance sheet

Operating cash flow was steady regardless of profit swings, at KRW 1,627.8bn in 2022, KRW 1,639.8bn in 2023, KRW 1,587.9bn in 2024 and KRW 1,723.8bn in 2025.

The debt-to-equity ratio fell from 187.3% in 2022 to 124.8% in 2025, while total liabilities moved from KRW 20,668.5bn in 2022 to KRW 21,044.1bn in 2025, remaining manageable relative to scale. The operating margin improved from 2.5% in 2022 to 4.0% in 2025, evidencing cost-structure gains. This cash flow underpins the ability to fund heavy capex and dividends at the same time.

A track record of executing shareholder returns

After announcing its shareholder return policy in October 2024, Lotte Shopping paid its first interim dividend since its 2006 listing last year, a first in Korean retail, and expanded the interim payout this year. The total 2026 interim dividend amounted to about KRW 36.75bn.

In March 2024 it amended its articles to set the dividend record date after the board resolution, improving predictability for investors. The consistency of the policy itself is a verifiable fact.

09

Bear factors

Profit concentration in department stores

In 1Q26 department stores generated just 23% of group revenue but 73% of operating profit. In 2Q26 divisional operating profit of KRW 119.7bn exceeded group operating profit of KRW 89.9bn, laying bare a structure in which department stores offset weakness elsewhere.

The market views profitability at loss-making units such as Hi-Mart and e-commerce as the key variable for medium-term earnings stability. Should the department store cycle turn, the buffer is thin.

Shrinking top line and eroding offline grocery channels

Consolidated revenue fell for three straight years, from KRW 15,476.0bn in 2022 to KRW 13,738.4bn in 2025. Hypermarkets and supermarkets have contracted for nine consecutive quarters, with hypermarket sales down 7.4% in the second quarter.

As online reached 59.6% of tracked retail sales, the hypermarket share halved from 15.1% in 2021 to 7.5% in June 2026. Because margin gains have been offsetting the shrinking top line, the scope for further improvement may be limited without a revenue rebound.

Ocado project costs and schedule uncertainty

Roughly KRW 200bn went into the Busan CFC alone, and the automation and technology network is slated to absorb KRW 950bn in total through 2030.

The first centre's start-up slipped twice from the original plan, construction of the second centre in Goyang was suspended for design changes, and Lotte Holdings was reported to have launched an internal audit related to the Ocado project.

Overseas, Kroger, a major Ocado partner in the United States, has suspended operations at some of its fulfilment centres.

10

Risk factors

Financing and capital allocation

Total liabilities stood at KRW 21,044.1bn at end-2025, above total equity of KRW 16,866.2bn. Press reports note borrowings of around KRW 14tn and annual investment needs above KRW 600bn, prompting questions about dividend growth running ahead of the pace of earnings recovery.

Investment could rise further if large mixed-use projects such as the Lotte Mall at Sangam DMC move into full swing. With investment, shareholder returns and debt repayment proceeding simultaneously, shifts in cash-flow priorities warrant monitoring.

Consumption cycle and foreign demand

The August consumer sentiment index fell 2.3 points from the prior month to 104.5. Analysts have suggested the equity-driven wealth effect that lifted department store shares has peaked.

A rising share of foreign-customer sales presumes a weak won and sustained inbound demand, leaving it exposed to currency moves, tourism policy and shifts in Chinese demand. With department stores driving group profit, sensitivity to these factors is high.

Subsidiary earnings volatility

In 2Q26 Culture Works grew sales 15.5% yet posted a KRW 13.7bn operating loss on one-off content-business charges. In the same quarter Hi-Mart generated KRW 591.1bn of sales but only KRW 1.0bn of operating profit. Partly as a result, net income attributable to owners swung to a KRW 2.9bn loss in 2Q26.

The fact that a meaningful part of consolidated profit hinges on non-department-store subsidiaries reduces the predictability of quarterly results.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late September to early October 2026

    Check the monthly retail sales report from the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy for whether department store growth stays in double digits and whether hypermarket declines narrow. It is the earliest public gauge of whether the inbound effect persists after August's dip in consumer sentiment.

  2. Early November 2026

    Third-quarter 2026 preliminary results. Key items are department store same-store growth and foreign-customer sales, the extent of loss reduction at the mart division, and how start-up costs from the Busan CFC flow into the P&L.

  3. Fourth quarter 2026

    Whether Zeta Smart Center Busan stabilises and whether the schedule for the second centre in Goyang is confirmed. Because utilisation drives profitability, daily throughput and order growth will inform decisions on follow-on investment.

  4. Around February 2027

    Full-year 2026 results and the year-end dividend and shareholder return decision. This is the final year of the three-year 2024-2026 return plan, so both goal attainment and the direction of the next policy should become clear.

  5. March 2027

    The annual general meeting. It offers an official venue to confirm plans for follow-on Ocado fulfilment centres, the execution timeline for large development projects such as Sangam DMC, and any adjustments to overseas store openings in Vietnam.

12

Overall view

Lotte Shopping's recent trajectory can be summarised as recovering profit, a shrinking top line, and a concentrated profit structure.

Consolidated revenue fell from KRW 15,476.0bn in 2022 to KRW 13,738.4bn in 2025, yet operating profit rose from KRW 386.2bn to KRW 547.0bn and the operating margin from 2.5% to 4.0%, with the bottom line returning to profit in 2025 after a large 2024 net loss attributable to owners.

First-half 2026 results extended the improvement, with revenue of KRW 7,066.6bn and operating profit of KRW 342.8bn, but the second quarter delivered operating profit below the brokerage average estimate alongside a net loss attributable to owners.

The bullish case rests on the inbound and premium consumption trend reflected in 20.1% first-half department store industry growth, operating cash flow sustained in the mid-to-high KRW 1tn range each year, and a shareholder return policy with a build-up of execution history.

The bearish case centres on profit concentration in department stores, nine straight quarters of decline at hypermarkets and supermarkets, and execution risk in the Ocado project, illustrated by two delays to the first CFC and the suspended construction of the second centre.

What to watch in coming quarters is how long department store strength lasts, whether loss reduction at mart and e-commerce is structural, and whether cash flow can support heavy investment and dividends simultaneously. This report is for informational purposes and contains no buy or sell recommendation or price target.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. hankyung.com
  2. v.daum.net
  3. businesspost.co.kr
  4. inthenews.co.kr
  5. insight.co.kr
  6. newspim.com
  7. instagram.com
  8. lotteshoppingir.com
  9. insight.co.kr
  10. biz.heraldcorp.com
  11. bondweb.co.kr
  12. comp.fnguide.com
  13. bosoop.com
  14. investing.com
  15. bbn.kiwoom.com
  16. file.alphasquare.co.kr
  17. infozzang.com
  18. comp.wisereport.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.