KOSPIAerospace & Defense012450

Hanwha Aerospace

₩1,069,000▲ 3.38%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩55.3T
Turnover
₩112.9B
Volume
110,000 shares
Shares out.
51.6M
PER
27.0×
PBR
4.6×
EPS
₩39,100
Dividend Yield
0.66%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩7,000 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

US Howitzer Entry Meets Lumpy Quarterly Results

Record quarterly results in 2Q26 came from ground-defense export deliveries plus consolidated shipbuilding and systems subsidiaries, but lumpy delivery schedules and a large minority-interest share of profit deserve equal attention.

  1. 1

    Second-quarter 2026 revenue reached 9.293 trillion won and operating profit 1.366 trillion won, a quarterly record, with an operating margin of 14.7%.

  2. 2

    Revenue jumped nearly 62% from 1Q26 (5.751 trillion won revenue, 638.9 billion won operating profit) to 2Q26, showing how concentrated delivery schedules drive quarterly swings.

  3. 3

    Ground-defense backlog stood at about 38.3 trillion won at end-2Q26, above the company's stated goal of holding 3.5 to 4 years of work.

  4. 4

    It won the US Army Mobile Tactical Cannon prototype contract as sole supplier, the first Korean weapon system to enter the US artillery market, though the program is still at the prototype and evaluation stage.

  5. 5

    Consolidated 2025 revenue of 26.703 trillion won was far above 2024's 11.240 trillion won, yet of 2.202 trillion won in net profit only 1.405 trillion won was attributable to controlling shareholders.

02

Business structure

Hanwha Aerospace runs ground defense, centered on the K9 self-propelled howitzer, the Chunmoo multiple rocket launcher and the Redback fighting vehicle, and an aerospace division covering aero engines and space, while consolidating Hanwha Ocean and Hanwha Systems as subsidiaries.

The sharp top-line expansion from 2025 reflected both growth in ground defense and aerospace and the consolidation of Hanwha Ocean. In 2Q26, strong subsidiary results, including Hanwha Ocean (revenue of 5.4 trillion won, up 45.5%) and Hanwha Systems (1.1 trillion won, up 65.2%), contributed heavily to group figures.

Looking only at the core ground-defense division, second-quarter revenue was 2.1075 trillion won with operating profit of 533.0 billion won.

Within ground defense, domestic sales were driven by revenue recognition on programs such as Chunho and Chungeom, while exports were led by the Polish Chunmoo program, K9 components, Egyptian K9 and Middle East and Australian projects.

Customers split between Korean government agencies such as the Defense Acquisition Program Administration and overseas defense ministries in Poland, Finland, Norway, Estonia, Romania, Egypt, Australia and India.

The K9 has been exported to nine countries since Turkiye in 2001, including Poland, India, Finland and Norway, making it the global share leader in tracked self-propelled howitzers, and with Spain added in August 2026 the operator count rises to eleven.

The competitive setting is now direct rivalry with global primes, as shown by its sole selection in the US MTC program over American Rheinmetall, General Dynamics, BAE Systems and KNDS and Leonardo DRS.

In aerospace, the GTF commercial engine joint development program with Pratt and Whitney, under way since 2015, is the base from which it is trying to move from engine components toward complete engines.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩6.3T₩864.5B13.7%
2025Q3₩6.5T₩856.4B13.2%
2025Q4₩8.4T₩807.6B9.6%
2026Q1₩5.8T₩638.9B11.1%
2026Q2₩9.3T₩1.4T14.7%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩6.5T₩377.2B₩200.8B5.8%7.0%286.3%
2023₩9.4T₩691.1B₩817.5B7.4%23.2%317.2%
2024₩11.2T₩1.7T₩2.3T15.4%46.0%281.3%
2025₩26.7T₩3.1T₩1.4T11.6%14.5%221.4%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

The annual path ran from 2022 revenue of 6.5396 trillion won and operating profit of 377.2 billion won (5.8% margin) to 9.359 trillion won and 691.1 billion won (7.4%) in 2023, 11.240 trillion won and 1.7319 trillion won (15.4%) in 2024, and 26.703 trillion won and 3.0893 trillion won (11.6%) in 2025.

Even as 2025 revenue more than doubled, the operating margin fell from the prior year, consistent with businesses carrying different margin profiles entering the consolidation scope.

Profit attribution also matters: of 2.202 trillion won of 2025 net profit, 1.405 trillion won belonged to controlling shareholders, leaving a large share to minority interests.

In 2024, controlling-shareholder net profit of 2.2989 trillion won exceeded operating profit of 1.7319 trillion won, implying a sizeable non-operating contribution and making year-to-year net profit comparisons difficult.

On a quarterly basis, revenue rose from 6.311 trillion won in 2Q25 (operating profit 864.5 billion won) to 6.4865 trillion won in 3Q25 (856.4 billion won) and 8.4212 trillion won in 4Q25, though the fourth-quarter margin slipped to 9.6% on operating profit of 807.6 billion won.

First-quarter 2026 slowed to 5.751 trillion won of revenue and 638.9 billion won of operating profit, and fell well short of the then-consensus operating profit of 774.3 billion won.

Second-quarter 2026 reversed that with 9.2929 trillion won of revenue, 1.3655 trillion won of operating profit and a 14.7% margin, and came in far above the one-trillion-won consensus.

On the balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio fell from 317.2% in 2023 to 281.3% in 2024 and 221.4% in 2025, while operating cash flow expanded to 4.0498 trillion won in 2025 from 1.3930 trillion won a year earlier.

Still, with minority interests accounting for 7.1033 trillion won of 16.7882 trillion won in total equity, consolidated and controlling-shareholder metrics should be read separately.

05

Industry analysis

Since the war in Ukraine, as countries rebuild artillery capability, procurement criteria have broadened from firepower alone to mobility, automation and local production capability.

For the Korean defense sector as a whole, the cycle is shifting from order intake to delivery and revenue recognition; analysts read the record 2Q26 numbers as large contracts already won in Poland and the Middle East converting into revenue through production and delivery rather than as new bookings.

Backlogs among the major players stand at roughly 38.3 trillion won for Hanwha Aerospace ground defense, 30.4046 trillion won for Hyundai Rotem and 24.57 trillion won for LIG Defense and Aerospace, about 93.27 trillion won for those three alone, with the industry putting the four-company total including KAI at around 100 trillion won.

Yet export growth has not translated into margin gains for every company, with results differentiated by product mix, costs, exchange rates and delivery timing.

In Europe, procurement practice increasingly emphasises participation by domestic defense firms and local manufacturing, which pressures a pure finished-goods export model.

In the United States, the backdrop is replacement of M777 towed howitzers and a shift in artillery modernisation strategy, after repeated halts to home-grown programs such as Crusader, NLOS-C and ERCA opened the door to proven foreign systems.

Wheeled and tracked platforms differ in road mobility versus firepower and protection, and the K9MH grafts the K9 family fire system onto a wheeled chassis, addressing both segments.

06

Outlook

Management has said that by keeping 3.5 to 4 years of ground-defense backlog while growing revenue and holding current margins, it targets average annual growth of 15% to 20% through 2030.

On the 2Q26 earnings call, it said talks on Poland's third K9 execution contract are proceeding on a localisation basis, with a conclusion hoped for within the year, and that expanding defense budgets across Europe, the Middle East, Asia and the Americas should allow it to sustain a ground-defense backlog of about 38 trillion won.

The company said first-half ground-defense order intake was 4.4 trillion won.

On export diversification, it disclosed on August 31 an execution contract with Spain's Indra Sistemas covering K9 howitzers and related items, though the contract value and end date were withheld for confidentiality, with disclosure deferred until November 28, 2026.

In the United States, the MTC prototype contract is worth $100.3 million, with a cumulative value including options of $262.9 million and scope for up to 18 guns.

In aerospace, development of a 4,500-pound-class unmanned aircraft engine targets completion in 2029, and the company plans to invest 750 billion won in unmanned system and engine development plus test and production facilities, while it injected about 220 billion won into its US commercial engine parts subsidiary in the first half of 2026 alone.

Construction of its first European production base in Romania for K9 and K10 began in February 2026, and local production of Chunmoo guided missiles is being pursued in Poland.

These localisation and investment plans carry upfront costs and execution risk, so the gap between announcement and actual revenue and profit recognition warrants monitoring.

07

Valuation

PER
27.0×
PBR
4.6×
ROE
23.0%
EPS
₩39,100
BPS
₩230,072
Dividend per share
₩7,000

Controlling-shareholder net profit over the latest four quarters (3Q25 to 2Q26) was 2.0161 trillion won, a different order of earnings power from the 200.8 billion won posted for full-year 2022, so earnings-based multiples now sit on a different track than in the past.

That said, it is factually the case that the current earnings multiple sits above the domestic market average and that the shares trade at a premium to net assets.

Because a substantial part of consolidated net profit accrues to minority interests, there is a meaningful gap between judging multiples off consolidated revenue and operating profit versus controlling-shareholder earnings.

Book value per share differs depending on the calculation basis, so net-asset multiples also vary with the standard applied.

The dividend corresponds to a low yield relative to the scale of earnings, suggesting capital is currently being allocated to order-related and localisation investment and to affiliate stake building rather than to payouts.

Brokerage views can diverge: Daol Investment and Securities said in an August 20, 2026 report that the K9MH's chances of selection as the US wheeled howitzer had risen sharply, raising its target price to 2.46 million won and maintaining a buy rating. That is the broker's view; KOSAI offers no directional judgement of its own.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

A foothold in the US artillery market

The US Army signed a Mobile Tactical Cannon prototype development contract with Hanwha Defense USA on August 18, 2026, worth $100.3 million for six K9 wheeled howitzer prototypes. The Army's stated plan is to acquire up to 498 wheeled self-propelled howitzers through the MTC program.

KB Securities analyst Chung Dong-ik said in an August 19, 2026 report that, using Poland's second contract as a reference, a production contract could be around 10 trillion won and possibly 20 to 30 trillion won depending on package composition, and that a full contract could be signed as early as the second half of 2027.

Whether it becomes a standard system in the world's largest defense market depends on evaluation results over the next four years.

Revenue visibility from backlog

Ground-defense backlog was 38.3 trillion won as of 2Q26, equal to roughly 4.7 years of work. Analysts noted that deliveries are concentrated in the second half, with revenue recognition expected from Poland's K9 EC2 and Chunmoo EC1, Egyptian K9, Australian K9 variants and Middle East programs.

The rise in second-quarter 2026 operating profit to 1.3655 trillion won illustrates how the delivery cycle converts into earnings. The quality of that backlog and adherence to delivery schedules will determine how stable coming quarters look.

Diversified customers and a wider product range

Since the 2022 Poland contract, customers have widened to Finland, Norway, Estonia and now Spain, diversifying the export base. Adding the more automated K9A2 and the wheeled K9MH to the tracked K9 gives it a line-up covering both new procurement and upgrade demand from existing operators.

A larger operator base can extend the business into ammunition and maintenance and support as well as follow-on orders. On an earnings call the company said non-Poland exports were securing profitability at levels similar to Poland-bound business.

09

Bear factors

Wide swings in quarterly results

Operating profit more than doubled in a single quarter, from 638.9 billion won on revenue of 5.751 trillion won in 1Q26 to 1.3655 trillion won on 9.2929 trillion won in 2Q26. Commentary on the first quarter noted a temporary drop in ground-defense volumes that left results well below consensus.

Because results hinge on when major system deliveries land, annualising any single quarter is unreliable. As in 4Q25, when the operating margin fell to 9.6%, the timing of cost recognition such as incentive pay also moves margins.

Reliance on subsidiaries and minority interests

Of 2.202 trillion won in consolidated 2025 net profit, 1.405 trillion won was attributable to controlling shareholders, and minority interests account for 7.1033 trillion won of 16.7882 trillion won in equity.

Improved results at subsidiaries including Hanwha Ocean and Hanwha Systems were cited as the main driver of the 2Q26 beat. Observers note that because consolidated figures include subsidiaries such as Hanwha Ocean, they should be distinguished from the profitability of the pure defense business. Cycles in shipbuilding and systems therefore pass directly into group results.

Costs and uncertainty in localisation and large investments

The company is pursuing phased localisation and in April 2026 signed a three-year lease on an idle plant in Opelika, Alabama.

It has flagged 750 billion won of investment in unmanned system and engine development and in test and production facilities, and at group level a plan was announced to invest 55 trillion won in aerospace and AI through 2040, with Hanwha Aerospace allocated 23 trillion won for space transport capability including an indigenous launch vehicle.

Such long-dated, large-scale spending carries financing burden and execution risk with distant payback. The 2025 debt-to-equity ratio improved to 221.4% but remains high in absolute terms.

10

Risk factors

Customer and regional concentration

The company has said Poland still accounts for a large share of export revenue and that this structure is likely to persist. Changes in a single country's budget or government, or shifts in delivery timing, can directly move a given quarter.

The third Polish K9 execution contract has only been described as under discussion on a localisation basis, with timing and terms unconfirmed. Middle East and Asian programs likewise depend on security conditions and negotiation progress.

Unconfirmed terms and deferred disclosure

The execution contract with Spain's Indra Sistemas withheld its value and end date under confidentiality terms, with re-disclosure planned by November 28, 2026. With the amount undisclosed, the earnings contribution cannot be calculated.

Analysts also noted that volumes in the March memorandum are planned quantities and should not be treated as confirmed under this execution contract. Reported pipeline figures need to be read separately from confirmed orders.

FX, costs and management change

Across the sector, results diverged with product mix, costs, exchange rates and delivery timing, underlining the sensitivity of export-heavy operations.

In August 2026 Lee Boo-hwan, head of the precision guided munitions division, was named chief executive designate, as the group separated the top jobs at Hanwha Aerospace and Hanwha Systems.

Right after a leadership change, investment and order strategies can be fine-tuned, so continuity of IR messaging is worth checking. As overseas production expands, start-up costs and quality and schedule control also feed into unit costs.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late October to early November 2026

    Third-quarter 2026 results. Key items are ground-defense revenue and operating margin, the non-Poland share of exports, and whether the roughly 38 trillion won ground-defense backlog management said it could sustain holds.

  2. By November 28, 2026

    This is the disclosure deferral deadline for the Indra Sistemas contract, after which the company plans to re-disclose the value and term once confidentiality lapses. The disclosed amount and volumes will show how much flows into backlog.

  3. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Whether Poland's third K9 execution contract is signed; the company said talks are proceeding on a localisation basis with a conclusion hoped for within the year. If signed, the local production share and payment terms in the structure should be checked.

  4. Through the second half of 2027

    Progress on US MTC prototype delivery and evaluation. The US Army will build and test prototypes and run soldier operational experiments, assessing performance, reliability and sustainment before deciding on fielding. Whether and when this converts into a production contract is the crux.

  5. Around February 2027

    Full-year 2026 results and the dividend decision. This is the point to check the annual margin combining a weak first quarter with a record second quarter, the subsidiary contribution and the scale of shareholder returns.

12

Overall view

Hanwha Aerospace has moved from 2022 revenue of 6.5396 trillion won and operating profit of 377.2 billion won to 26.703 trillion won and 3.0893 trillion won in 2025.

In 2026 it swung from 638.9 billion won of first-quarter operating profit to 1.3655 trillion won in the second quarter at a 14.7% margin, a clear demonstration of delivery-driven quarterly volatility.

The 38.3 trillion won ground-defense backlog equals roughly 4.7 years of work and underpins medium-term revenue visibility, though some read recent results as conversion of previously won large contracts into deliveries rather than fresh bookings.

The bullish case rests on the US MTC prototype award, entry into Spain and a product range widened by the K9A2 and K9MH.

Against that sit the large minority-interest share of consolidated profit, transmission of shipbuilding and systems cycles into group results, and execution risk in sizeable localisation, space and unmanned engine investments.

On valuation, earnings multiples sit above the market average and the shares trade at a premium to net assets, with figures varying by calculation basis.

Ahead, the items to watch are third-quarter ground-defense margins, re-disclosure of the Spanish contract value, whether Poland's third contract is signed, and progress in US prototype evaluation. This report is for information purposes and contains no investment rating, buy or sell opinion, or target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. businessreport.kr
  2. newsspace.kr
  3. m.irgo.co.kr
  4. dongponews.net
  5. newsquest.co.kr
  6. investing.com
  7. alphasquare.co.kr
  8. investing.com
  9. thebigdata.co.kr
  10. mt.co.kr
  11. toryongilab.com
  12. economytribune.co.kr
  13. ds-sec.co.kr
  14. finance-scope.com
  15. ket.kr
  16. hankookilbo.com
  17. huffingtonpost.kr
  18. defensetoday.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.