KOSPIInsurance001450

HYUNDAIMARINE&FIREINSURANCECO

₩47,600▲ 0.74%2026-10-02 close
Market Cap
₩4.1T
Turnover
₩14B
Volume
300,000 shares
Shares out.
85.3M
PER
3.4×
PBR
0.6×
EPS
₩14,875
Dividend Yield
0.00%

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are calculated in-house from the last 4 quarters (2025Q3–2026Q2) · Dividend yield is based on ₩0 per share · Prices as of the 2026-10-02 close

01

Report overview

Underwriting Recovery, and the Conditions for Restarting Dividends

Underwriting profit has rebounded fast on better claims experience in long-term insurance and actuarial-assumption reversals, while any dividend restart hinges on whether the surrender-value reserve rule is changed.

  1. 1

    On a consolidated basis, 2025 insurance revenue was KRW 14.14 trillion, operating profit KRW 1.26 trillion and net profit attributable to owners KRW 1,019.8 billion, extending the recovery from 2023 (net profit KRW 607.8 billion).

  2. 2

    Quarterly results are volatile: operating profit of KRW 707.7 billion in 3Q25 was followed by a KRW -127.9 billion loss in 4Q25, then KRW 324.5 billion in 1Q26 and KRW 528.7 billion in 2Q26.

  3. 3

    First-half 2026 separate-basis long-term insurance profit rose 105.7% year on year to KRW 613.9 billion (per August 2026 disclosure-based reports), which the company attributed to a smaller gap between expected and actual claims plus a one-off reversal from the upgraded actuarial-assumption guidelines.

  4. 4

    As of end-June, the contractual service margin stood at KRW 9.89 trillion and the K-ICS solvency ratio at 209.0%, up 11.2% and 18.9 percentage points respectively from end-2025 (August 2026 reports).

  5. 5

    However, dividends have been suspended since the 2024 fiscal-year settlement, and distributable income was still negative KRW 660 billion at end-2Q26, with the company indicating it may remain negative at year-end absent a rule change (August 2026 reports).

02

Business structure

Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance is a large Korean non-life insurer built on three underwriting segments, long-term, auto and general insurance, plus an investment book, and it is grouped with Samsung Fire & Marine, DB Insurance, KB Insurance and Meritz Fire & Marine as one of the country's top five non-life players (Korea Financial News, August 2026).

Long-term insurance drives earnings: for first-half 2026 on a separate basis, disclosure-based reports put long-term insurance profit at KRW 613.9 billion (up 105.7% year on year), general insurance at KRW 102.2 billion (up 38.9%) and investment profit at KRW 105.7 billion (down 55.3%).

Auto insurance was loss-making for the half as a whole but turned to profit in 2Q26, according to press coverage (Asia Economy, August 2026).

The company has been described as having the industry's highest share of indemnity health insurance within risk premiums (reported citing a Daishin Securities note, December 2025), so loss ratios and regulatory changes in that line feed directly into earnings.

It is also a sizeable auto underwriter, with 2025 auto claims paid of KRW 3.16 trillion, third after Samsung Fire & Marine and DB Insurance (CEO Score Daily, April 2026).

Most consolidated earnings come from the separate-basis insurance operation; the gap between separate-basis first-half 2026 net profit of KRW 615.1 billion and consolidated net profit attributable to owners of KRW 654.7 billion indicates the subsidiary contribution (based on August 2026 fair-disclosure reports).

Management has prioritized reshaping the product mix toward profitability rather than chasing market share, and the company said it would maintain quality-led growth centered on profitable contracts (August 2026).

On distribution, tighter commission rules for general agencies are cited as a variable reshaping industry-wide competition in new-business expenses (IB Tomato, August 2026).

In short, the model is one where long-term underwriting sets the direction of earnings while auto, general insurance and the investment book add volatility.

03

Earnings trend

Quarterly revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Annual revenue · Operating profit
RevenueOperating profit
Quarterly results · Last 5 quarters
QuarterRevenueOperating profitOp. margin
2025Q2₩3.5T₩397.5B11.3%
2025Q3₩3.6T₩707.7B19.6%
2025Q4₩3.6T-₩127.9B−3.6%
2026Q1₩3.5T₩324.5B9.2%
2026Q2₩3.7T₩528.7B14.4%
Annual results
YearRevenueOperating profitNet income (parent)Op. marginROEDebt-to-equity
2022₩12.1T₩1.8T₩1.3T—13.6%386.5%
2023₩13.1T₩788.2B₩607.8B—10.0%628.1%
2024₩13.7T₩1.2T₩850.5B—17.9%923.0%
2025₩14.1T₩1.3T₩1T—19.8%877.8%

Consolidated basis (financial statements including subsidiaries) · Final figures from DART filings · Net income attributable to owners of the parent · Data as of 2026-09-04

04

Earnings analysis

On a consolidated basis, insurance revenue rose for four straight years, from KRW 12.12 trillion in 2022 to KRW 13.12 trillion in 2023, KRW 13.71 trillion in 2024 and KRW 14.14 trillion in 2025, yet the earnings path was far bumpier.

Operating profit fell from KRW 1.79 trillion in 2022 to KRW 788.2 billion in 2023 before recovering to KRW 1.24 trillion in 2024 and KRW 1.26 trillion in 2025, while net profit attributable to owners bottomed at KRW 607.8 billion in 2023 and climbed to KRW 850.5 billion in 2024 and KRW 1,019.8 billion in 2025.

The quarterly swings are even starker.

After peaking at operating profit of KRW 707.7 billion and net profit of KRW 629.8 billion in 3Q25, the company posted a loss in 4Q25 with operating profit of KRW -127.9 billion and net profit of KRW -114.5 billion, then recovered to KRW 324.5 billion and KRW 236.4 billion in 1Q26 and KRW 528.7 billion and KRW 418.3 billion in 2Q26.

With quarterly insurance revenue confined to a KRW 3.51-3.68 trillion range, such earnings swings show that actuarial assumption changes, onerous-contract costs and claims experience variances, rather than top-line growth, set the profit outcome.

Consistent with that, separate-basis underwriting profit for first-half 2026 rose 81.6% year on year to KRW 705.8 billion, which the company attributed to a narrower claims experience deficit and a one-off reversal from the upgraded actuarial-assumption guidelines (August 2026).

Investment profit moved the other way, down 55.3% to KRW 105.7 billion in the half, as valuation losses in a rising-rate environment partly offset the underwriting improvement.

Summing the four quarters from 3Q25 through 2Q26, net profit attributable to owners was about KRW 1.17 trillion, above the full-year 2025 figure.

On the balance sheet, total equity shrank from KRW 9.51 trillion in 2022 to KRW 4.74 trillion in 2024 before rising to KRW 5.16 trillion in 2025, the liability-to-equity ratio eased from 923.0% in 2024 to 877.8% in 2025, and operating cash flow expanded from KRW 1.39 trillion in 2024 to KRW 3.53 trillion in 2025.

05

Industry analysis

Korea's non-life insurance sector broadly improved in first-half 2026 on better long-term insurance profitability and actuarial assumption changes, while auto insurance moved the other way.

The simple average of cumulative first-half auto loss ratios at the five major insurers was 84.06%, up from 82.62% a year earlier, with DB Insurance at 85.1%, KB Insurance at 84.6%, Samsung Fire & Marine at 84.3%, Hyundai Marine & Fire at 84.1% and Meritz Fire & Marine at 82.2% (General Insurance Association data, reported July 2026).

With ratios staying above the 80-82% range the industry typically treats as breakeven, one tally put first-half auto insurance at an operating loss of roughly KRW 189 billion, the first half-year deficit in six years since 1H20 (July 2026 report).

In long-term insurance, the overhaul of indemnity health insurance is the dominant variable.

Premiums for 2026 were set to rise 7.8% on average, with guidance of roughly 3% for first-generation, 5% for second, 16% for third and 20% for fourth-generation policies (life and non-life insurance associations, December 2025), and the fifth-generation product went on sale on 6 May 2026.

On capital and shareholder returns, surrender-value reserves across the industry swelled to about KRW 58 trillion by end-June, squeezing both distributable income and tier-one capital, and regulators are reported to be weighing a fundamental revision that would cut mass-lapse assumptions to about 25% for protection and 35% for savings products (Money Today, August 2026).

With a tier-one K-ICS requirement slated for 2027, the quality of capital is emerging as a new competitive yardstick.

Within the top five, Hyundai Marine & Fire trailed Samsung Fire & Marine, Meritz Fire & Marine and DB Insurance in absolute first-half net profit, but was described as showing the most pronounced improvement in underwriting profit (August 2026 reports).

06

Outlook

After first-half results, the company said it expects the second half to track a similar trend, citing ongoing profitability initiatives across segments (August 2026).

On capital metrics, the K-ICS ratio stood at 209.0% and the contractual service margin at KRW 9.89 trillion at end-June, while reports noted the tier-one capital ratio moved from 53.7% at end-2Q25 to 83.8% at end-2Q26 and the asset-liability duration gap from minus 2.5 years to plus 0.7 years (August 2026).

Growth metrics were softer: new-business contractual service margin was about KRW 480 billion in 2Q26, down 8.7% year on year, with a new-business margin multiple of 17.2 times. The key second-half item to watch is the year-end reassumption exercise.

Hana Securities analyst Ko Yeon-soo said in a 17 August 2026 report that a fourth-quarter change to loss-ratio assumptions for new simplified-underwriting coverage remains pending, making a large year-end margin adjustment unavoidable.

On dividends, distributable income was negative KRW 660 billion at end-2Q26, an improvement of roughly KRW 700 billion from the first quarter, yet the company expects it to remain negative at year-end while saying it would pay a dividend if the figure turns even slightly positive (August 2026 reports).

A company official said that even with a rule change, external conditions also matter, making the timing of any dividend hard to predict (August 2026).

On the policy calendar, an optional discount rider for indemnity health insurance is scheduled for November 2026, and whether the surrender-value reserve revision is finalized ahead of the 2027 tier-one capital rule remains the main watch point for the second half.

07

Valuation

PER
3.4×
PBR
0.6×
ROE
21.0%
EPS
₩14,875
BPS
₩83,037
Dividend per share
₩0

Absolute earnings are large relative to the equity base, yet the share price sits below one times net asset value and its earnings-based multiple trades well under the broad market average.

Two factors are commonly cited behind the persistently low multiple: recurring profit volatility whenever actuarial assumptions change, and the suspension of dividends since the 2024 fiscal-year settlement (Herald Business, July 2026).

Note also that the book-value-per-share reference shown on screen differs depending on the calculation source (in-house versus exchange disclosure), so it matters which basis is used when gauging the discount to net assets. Brokerage target prices were raised repeatedly after the 2Q26 results.

KB Securities was reported in August 2026 to have set KRW 65,000, Shinhan Investment and DB Securities KRW 63,000 and Samsung Securities KRW 60,000, while Samsung Securities analyst Jung Min-ki said the effects of improving contract quality are showing up in underwriting profit and capital headroom (August 2026).

Those are the brokerages' own views rather than KOSAI's, and the premises behind any multiple can shift until the year-end margin adjustment and the path of distributable income are confirmed.

PER, EPS, PBR and BPS are all calculated in-house (the same method as Naver and Toss) · Dividend yield = cash dividend per share from DART filings (supplemented by KRX) ÷ current price · As of 2026-09-04

08

Bull factors

Long-term underwriting recovery now visible in the numbers

Separate-basis underwriting profit for first-half 2026 rose 81.6% year on year to KRW 705.8 billion, with long-term insurance profit up 105.7% to KRW 613.9 billion (August 2026 disclosure-based reports).

On a consolidated basis, 2Q26 operating profit of KRW 528.7 billion and net profit attributable to owners of KRW 418.3 billion were sharply higher than the previous quarter.

Management pointed to a narrower deficit between expected and actual claims, an item tied to recurring profitability rather than one-off reversals. Commentary framed this as the early phase in which the profitability-led product overhaul pursued through 2025 begins to show in reported earnings.

Turn in capital and solvency metrics

The K-ICS ratio reached 209.0% at end-June, up 18.9 percentage points from 190.1% at end-2025, while the contractual service margin rose 11.2% from year-end to KRW 9.89 trillion (August 2026 reports).

Reports also noted the tier-one capital ratio moved from 53.7% at end-2Q25 to 83.8% at end-2Q26, and the asset-liability duration gap from minus 2.5 years to plus 0.7 years.

Audited figures likewise show total equity rising from KRW 4.74 trillion in 2024 to KRW 5.16 trillion in 2025, with the liability-to-equity ratio easing from 923.0% to 877.8%. With a tier-one K-ICS requirement due in 2027, the direction of these metrics bears directly on regulatory readiness.

Direct exposure to the indemnity health insurance overhaul

Indemnity health premiums for 2026 were set to rise 7.8% on average, with guidance of about 16% for third-generation and 20% for fourth-generation policies (life and non-life insurance associations, December 2025).

Because the company is described as having the industry's highest share of indemnity health within risk premiums, premium hikes and tighter management of non-reimbursable care flow into its earnings relatively strongly.

Daishin Securities was reported in a December 2025 note to view the inclusion of manual therapy under managed-benefit status as positive, estimating relief in related claims payments. The fifth-generation product went on sale on 6 May 2026, so conversion trends are only beginning to feed into loss ratios.

09

Bear factors

Year-end actuarial reassumption burden

In 4Q25, consolidated operating profit was KRW -127.9 billion and net profit attributable to owners KRW -114.5 billion, both negative. If the pattern of concentrating assumption resets and onerous-contract costs in the fourth quarter repeats, annual earnings visibility suffers.

Hana Securities analyst Ko Yeon-soo said in a 17 August 2026 report that a pending fourth-quarter change to loss-ratio assumptions for new simplified-underwriting coverage makes a large year-end margin adjustment unavoidable.

Since part of the first-half improvement rested on one-off reversals, the same line items can also work in the opposite direction.

Dividend restart depends on a rule change

Distributable income was negative KRW 660 billion at end-2Q26, an improvement of roughly KRW 700 billion from the prior quarter but still negative, and the company said it expects it to remain negative at year-end (August 2026 reports).

Its surrender-value reserve was put at about KRW 4.3 trillion as of the first half (IB Tomato, August 2026).

Regulators are reported to be weighing a fundamental revision, including more realistic mass-lapse assumptions, but their official stance is that nothing is decided, leaving timing and magnitude uncertain (August 2026 reports).

A company official likewise said the timing of any dividend is hard to forecast because external conditions matter even if the rule is eased.

Auto loss ratios and investment-income drag

The five major insurers' average cumulative auto loss ratio for first-half 2026 was 84.06%, up from 82.62% a year earlier, with Hyundai Marine & Fire at 84.1% (General Insurance Association data, reported July 2026).

Rising repair labor rates and parts costs, plus seasonal factors, keep second-half loss-ratio management in focus. On the investment side, cumulative first-half investment profit fell 55.3% year on year to KRW 105.7 billion, attributed to valuation losses as rates rose (August 2026 reports).

New-business contractual service margin of about KRW 480 billion in 2Q26, down 8.7% year on year, is another soft spot on growth.

10

Risk factors

Regulation and accounting

Under IFRS 17, changes in actuarial assumptions and discount rates move underwriting profit and equity at the same time. The decline in total equity from KRW 9.51 trillion in 2022 to KRW 4.74 trillion in 2024 in the audited figures is not unrelated to that accounting and rate environment.

The 2027 tier-one capital rule, the debate over surrender-value reserves and follow-up measures on indemnity health insurance are all progressing at once, so the premises for earnings and capital can shift on a short cycle. There is no basis for assuming rule changes will only work in the company's favor.

Loss ratios and medical costs

A portfolio weighted toward indemnity health insurance is sensitive to non-reimbursable treatment and rising medical costs. In auto insurance, higher repair labor rates and parts costs, along with claims leakage from excessive treatment, are cited as drivers of higher loss ratios (July 2026 reports).

Some note that policy tools such as review requirements for extended treatment of minor injuries remain under consideration, so their restraining effect is unproven. Typhoons and torrential rain can hit general insurance and auto results simultaneously.

Rates and asset management

Valuation losses from rising rates were cited behind the 55.3% drop in first-half investment profit, and large valuation losses on structured bonds and alternative assets were flagged in the first quarter (as reported from an LS Securities note, May 2026).

Rate moves affect insurance liability valuation, equity and investment income in different directions, so the impact is not linear. Delays in valuing or recovering alternative assets can amplify quarterly earnings volatility.

Reports indicate the duration gap has turned positive, but the effect of abrupt rate moves on capital ratios still warrants monitoring.

11

What to watch next

  1. Late September to October 2026

    Track the cumulative third-quarter trend in the General Insurance Association's monthly auto loss ratio data. Whether the company's 84.1% first-half cumulative figure changes direction is the first read on second-half auto results.

  2. November 2026

    Third-quarter 2026 results. Watch whether the claims experience variance, the contractual service margin (KRW 9.89 trillion at end-June) and the K-ICS ratio (209.0% at end-June) sustain the first-half improvement, and whether the decline in new-business margin continues.

  3. November 2026

    The optional discount rider for indemnity health insurance is scheduled to take effect (per reports based on Financial Services Commission announcements). The key question is how first- and second-generation policyholders' switch-or-stay decisions feed into loss ratios and the risk-premium mix.

  4. Fourth quarter of 2026

    Application of the changed loss-ratio assumption for new simplified-underwriting coverage and the year-end actuarial reset. The key variables are whether a quarterly loss recurs as in 4Q25 (consolidated operating profit of KRW -127.9 billion) and how large the margin adjustment proves to be.

  5. Late 2026 to early 2027

    Whether the surrender-value reserve revision is finalized, the 2027 start of the tier-one capital requirement, and the fiscal-2026 dividend decision. The company's stated condition for restarting dividends is distributable income turning positive from negative KRW 660 billion at end-2Q26.

12

Overall view

On the audited figures alone, earnings recovered from the 2023 trough (net profit attributable to owners of KRW 607.8 billion) to KRW 1,019.8 billion in 2025, and 2Q26 consolidated operating profit of KRW 528.7 billion and net profit of KRW 418.3 billion marked a large sequential improvement.

Yet as the 4Q25 loss showed, the quarterly amplitude of profit comes not from the top line but from actuarial assumptions, onerous-contract costs and claims experience variances.

The bullish case rests on the long-term underwriting recovery, the turn in solvency metrics such as K-ICS, tier-one capital and the duration gap, and heavy exposure to the indemnity health insurance overhaul.

The bearish case rests on the year-end margin adjustment tied to reset assumptions, a dividend restart contingent on regulatory change, auto loss ratios in the mid-84% range and investment profit down 55.3% in the first half.

Brokerages raised target prices repeatedly after the 2Q26 results, but those are their own views, not KOSAI's.

The next checkpoints are the durability of claims experience and margin trends in third-quarter results, the actual impact of the fourth-quarter assumption change, and whether distributable income turns positive. This report is for information purposes and contains no buy or sell opinion and no target price.

13

Sources

  1. Korea Exchange (KRX) — Prices · Market Cap · Volume
  2. FSS electronic disclosure system (DART) — Financial statements · Dividend filings
Show 18 more articles and sources
  1. nspna.com
  2. comp.wisereport.co.kr
  3. huffingtonpost.kr
  4. news2day.co.kr
  5. m.irgo.co.kr
  6. huffingtonpost.kr
  7. investing.com
  8. dazabi.com
  9. newsway.co.kr
  10. betanews.net
  11. bondweb.co.kr
  12. m.joseilbo.com
  13. marketin.edaily.co.kr
  14. file.alphasquare.co.kr
  15. hellot.net
  16. m.irgo.co.kr
  17. newsquest.co.kr
  18. alphasquare.co.kr

Report written 2026-09-05 · Data as of 2026-09-04

This content is AI analysis of market data and web search results, provided for information only. It is not a solicitation or recommendation to invest. Investment decisions and their consequences are the investor's own responsibility. Data may be delayed or contain errors.