KOSPIChemicals006650

Korea Petro Chemical Ind

₩91,400▲ 3.04%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩594.8B
Turnover
₩3.3B
Volume
40,000 shares
Shares out.
6.5M
PER
8.1×
PBR
0.3×
EPS
₩11,931
Dividend Yield
1.34%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩1,300 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Structural Profit Turnaround, Hormuz Volatility Persists

Daehan Petrochemical achieved a consolidated profit turnaround in 2025 on the Hanju consolidation and specialty polymer expansion, but geopolitical volatility around the Strait of Hormuz has sharply widened the swing in its 2026 quarterly earnings.

  1. 1

    2025 annual operating profit reached KRW 52.7bn, turning around from three straight years of losses and expanding to KRW 73.6bn in Q1 2026, before slipping back into a loss in Q2.

  2. 2

    The company raised its stake in LNG/LPG power generation unit Hanju to 51%, consolidating it from Q2 2025 and adding utility and salt operations as new revenue sources.

  3. 3

    A specialty portfolio including separator-grade PE/PP, combined with one of the highest NCC utilization rates in Korea, underpins a differentiated profit structure versus peers.

  4. 4

    The US-Iran conflict that began in late February 2026 restricted transit through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing naphtha supply and utilization volatility, prompting a government-backed utilization increase from 62% to 72%.

  5. 5

    The stock trades at a discount to book value, and brokerage target prices have trended lower in recent months, reflecting earnings uncertainty.

02

Business structure

Founded in 1970 and listed on the Korea Exchange in 1999, Daehan Petrochemical is a leading naphtha cracking center (NCC) based petrochemical company with vertically integrated production facilities spanning basic feedstocks to synthetic resins across its Ulsan and Onsan industrial complexes.

As of 2025, revenue mix consisted of roughly 45% from basic feedstocks and monomers such as ethylene and propylene, about 39% from polymers including polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), and around 2% from industrial gases, with utility and salt operations added after LNG/LPG power generation subsidiary Hanju was consolidated starting in Q2 2025, contributing about 13.55% and 1.05% of revenue respectively.

Among Korea's three major NCC operators, the company runs a comparatively simple business portfolio but differentiates itself through a global number-one market share in separator materials, holding 180,000 tons of wet-process separator-grade PE capacity and 70,000 tons of dry-process separator-grade PP capacity.

Key customers include secondary battery separator makers such as SK IE Technology and WCP, and the share of power-infrastructure-oriented specialty products such as flame-retardant PP for ESS battery modules and capacitor-grade PP has been steadily expanding.

The company benefits from a stable feedstock supply structure, sourcing a substantial portion of naphtha from nearby S-Oil, giving it a relatively favorable position versus peers on raw material procurement.

Hanju supplies electricity, steam, and water utilities to companies within the Ulsan industrial complex, functioning as a stable earnings source with low correlation to petrochemical cycle swings.

The company also operates production facilities for various derivative products including butadiene, BTX, and EO/EG, broadening its product portfolio.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩846.8B-₩4.6B−0.5%
2025Q3₩909.9B₩42.8B4.7%
2025Q4₩849.5B₩24.3B2.9%
2026Q1₩847.1B₩73.6B8.7%
2026Q2₩956.3B-₩3.9B−0.4%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩2.2T-₩214.6B-₩149.1B−9.7%−8.0%17.9%
2023₩2.5T-₩62.3B-₩29B−2.5%−1.6%20.4%
2024₩2.8T-₩59.9B-₩8.5B−2.1%−0.5%22.8%
2025₩3.3T₩52.7B₩31.7B1.6%1.7%29.7%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

Daehan Petrochemical posted operating losses of KRW 214.6bn in 2022, KRW 62.3bn in 2023, and KRW 59.9bn in 2024, before turning around in 2025 with consolidated operating profit of KRW 52.7bn and owner net income of KRW 31.7bn.

Revenue expanded from KRW 2.222 trillion in 2022 to KRW 3.348 trillion in 2025, accompanied by top-line growth.

On a quarterly basis, Q2 2025 revenue was KRW 846.8bn with an operating loss of KRW 4.6bn, though owner net income stayed marginally positive at KRW 1.4bn; Q3 2025 saw a sharp improvement as the Hanju consolidation effect fully materialized, with revenue of KRW 909.9bn, operating profit of KRW 42.8bn, and owner net income of KRW 29.9bn.

In Q4 2025, revenue reached KRW 849.5bn with operating profit of KRW 24.3bn, maintaining the operating-level profit trend, though owner net income turned negative at KRW -2.6bn due to one-off factors.

Q1 2026 delivered the strongest quarterly result in recent years, with revenue of KRW 847.1bn, operating profit of KRW 73.6bn, and owner net income of KRW 54.5bn, largely reflecting an inventory lagging effect from the naphtha price spike triggered by the Hormuz Strait disruption.

However, Q2 2026 reverted to a loss despite higher revenue of KRW 956.3bn, with an operating loss of KRW 3.9bn and owner net loss of KRW 8.1bn, as the temporary inventory effect from Q1 faded and cost pressures re-emerged.

Trailing four-quarter owner net income (Q3 2025 through Q2 2026) totaled KRW 73.7bn, already exceeding the full-year 2025 result on an annualized basis.

Overall, the company's earnings trajectory reflects the simultaneous influence of structural improvement (the Hanju consolidation, expanding high-value-added product mix) and geopolitical volatility (cost and inventory swings tied to Hormuz risk), widening the quarter-to-quarter dispersion in results.

05

Industry analysis

The armed conflict between the United States/Israel and Iran that erupted in late February 2026 severely restricted transit through the Strait of Hormuz, and since roughly 80% of global naphtha volumes pass through the strait, domestic petrochemical companies faced a direct shock to feedstock supply and cost structures.

Even after the US-Iran ceasefire in June, normalization of war-risk insurance premiums and clearing of vessel backlogs has taken time, with some analysis suggesting Hormuz transit remained at only about 30% of normal levels as of July 2026.

Korea's NCC industry has struggled for years amid global oversupply, and the government is pursuing a restructuring policy targeting 3.7 million tons of adjustment out of 12.8 million tons of domestic NCC capacity; the Ulsan-area targets include Daehan Petrochemical with 900,000 tons of capacity, SK Geo Centric with 660,000 tons, and S-Oil with 200,000 tons, raising the possibility that Daehan, as the leading operator, could be relatively favorably positioned through the restructuring process.

At the same time, global ethylene capacity additions are projected to fall to 3.01 million tons in 2026 from 5.84 million tons in 2025, suggesting supply pressure could ease over the medium term.

Versus peers, Daehan Petrochemical has been noted alongside SK Geo Centric as one of the few domestic operators maintaining NCC utilization above 90%, though Hormuz-related risk temporarily pushed utilization down into the 60% range before a government-supported rebound to 72%, underscoring heightened volatility.

In the secondary battery separator market, demand for related materials has remained resilient on the back of expanding ESS demand, diverging from the broader slump in commodity-grade product categories.

06

Outlook

Management expects the Hanju consolidation effect to be fully reflected from the second half, supporting the profit trend, and anticipates steady growth in secondary-battery-related exports such as separator-grade HDPE. However, brokerage views have shifted over time.

DB Financial Investment, in a July 20, 2026 report, cited a Q2 operating loss and inventory valuation losses and lowered its target price from KRW 270,000 to KRW 180,000, citing that Hormuz transit remained at only about 30% of normal levels even after the ceasefire.

Yuanta Securities, in a March 2026 report, also lowered its target price to KRW 200,000 to reflect rising raw material cost burdens from the Hormuz blockage while maintaining a buy call, projecting 2026 revenue of KRW 3.656 trillion and operating profit of KRW 70.1bn.

Both brokerages flagged utilization and spread volatility as near-term burdens but placed more weight on medium-term industry improvement from aging capacity closures and reduced new capacity additions.

Hana Securities cautioned that current results involve a degree of illusory effect, taking the view that a trend judgment is only possible once the Strait of Hormuz fully normalizes and macro risk subsides.

The future earnings trajectory is likely to depend heavily on the pace of Hormuz transit normalization, the concreteness of NCC restructuring policy, and the durability of specialty demand in separator materials and ESS.

07

Valuation

PER
8.1×
PBR
0.3×
ROE
4.0%
EPS
₩11,931
BPS
₩303,764
Dividend per share
₩1,300

After three straight years of operating losses from 2022 to 2024, Daehan Petrochemical turned profitable on a consolidated basis in 2025, and on a trailing four-quarter basis has already accumulated earnings exceeding the full-year 2025 net income level.

Even so, the stock continues to trade at a discount to book value, a pattern not unrelated to the broader valuation compression across Korea's petrochemical sector. Dividends have resumed a payout trend since the profit turnaround, though the absolute scale of shareholder returns remains modest.

Brokerage target prices have in some cases been revised lower following the increase in geopolitical volatility around the Strait of Hormuz, indicating that market views on the pace of earnings recovery have turned somewhat more conservative.

That said, some assessments also point to room for improvement on operational metrics such as NCC utilization normalization and the expanding share of specialty products.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Structural Earnings Stability from Specialty and Utility Mix

The company holds the global number-one market share in separator-grade PE/PP, and its share of power-infrastructure-oriented specialty products such as flame-retardant PP for ESS battery modules and capacitor-grade PP has been steadily expanding.

In addition, LNG/LPG power subsidiary Hanju, in which the company holds a 51% stake, was consolidated from Q2 2025, adding utility earnings with low correlation to petrochemical cycles. Together, these factors create a comparatively stable earnings structure among Korea's three major NCC operators.

High Utilization and Potential Benefit from NCC Restructuring

Daehan Petrochemical has been noted alongside SK Geo Centric as one of the few domestic operators maintaining NCC utilization above 90%, reflecting comparatively strong operational and financial capabilities even during downturns.

Under the government's ongoing plan to adjust 3.7 million tons of domestic NCC capacity, Daehan is cited as the leading Ulsan-area operator with 900,000 tons of capacity, raising the possibility of benefiting from an improved competitive landscape after restructuring.

Entry into an Earnings Turnaround Phase

After three straight years of operating losses from 2022 through 2024, Daehan Petrochemical turned profitable in 2025 with operating profit of KRW 52.7bn, and posted its strongest quarterly result in recent years in Q1 2026 with operating profit of KRW 73.6bn.

Trailing four-quarter owner net income has already surpassed the full-year 2025 result, showing a clear earnings recovery trajectory.

09

Bear factors

Widening Earnings Volatility from Hormuz Disruption

The naphtha inventory lagging effect that drove the strongest quarterly result in Q1 2026 reversed in Q2, pushing the company back into an operating and net loss despite higher revenue.

With some analysis indicating Hormuz transit remained at only about 30% of normal levels even after the ceasefire, cost and logistics burdens are unlikely to fully resolve in the near term.

Weak Commodity Polymer Margins and Structural Oversupply

Margins on commodity-grade polymer products remain weak, similar to the broader industry, and this pressure is not fully offset by the expanding share of specialty products.

Forecasts also point to declining domestic NCC utilization and narrower product spreads in 2026, indicating that structural industry oversupply pressure has not fully abated.

Trend of Downward Target Price Revisions

DB Financial Investment sharply lowered its target price to KRW 180,000 in its July 2026 report, down from KRW 270,000 set in April 2026, and Yuanta Securities also cut its target to KRW 200,000 in a March 2026 report.

Both brokerages cited near-term earnings deceleration and persistent Hormuz-related risk, suggesting the market's view on the pace of earnings recovery has turned somewhat more conservative.

10

Risk factors

Geopolitical Risk

The armed conflict between the United States/Israel and Iran that began in late February 2026 was settled by a June ceasefire, but full normalization of the Strait of Hormuz will take time. A renewed flare-up or delayed transit normalization could again pressure feedstock supply and utilization rates.

Raw Material Price and Foreign Exchange Volatility

Naphtha prices swung sharply during the period of Hormuz-related risk, directly affecting quarterly results through inventory valuation gains and losses. Further volatility in global oil prices and foreign exchange rates could continue to create uncertainty for cost structure and profitability.

Structural Industry Risk

While global ethylene capacity additions are projected to decline, a significant volume of new capacity continues to enter the market, and weak margins in the commodity polymer segment are difficult to fully resolve through specialty mix expansion alone.

If Korea's domestic NCC restructuring policy does not proceed as planned, the timing of industry improvement could be delayed.

11

What to watch next

  1. Around November 2026 (expected Q3 earnings release)

    Check whether the Q3 2026 results show the Q1 inventory lagging effect has fully faded and how Hormuz transit normalization is reflected in earnings.

  2. From Q4 2026 onward

    Watch for concrete announcements on targets and timelines under the government's plan to adjust 3.7 million tons of domestic NCC capacity, and assess any resulting shift in Daehan Petrochemical's competitive position.

  3. During the second half of 2026

    Verify on a quarterly basis whether Hanju's utility and salt segment continues to contribute earnings as planned and whether gas power generation profit remains stable.

  4. Second half of 2026 through early 2027

    Continue monitoring the pace at which Hormuz transit volumes and war-risk insurance premiums return to normal levels, and whether naphtha prices stabilize accordingly.

  5. Q4 2026

    Check whether export volumes of separator-grade PE/PP and demand growth in the ESS battery market continue, to confirm the growth trajectory of the specialty segment.

12

Overall view

Daehan Petrochemical moved past three years of operating losses to achieve a consolidated profit turnaround in 2025, with the Hanju consolidation and expanding specialty polymer mix serving as the core drivers of this structural improvement.

However, the armed conflict between the United States and Iran that erupted in late February 2026 and the resulting restriction on Strait of Hormuz transit introduced significant volatility into naphtha supply and utilization rates, manifesting as a sharp swing from a record quarterly result in Q1 to a return to loss in Q2.

Brokerages have in some cases lowered target prices to reflect this volatility, while also noting medium-term industry improvement potential from NCC restructuring and reduced global ethylene capacity additions.

Key points to watch going forward include the pace of Hormuz transit normalization, the durability of Hanju's earnings contribution, and the concreteness of Korea's domestic NCC restructuring policy.

Resilient specialty product demand and a stable feedstock supply structure stand as positive factors, coexisting with geopolitical volatility and weak commodity product margins as negative factors. How one weighs this balance between structural improvement and near-term volatility will shape the overall assessment.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. newspim.com
  2. etoday.co.kr
  3. m.thinkpool.com
  4. samsungpop.com
  5. dailyinvest.kr
  6. stockplus.com
  7. samsungpop.com
  8. kr.investing.com
  9. m.thinkpool.com
  10. judal.co.kr
  11. 50th.kpic.co.kr
  12. iusm.co.kr
  13. saramin.co.kr
  14. kpic.co.kr
  15. hanuribiz.com
  16. ksilbo.co.kr
  17. mtnews.net
  18. ajunews.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.