KOSPIChemicals004090

Korea Petroleum Industries Company

₩11,930▲ 2.32%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩152.3B
Turnover
₩1.7B
Volume
150,000 shares
Shares out.
12.7M
PER
9.7×
PBR
0.7×
EPS
₩1,168
Dividend Yield
1.06%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩120 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Asphalt Recovery, New EP Business Expansion

Korea Petroleum Industries' earnings, which had weakened amid a construction downturn, showed a clear rebound in the second quarter of 2026, as the company simultaneously restructures its core asphalt business and launches a new engineering plastics (EP) business.

  1. 1

    Second-quarter 2026 operating profit reached KRW 13.79 billion and net income attributable to owners KRW 11.70 billion, the strongest improvement among the last five quarters.

  2. 2

    In a February 2026 fair disclosure, the company presented full-year 2026 guidance of KRW 818.4 billion in revenue and KRW 24.7 billion in operating profit, more than double the prior year.

  3. 3

    A new engineering plastics (EP) plant has been completed with commercial production planned within the year, alongside expansion into higher-margin products such as automotive refrigerants and precision-chemical blow containers.

  4. 4

    2025 results showed both revenue and operating profit declining year over year amid weak construction investment and a soft petrochemical cycle.

  5. 5

    In a report dated March 25, 2026, Heungkuk Securities maintained a buy rating and raised its target price from KRW 17,000 to KRW 21,000, citing progress in new businesses.

02

Business structure

Korea Petroleum Industries (004090) was founded in 1964 and listed on the KOSPI in 1977, and is known as the leading domestic manufacturer of industrial asphalt.

The company's core business is the manufacturing and sale of asphalt and petroleum-based products, with the majority of revenue coming from asphalt sales, followed by chemical and synthetic resin segments.

It positions itself as a specialized petrochemical manufacturing and distribution group encompassing the domestic leading industrial asphalt business, synthetic resin operations through KP Hansuk Plastics, and chemical distribution through KP Hansuk Chemical.

Key subsidiaries include KP Hansuk Plastics, KP Hansuk Chemical, Hyowon Industries, and KP AUSTRIA GmbH. Beyond these, the company has also entered petrochemical product distribution and sporting goods sales to expand market share.

More recently, growth has been supported by expanding sales of precision-chemical blow containers after establishing product quality credibility with new customers.

As a new growth initiative, the company is operating its integrated asphalt waterproofing sheet plant with a profitability-focused strategy while completing a new engineering plastics (EP) plant, with plans to formally launch the EP business within the year.

Competitively, the asphalt segment is dominated by a small number of players, while the synthetic resin and chemical distribution segments overlap in parts with larger petrochemical conglomerates as both competitors and counterparties.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩192.3B₩3.5B1.8%
2025Q3₩172.8B₩4.5B2.6%
2025Q4₩173.1B₩3.2B1.8%
2026Q1₩171.2B₩4.1B2.4%
2026Q2₩231.6B₩13.8B6.0%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩747.9B₩18B₩11.1B2.4%6.8%112.0%
2023₩679.2B₩15.2B₩14.8B2.2%8.3%99.6%
2024₩721.2B₩13.9B₩13.1B1.9%6.6%94.6%
2025₩696.9B₩11.8B₩5.2B1.7%2.6%100.5%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-08-23

04

Earnings analysis

2025 consolidated revenue was KRW 696.9 billion, down 4.0% from KRW 721.2 billion in 2024, while operating profit fell to KRW 11.8 billion from KRW 13.9 billion a year earlier.

Net income attributable to owners also dropped sharply to KRW 5.2 billion from roughly KRW 13.1 billion, and the operating margin narrowed from 1.9% in 2024 to 1.7% in 2025.

The company attributed the decline to a combination of factors including weaker downstream construction demand, a soft petrochemical cycle, and a high exchange rate.

However, the synthetic resin manufacturing segment bucked the trend, achieving revenue growth of 3.5% and operating profit growth of 37.1% on improved profitability.

On a quarterly basis, operating profit moved from KRW 3.53 billion in Q2 2025 to KRW 4.54 billion in Q3, KRW 3.19 billion in Q4, and remained around KRW 4.14 billion in Q1 2026.

Second-quarter 2026 revenue then expanded sharply to KRW 231.6 billion, with operating profit of KRW 13.79 billion and owners' net income of KRW 11.70 billion, marking the most pronounced improvement among the last five quarters.

As a result, cumulative owners' net income over the trailing four quarters (Q3 2025 through Q2 2026) reached about KRW 14.8 billion, exceeding the full-year 2024 figure of roughly KRW 13.1 billion.

It is worth noting that the company's own forecasts have historically diverged from actual results — full-year 2024 revenue came in 6.0% below guidance and operating profit 14.9% below guidance — a useful reference point when reading current guidance.

05

Industry analysis

The asphalt business is a classic cyclical segment closely tied to construction investment such as road paving and repair.

Declining domestic construction investment from 2023 through 2025 weighed on downstream demand and was a primary driver of the earnings slowdown, while expectations of a construction upturn tied to government housing-supply expansion policy are cited as a key basis for the 2026 recovery.

The broader domestic petrochemical industry, which encompasses the company's synthetic resin and chemical distribution segments, is in a phase where a positive lagging effect from raw-material input timing makes profitability likely through the second quarter, though concerns persist that inventory valuation losses from stabilizing oil prices could push results into deficit.

Indeed, large petrochemical players such as LG Chem's petrochemical division, Lotte Chemical, and Hanwha Solutions' chemical division were all expected to swing to profit in the second quarter of 2026.

However, the industry still views the risk of oversupply originating from China as persistent, with Chinese petrochemical capacity additions expected to continue at least through 2028, meaning competitive pressure on commodity-grade products is likely to persist over the medium term.

Against this backdrop, domestic producers are pursuing strategies to expand the share of specialty, higher-value products that China still struggles to mass-produce, in order to secure a more stable earnings base.

Korea Petroleum Industries is pursuing a similar direction, broadening its portfolio into higher-value items such as automotive refrigerants, precision-chemical containers, and engineering plastics.

In the asphalt segment specifically, the company's leading domestic market position means that a construction recovery could translate into a comparatively larger revenue rebound given its underlying business structure.

06

Outlook

On February 9, 2026, the company disclosed guidance under fair-disclosure rules for full-year 2026 consolidated revenue of KRW 818.4 billion and operating profit of KRW 24.7 billion.

Heungkuk Securities characterized this as implying 17.4% revenue growth and 107.8% operating-profit growth year over year, with an operating margin of 3.0%.

The same brokerage issued a new report on March 25, 2026, maintaining a buy rating and setting a target price of KRW 21,000, up 23.5% from its previous target of KRW 17,000 set on November 24, 2025.

The report cited the expansion of the new engineering plastics plant into commercial production, growth in higher-margin businesses such as automotive refrigerants and high-quality containers, and asphalt waterproofing sheet exports as the basis for its growth outlook.

Second-quarter 2026 results, with revenue of KRW 231.6 billion and operating profit of KRW 13.79 billion, are broadly consistent with a trajectory toward the annual guidance.

The company itself noted that the guidance is an internally prepared estimate based on projected key indicators and business conditions, and actual results may differ depending on circumstances.

The profitability-focused operation of the integrated asphalt waterproofing sheet plant, whether the new EP plant begins operating within the year, and second-half construction-season demand are cited as the key variables for the remainder of the year.

07

Valuation

PER
9.7×
PBR
0.7×
ROE
7.1%
EPS
₩1,168
BPS
₩17,022
Dividend per share
₩120

Korea Petroleum Industries' shares trade below the company's per-share net asset value, a level not uncommon among small and mid-cap domestic petrochemical and building-materials names.

Earnings scale contracted from 2022 through a 2025 trough before showing a recovery trend into 2026, suggesting that market valuation assessments may hinge on whether this recovery persists.

Dividend payments have continued over a long track record, though the yield level itself is not markedly above the sector average.

The fact that Heungkuk Securities' target price, as noted above, has been raised on multiple occasions is a useful reference point showing that brokerage expectations for an earnings recovery have gradually increased, though this reflects a single broker's judgment rather than a confirmed outcome.

The fact that cumulative earnings over the trailing four quarters now exceed the full-year 2024 level can be viewed as a factual indicator of improvement relative to prior performance.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-08-23

08

Bull factors

Expansion into Higher-Value New Businesses

Following completion of the new EP plant, commercial production is planned within the year, alongside expansion into higher-margin businesses such as automotive refrigerants, high-quality containers, and asphalt waterproofing sheet exports.

If these new businesses gain traction, the revenue mix currently weighted toward commodity products could diversify. The expansion of precision-chemical blow container sales through new customer acquisition is already partly reflected in results.

Clear Earnings Recovery in Q2 2026

Second-quarter 2026 revenue of KRW 231.6 billion, operating profit of KRW 13.79 billion, and owners' net income of KRW 11.70 billion represent the largest improvement compared with the preceding four quarters. Trailing four-quarter cumulative owners' net income has also risen above the full-year 2024 level.

Whether this momentum continues into the second half will be a key determinant of whether the annual guidance is met.

Construction Recovery Expectations and Asphalt Market Position

Expectations for a construction-sector upturn tied to government housing-supply expansion policy are cited as the central basis for the 2026 earnings improvement outlook.

Given the company's position as the leading domestic manufacturer of industrial asphalt, a genuine construction recovery could translate into a comparatively larger revenue rebound.

09

Bear factors

History of Guidance-vs-Actual Divergence

The company's annual forecasts have historically diverged from actual results. Full-year 2024 revenue came in 6.0% below guidance and operating profit 14.9% below guidance.

The 2026 guidance of KRW 818.4 billion in revenue and KRW 24.7 billion in operating profit should similarly be viewed as an estimate that could be revised depending on changing conditions.

Risk of a Prolonged Construction Investment Slowdown

The 2025 earnings decline stemmed from a combination of factors including weaker downstream construction demand, a soft petrochemical cycle, and a high exchange rate.

The 2026 rebound outlook depends on an assumed construction recovery, so if the effects of government policy are delayed or fall short of expectations, the pace of earnings improvement could also slow.

Oversupply Risk from Chinese Petrochemical Capacity

The industry still views oversupply risk originating from China as persistent, with Chinese petrochemical capacity additions expected to continue at least through 2028.

Since Korea Petroleum Industries' chemical and synthetic resin distribution segments retain some exposure to commodity-grade products, a prolonged oversupply environment could still exert margin pressure.

10

Risk factors

Raw Material and Oil Price Volatility

Costs in the asphalt and chemical businesses are directly linked to swings in international oil prices and exchange rates. There have been past instances where high oil prices and a weak currency increased cost burdens and reduced operating profit. A renewed spike in oil prices or an unfavorable currency move could reproduce margin pressure.

Dependence on Construction Cycle and Government Policy

A significant portion of asphalt business revenue is tied to road and construction investment and government housing policy. If the timing or intensity of policy implementation differs from expectations, the timing of an earnings recovery could be delayed. The business structure's high exposure to the construction cycle warrants ongoing monitoring.

New Business Execution Risk

New investments such as the EP plant and the integrated asphalt waterproofing sheet plant could see delayed returns if utilization rates fail to ramp up as planned. Securing customers and establishing quality credibility for new higher-value products takes time.

Contribution to earnings during the early ramp-up phase of new businesses may also emerge more gradually than expected.

11

What to watch next

  1. November 2026

    Check the Q3 2026 earnings disclosure to assess progress toward the annual guidance of KRW 818.4 billion in revenue and KRW 24.7 billion in operating profit.

  2. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Confirm whether the new EP plant begins commercial production within the year as planned, and monitor its initial utilization rate.

  3. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Assess whether the profitability-focused operation of the integrated asphalt waterproofing sheet plant is reflected in results.

  4. At the next earnings release

    Follow-up broker reports, such as from Heungkuk Securities, and any target price revisions can indicate how market expectations for the earnings recovery are evolving.

  5. Early February 2027

    The next fiscal-year performance forecast, typically disclosed in early February, will provide 2027 guidance along with a comparison against actual 2026 results.

12

Overall view

Korea Petroleum Industries saw earnings scale contract from 2022 through a 2025 trough before showing a clear recovery signal in the second quarter of 2026.

The company's 2026 guidance of KRW 818.4 billion in revenue and KRW 24.7 billion in operating profit is premised on an expected construction recovery and expansion into new businesses such as EP and automotive refrigerants, and second-quarter results are broadly consistent with that trajectory.

Even so, factors such as the company's history of guidance-versus-actual divergence, high exposure to construction cycles, oil prices, and exchange rates, and persistent concerns over Chinese oversupply warrant balanced consideration.

Heungkuk Securities has raised its target price multiple times citing progress in new businesses, but this reflects a single broker's outlook that still needs to be validated by actual results.

Going forward, the actual start date and early performance of the new EP plant, along with results from the third quarter onward, will be key indicators of whether the annual guidance is achieved.

Readers should continue to monitor the company's disclosures and subsequent earnings releases before forming any investment judgment.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. digitaltoday.co.kr
  2. m.irgo.co.kr
  3. alphasquare.co.kr
  4. comp.fnguide.com
  5. comp.fnguide.com
  6. comp.fnguide.com
  7. banfordai.com
  8. marketin.edaily.co.kr
  9. keyzard.cc
  10. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  11. investing.com
  12. mydailybyte.com
  13. stockvery.com
  14. kpplastic.com
  15. incruit.com
  16. kepital.com
  17. jobplanet.co.kr
  18. nicebizinfo.com

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.