KOSPISteel & Metals008420

Moonbae Steel

₩2,075▼ 0.72%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩42.5B
Turnover
₩77,481,719
Volume
40,000 shares
Shares out.
20.5M
PER
5.6×
PBR
0.2×
EPS
₩397
Dividend Yield
2.24%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩50 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Revenue Declines, But Quarterly Profit Signs Improve

Moonbae Steel's revenue has declined for four straight years, yet its 2026 Q2 operating profit hit the highest level in the past five quarters, tracking a broader industry recovery driven by anti-dumping tariffs and China's production cuts.

  1. 1

    In Q2 2026, revenue reached KRW 40.57 billion with operating profit of KRW 2.04 billion, marking four consecutive quarters of revenue growth and a clear improvement in operating profit.

  2. 2

    Annual revenue fell for four straight years from KRW 192.2 billion in 2022 to KRW 137.9 billion in 2025, yet net income stayed positive every year, aided by equity-method gains.

  3. 3

    Government anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese plate and hot-rolled coil, along with China's production cuts and export licensing system, are influencing the stabilization of domestic steel distribution prices.

  4. 4

    Profit contributions from four equity-method affiliates, including subsidiary NI Steel, have offset operating losses in the core business.

  5. 5

    A direct-delivery logistics system centered on the Pohang distribution center and response to shipbuilding steel demand are cited as core elements of the high value-added mix improvement strategy.

02

Business structure

Founded in 1973 and designated a POSCO hot-rolled coil distributor in 1975, Moonbae Steel has operated in steel distribution and processing on the KOSPI for over five decades.

The company grew to lead the steel distribution industry as a POSCO hot-rolled sales agency for 50 years, establishing its status as a hot-coil manufacturer and processor by setting up Steel Service Centers in Gwangyang and Sihwa in the 1990s.

It produces primary steel products such as skelp, steel plate, and shape steel, while also running a real estate leasing business that generates stable rental income.

As of March 2026, its revenue mix was 73% from product sales, 24% from merchandise sales, 2% from rental revenue, and 1% from processing fees, with self-manufactured products accounting for the bulk of sales.

Korea's steel market has major players like POSCO, Hyundai Steel, and Dongkuk Steel supplying large buyers directly, while their sales agencies serve smaller buyers; for hot-rolled products, POSCO's agencies traditionally held the market lead, though competition has intensified with Hyundai Steel's entry.

Since six companies including Moonbae Steel were designated as POSCO hot-rolled agencies in 1975, a total of eight agencies now compete in the market.

Its affiliate NI Steel was acquired in 2011 while under corporate rehabilitation, making Moonbae Steel its largest shareholder, with the combined stake of the company and related parties reaching a substantial level. The company currently holds four equity-method affiliates.

Its market share is around 8.94%, competing with POSCO, Hankuk Steel, and Dongyang S-Tech, amid fluctuating exports and imports tied to the business cycle and intensifying competition from China, India, and other emerging producers.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩32B-₩400M−1.2%
2025Q3₩35.4B₩300M1.0%
2025Q4₩37.3B-₩400M−1.0%
2026Q1₩38.4B₩200M0.4%
2026Q2₩40.6B₩2B5.0%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩192.2B₩3B₩26.2B1.6%15.6%23.2%
2023₩163.6B-₩3.4B₩18.6B−2.1%10.1%25.9%
2024₩140.2B-₩2.1B₩6.6B−1.5%3.6%20.5%
2025₩137.9B-₩1B₩5.9B−0.7%3.0%22.3%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-23

04

Earnings analysis

Annual results show an unusual pattern where net income remained positive every year despite shrinking revenue and persistent operating losses.

After posting revenue of KRW 192.21 billion, operating profit of KRW 3.01 billion (the only profitable operating year), and net income of KRW 26.22 billion in 2022, both revenue and net income declined in 2023 to KRW 163.63 billion and KRW 18.56 billion respectively, with an operating loss of KRW -3.44 billion.

In 2024, revenue fell to KRW 140.21 billion with a narrower operating loss of KRW -2.13 billion, but net income dropped further to KRW 6.62 billion; in 2025, revenue declined again to KRW 137.87 billion while the operating loss narrowed to KRW -0.96 billion, its smallest in four years, and net income was KRW 5.86 billion.

On a quarterly basis, revenue of KRW 32.00 billion and an operating loss of KRW -0.38 billion in Q2 2025 turned into an operating profit of KRW 0.34 billion on revenue of KRW 35.40 billion in Q3 2025, before slipping back into a loss of KRW -0.39 billion in Q4 2025 despite revenue of KRW 37.31 billion.

Subsequently, Q1 2026 posted revenue of KRW 38.41 billion with operating profit of KRW 0.17 billion, and Q2 2026 revenue reached KRW 40.57 billion with operating profit of KRW 2.04 billion, marking four consecutive quarters of revenue growth alongside a clear expansion in operating profit.

Net income reached KRW 3.56 billion in Q2 2026, the highest among the last five quarters, and the trailing four-quarter (Q3 2025 through Q2 2026) sum of net income attributable to owners came to roughly KRW 7.86 billion.

A significant portion of this net income appears to stem from non-operating factors such as equity-method affiliate gains, making continued improvement in the core steel distribution and processing operating results a key point to watch going forward.

05

Industry analysis

Korea's steel industry in 2026 is seen as emerging from a three-year downturn into a phase of 'restoring order,' with the previous cutthroat competition driven by cheap Chinese imports below cost no longer as visible.

The government imposed anti-dumping duties of 27.91-38.02% on Chinese plate, 28.16-33.10% on Chinese hot-rolled coil, and 31.58-33.43% on Japanese hot-rolled coil, which led to an immediate reordering of market conditions.

China's crude steel output in Q1 2026 fell 4.6% year-on-year to its lowest level since Q1 2022 according to China's National Bureau of Statistics, as China has pursued roughly 50 million tons of annual production cuts since last year.

However, while Chinese steel imports into Korea from January to April 2026 fell 4.5% year-on-year to 2.51 million tons according to the Korea Iron and Steel Association, confirming reduced import volumes, the Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade forecast continued sluggishness in the steel industry in its '2026 Economic and Industrial Outlook,' and the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is expected to add KRW 2.644 trillion in costs over nine years.

The shipbuilding sector has entered a phase of stabilizing ship prices rather than a sharp rally, though order backlogs and construction volumes have held at a certain level, providing a demand base for the shipbuilding-related steel that Moonbae Steel supplies.

Moonbae Steel competes with numerous small and mid-sized distributors and processors within the POSCO agency system, facing structural limits on cost and pricing power relative to the major integrated steelmakers.

06

Outlook

Analysis suggests Moonbae Steel is improving its domestic competitiveness through mix improvement centered on high value-added items and process facility modernization, while pursuing a competitive advantage strategy by responding to growing demand for shipbuilding and plant-related steel and raising processing efficiency and delivery reliability.

Korea Technology Finance Corporation assessed that while Moonbae Steel's revenue has steadily declined since last year, performance is expected to improve within a limited range going forward.

The report analyzed that domestic demand is expected to recover this year due to shipbuilding sector recovery and anti-dumping measures against Chinese products, but growth will likely be limited due to continued economic slowdown and the impact of US tariffs.

In particular, it forecast that the direct-delivery system centered on the Pohang logistics center is a differentiating factor within the SSC industry, enabling rapid delivery to major industrial complexes nationwide and improving customer delivery response and logistics efficiency, which will likely raise both fixed customer retention and new customer acquisition over the medium to long term.

Recent results on a standalone basis also confirm that revenue rose 15.8% year-on-year in Q1 2026 with operating profit turning positive, and productivity improved through securing fixed customers and automating facilities in the steel product segment.

Nonetheless, the sustainability of this improvement is likely to hinge on external variables including changes in the trade environment, raw material prices, and the pace of demand recovery in downstream shipbuilding and construction sectors.

07

Valuation

PER
5.6×
PBR
0.2×
ROE
4.1%
EPS
₩397
BPS
₩9,691
Dividend per share
₩50

Moonbae Steel's share price trades at a notable discount to net asset value, a pattern not unlike what is commonly observed among small and mid-cap KOSPI steel distribution and processing companies.

Given that operating losses have persisted for four consecutive years while net income has remained positive every year, aided by factors such as equity-method gains, how the market weighs core operating profitability against the quality of net income composition appears to be a relevant factor in multiple assessment.

While operating profit has shown improvement quarter by quarter more recently, whether this translates into a clear annual-level earnings recovery still requires further confirmation.

Cash dividends have continued at modest levels each year, though the dividend yield appears to fall below the KOSPI steel sector average.

No clearly identifiable brokerage target price for this stock was found in public sources, so valuation assessment needs to rely on relative comparison with similar companies in the sector.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-23

08

Bull factors

Improving Quarterly Earnings Trend

In Q2 2026, revenue of KRW 40.57 billion and operating profit of KRW 2.04 billion marked the best quarterly result in the past five quarters, with revenue rising for four consecutive quarters since Q3 2025. Net income also grew to KRW 3.56 billion over the same period, extending the improving trend. Whether this momentum holds through the second half remains the key question.

Favorable Shift in Trade Environment

Government anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese plate and hot-rolled coil, along with China's production cuts and export licensing system, are contributing to stabilizing domestic steel distribution prices. Policy effects are partly confirmed by an actual decline in Chinese import volumes. If this trend continues, it could also help stabilize procurement costs for distributors and processors.

Logistics and Mix Improvement Strategy

The direct-delivery system centered on the Pohang logistics center enables rapid delivery to industrial complexes nationwide, seen as helpful for retaining fixed customers and acquiring new ones. Response to shipbuilding steel demand and mix improvement through facility modernization are also underway. Whether this strategy translates into improved core operating results is a key point to watch going forward.

09

Bear factors

Four Straight Years of Revenue Decline

Revenue declined for four consecutive years, from KRW 192.21 billion in 2022 to KRW 137.87 billion in 2025. The core steel distribution and processing business has continued to shrink in scale, and it remains uncertain whether the recent quarterly revenue increase can reverse this multi-year contraction.

Chronic Core Business Operating Losses

Excluding 2022, annual operating results have posted losses for four consecutive years.

The fact that net income remained positive every year can be interpreted as substantially dependent on non-operating factors such as equity-method affiliate gains, making it necessary to separately examine whether the core business's underlying profitability is genuinely improving.

Trade Environment Uncertainty

China's production cuts and export licensing system are not permanent policies, and there are concerns that low-priced volumes could be rerouted through Southeast Asia or the Middle East.

Trade barriers such as US high tariffs and the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism becoming structural constants are also cited as a burden.

10

Risk factors

Raw Material and Supply Chain Risk

Moonbae Steel's business is heavily influenced by the raw material supply policy of its principal supplier, POSCO. Changes in raw material supply conditions or prices can directly affect purchase costs and margins.

There is also a structural limitation in cost and pricing negotiation power relative to major integrated steelmakers.

Trade and Policy Risk

There are unresolved matters regarding whether anti-dumping tariffs will continue and the outcome of future final determinations, along with the possibility of low-priced Chinese products being rerouted into the market.

Anti-dumping measures by trading partners such as Japan could also affect the export conditions of domestic steelmakers, creating significant volatility in trade policy issues.

Dependence on Affiliate Earnings Risk

A significant portion of net income appears to originate from the earnings of equity-method affiliates such as NI Steel. If the business conditions or performance of these affiliates deteriorate, it could negatively affect the stability of Moonbae Steel's net income.

11

What to watch next

  1. Mid-November 2026

    Q3 2026 (July-September) earnings disclosures should be checked to see whether the revenue and operating profit improvement trend through Q2 continues.

  2. Early December 2026

    Following the expiration of Japan's provisional anti-dumping tariffs on Korean and Chinese hot-dip galvanized steel (applied August 8 - December 7, 2026), the final ruling and its impact on domestic steel distribution prices and supply-demand should be monitored.

  3. Q4 2026 to early 2027

    The continuation of China's production cuts and export licensing system, along with the ongoing application of domestic anti-dumping tariffs on plate and hot-rolled coil, should be checked for their impact on costs and margins.

  4. Around March 2027

    The full-year 2026 financial results and dividend policy disclosed at the annual shareholders' meeting should be checked to assess annual earnings recovery and shareholder return direction.

12

Overall view

Moonbae Steel presents a mixed picture, with structural revenue contraction for four consecutive years occurring alongside recent quarterly earnings improvement.

Annual operating results were in the red every year except 2022, while net income remained positive every year, aided by factors such as equity-method affiliate gains, warranting a distinction in the quality of earnings.

Q2 2026's operating profit of KRW 2.04 billion and revenue of KRW 40.57 billion were the best figures in the past five quarters, coinciding with an industry recovery phase driven by anti-dumping tariffs and China's production cuts.

However, some institutions such as the Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade continue to forecast ongoing sluggishness in the steel industry, and trade barriers such as CBAM and high US tariffs are becoming structural constants.

Whether the Pohang logistics center-based direct-delivery system and high value-added mix improvement strategy translate into sustained core profitability recovery will likely be the key variable determining future performance.

Before making any investment decisions, it is worth watching both the next quarterly results and the direction of trade policy.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. alphasquare.co.kr
  2. judal.co.kr
  3. judal.co.kr
  4. m.finance.daum.net
  5. kr.investing.com
  6. ferrotimes.com
  7. alphasquare.co.kr
  8. insight.goover.ai
  9. stockinfo7.com
  10. jobkorea.co.kr
  11. robonews.stockplus.com
  12. moonbaesteel.co.kr
  13. incruit.com
  14. finomy.com
  15. incruit.com
  16. kind.krx.co.kr
  17. comp.fnguide.com
  18. ftoday.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.